Best NFL Player Prop Bets – Week 17, 2020
The final week of the 2020 NFL regular season arrives on Sunday. It’s a massive main slate, with a lot of games to bet on and plenty of in-game action to attract bettors.
For advice as to how to bet on the NFL this week, hit up our NFL picks section linked at the top of this page. I’ve got you covered for the in-game entertainment, as I’ll be going over my favorite week 17 NFL player props.
A few stand out more than others. Here’s a look at the biggest names that could win you money this week.
Ezekiel Elliott to Score a Touchdown (+105)
I can totally understand the lack of faith in Zeke. He’s had a really tough 2020 season as a whole, and he’s even missed a game due to injury.
Elliott brushed off his health woes and whatever trouble he’s had this year to gallop away for 105 rushing yards last week, though. That was his first 100+ yard rushing effort of the year, which is embarrassing and promising, all in the same breath.
He didn’t luck into it, either. He literally had one of the better performances of the year.
Ezekiel Elliott had 11 missed tackles forced on runs in Week 16— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 28, 2020
Most in a game by anyone this season pic.twitter.com/Dm718gXbQw
I’m not here to trust in him for his rushing yardage total, though. The New York Giants have a solid defense, are at home, and have done a pretty good job against the run.
That said, the G-Men have still allowed 10 rushing scores on the year, and they let Zeke plunge in for two scores back in week five.
In a must-win game, I tend to think Zeke shows up a bit, and at +105, I like his chances to get a score.
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+130)
The Ravens are among the NFL teams that need to win to lock up a playoff spot in week 17. That’s one big reason why I love Lamar Jackson’s chances of putting up two or more passing scores.
That, and he also gets to face the lowly Cincinnati Bengals.
Jackson fared well against the Bengals earlier this year, passing for two touchdowns in that matchup. Cincinnati has only gotten worse defensively, too, most recently giving up 324 passing yards and three scores last week to Deshaun Watson.
Jackson is best known for his rushing ability, but this is a pretty good spot for him to toss in a couple of scores. Baltimore certainly needs him to be at his best, and this +130 price tag looks fantastic.
Alexander Mattison to Score a Touchdown (EVEN)
There are some other touchdown props to consider this week, with one focusing on the potential production for Minnesota Vikings running back Alexander Mattison.
I talked up Mike Boone in my week 17 NFL DFS lineup breakdown, but Mattison is going to be a guy you’ll want exposure to in DFS and betting circles if he gets the nod.
One of these guys certainly will, as Dalvin Cook has already been ruled out for the season finale.
Prayers up for Cook and his family.
Perhaps the absence of Cook forces Minnesota to take it to the air a bit more, but I doubt it. This is an offense that has been at its best when they can run the football effectively, and Cook leaves behind a role that generated 17 rushing scores in 2020.
This is an even more appealing bet when you note Mattison could be facing a Lions defense that has allowed the second-most rushing scores (18) on the season.
Just make sure Mattison is actually set to get the start if you go with this bet.
Jonathan Taylor to Score a Touchdown (-152)
One more NFL player prop I like for week 17 deals with Indianapolis Colt’s stud rusher, Jonathan Taylor.
Indy enters week 17 as massive 14-point favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and Taylor’s likely ability to dominate on the ground is a key part of that.
Jacksonville hasn’t won since week one and really don’t appear motivated to stop the bleeding. Mike Glennon is their starting quarterback, and they have a poor run defense that’s coughed up the fifth-most rushing touchdowns (15) in 2020.
None of this looks good for the Jags, while Taylor has heard his name called plenty in scoring position. The talented rookie has scored 10 times this year, with at least one touchdown coming in each of his last three contests.
Jacksonville doesn’t figure to offer a whole lot of resistance here, and I find it hard to believe Taylor doesn’t punch in at least one score in such a crucial spot for the Colts.
As you can imagine, there aren’t as many live NFL player prop bets for week 17. The uncertainty involving player injuries and teams resting players plays into that quite a bit.
It’s also still only Thursday as I write this, so there is still plenty of time for even more week 17 NFL player props to emerge.
As things stand prior to the New Year arriving, the week 17 NFL player props above are my favorites. I think you can target all of those bets confidently and enter 2021 with some profit.
I’m just one voice here if you’re trying to make money betting on the NFL, though. Hit up our NFL picks section for game-by-game predictions, and check out our NFL betting sites page to find out the best sites to bet on pro football.