Best Matchups Bets for the 2021 Genesis Invitational
I’m typically numb to any matchup bets that require me to lay any juice. However, this week is different.
This week there’s a hot golfer riding loads of momentum sitting at -105 against a player who’s on the opposite end of the spectrum. More on this matchup in a moment.
I also spotted a couple of intriguing Genesis Invitational head-to-head picks lurking at even money.
Go 2-1 in these bets, and you’re off to the races.
Bubba Watson vs. Joaquin Niemann
Bubba Watson has won this event three times. Joaquin Niemann has only played in it twice, tying for 44th in 2019 and missing the cut in 2020. And yet, I can’t wait to get money down on the kid they call “Joaco.”
Niemann is rested since back-to-back 2nd-place finishes in Hawaii. The 22-year-old Chilean has connected on 10 straight cuts and has catapulted into the top-30 in the OWGR. The short version is this kid is turning into a world-beater, and he’s surpassed Bubba in terms of reliability.
Before you assume that Watson is invincible at Riviera, know that the three-time champ missed the cut here in 2020. Bubba’s got full control of his tee-to-green game at the moment, but a balky flat-stick (208th in SG: Putting) makes me a bit wary.
Specifically in a H2H versus a dude who’s playing lights-out.
Will Zalatoris vs. Max Homa
This is one of the Genesis Invitational matchups where I think the best golf sportsbooks favored the wrong guy. Homa, a Los Angeles native, is in the midst of playing some superb golf. 5-5 since Mayakoba with four top-25s, Max had it all working last week at Pebble Beach en route to a T7.
How good was this from Max Homa? pic.twitter.com/C5YDvPD4of— GOLFTV (@GOLFTV) February 15, 2021
More good vibes come Max’s way this week, thanks to a T5 at Riv in 2020. Quite frankly, I just don’t see many versions of Homa not performing favorably.
Unbeknownst to some, Will Zalatoris is in a different boat.
The Wake Forest product finally showed a chink in his armor this past weekend, losing strokes to the field off the tee on Saturday and Sunday. In no way, shape, or form, am I jumping off the Zalatoris bandwagon – I still believe he’s in for a mighty fruitful year. With that being said, I have no qualms about saying Homa is the more dependable option this week.
Latching on at even money is just the cherry on top.
Rickie Fowler vs. Maverick McNealy
I teased in the introduction about one of my top Genesis Invitational matchup bets involving me laying a smidge of juice. This is it.
Before I even get into Rickie’s current slump, let’s address his aversion to Riviera Country Club. Despite growing up about 95 miles southeast of the Pacific Palisades, Fowler hasn’t been back to the LA Open since missing the cut in 2014. Since turning professional in 2009, Rickie has played in this tournament just four times.
- 2010 – MC
- 2011 – 35th
- 2012 – 62nd
- 2014 – MC
Now let’s shine a light on Fowler’s 10 starts in the 2020/21 campaign.
|Rickie Fowler’s Finishes This Season|
|10/11/20||Shriners Hospitals for Children Open||MC|
|10/18/20||The CJ Cup||T28|
|12/6/20||Mayakoba Golf Classic||MC|
|1/24/21||The American Express||T21|
|1/31/21||Farmers Insurance Open||T53|
|2/7/21||Waste Management Phoenix Open||MC|
|2/14/21||AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am||MC|
Don’t look now, but Fowler is in danger of missing the Masters.
His opponent in this matchup, Maverick McNealy, has racked up five top-21s in his last nine appearances. McNealy’s coming off a solo-2nd last week at Pebble and has as much confidence in his game as he’s ever had.
So yeah, I have no problem laying -105 in this spot.
More Genesis Invitational Picks
I wasted no time locking in these head-to-head picks for the Genesis Invitational. This isn’t the first time I’m investing stock in Joaquin Niemann, and I can assure you one thing. It won’t be the last.
I’m keen on taking advantage of Max Homa’s hot stretch, and seeing Rickie Fowler favored against Maverick McNealy is what I call a “green-light special.”
To get more money down on the action in LA, peruse the following posts.