Best Matchups Bets for the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession

Attacking head-to-head picks in the plus-money territory can be among the most fruitful endeavors when you’re betting on golf online. This week is no different.

Those of you betting on the WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession, be sure to add a few matchups to your repertoire. Specifically, ones where you’re not laying any juice.

After shopping the lines and keeping tabs on price discrepancies, a trio of WGC matchup bets are sticking out like sore thumbs.

Here’s a timeline of how I encountered this particular bet.

First, I spotted this duo evenly matched (-110 apiece) at two of the safest golf sportsbooks around. I then saw Adam lurking at even money against Hideki at BetOnline, only to find Scott hanging out at +110 versus Matsuyama at BetUS.

I’m as big of a proponent of Hideki as anyone, but the fact of the matter is he’s currently in a rut. Nothing better than a T42 over his last three starts, and he’s really struggling on the greens. Matsuyama clocks in 181st in SG: Putting this season and has just one top-10 in 11 starts.

Scott finished 10th at Torrey Pines and closed with 66 on Sunday at Riviera, and he’s no stranger to success on Bermuda greens. Two of Adam’s last three PGA Tour victories were in the state of Florida.

Fading Webb Simpson is a perilous task on the surface, but it’s a little more reasonable in this situation. Webby’s at his best at shorter golf courses lined with doglegs, and he thrives when scoring is low. Simpson’s average winning score during his last four victories is 20.3 strokes under par.

Well, The Concession Golf Club is a long track, and from what I can gather, it’s unlikely a shootout breaks out.

Meanwhile, Sungjae Im has made a killing in the Sunshine State. The winner of the 2020 Honda Classic placed 4th at the most recent Valspar Championship. Throw in a couple of top-3s at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in 2019 and 2020, and it leads to the following tidbit.

Most strokes gained total per round on PGA Tour Florida swing, last 5 years

Tiger, 2.10
Sungjae, 2.08
Fleetwood, 1.95
Adam Scott, 1.94
McIlroy, 1.92

*Minimum 20 rounds (177 players in group)

— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) February 23, 2021

This is more about riding Sungjae than it is about fading Webb.

I love Scottie Scheffler’s game and believe he’s destined to do big things, but I’m pumping the brakes that he should be favored over Harris English in a golf tournament in Florida. Hence, this is one of the matchup bets for the WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession I’m pouncing all over.

Rested and recharged after a couple of MCs on the West Coast, the Sentry TOC winner flies into the first World Golf Championship event under the radar. As far as how his game stacks up with Scheffler’s, here are a handful of stats to help shine a light.

Back Harris here and know you’re latching onto the right side of value.

Adam Scott is unlikely to last at +110 (versus Matsuyama) for long, and the public is slowly picking up on how deadly Sungjae Im is in Florida. I trust Harris English a little more than I trust Scottie Scheffler.

With that, are you ready to hop on these WGC-Workday Championship head-to-head picks?

Or would you rather bet on outright winners and test your luck in the prop markets? Perhaps you’re just trying to soak up information on golfers so you can aggressively pursue GPPs on DraftKings.

The beauty is there are lots of ways to bet on the action in Bradenton.