Best Matchups Bets for the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

| February 9, 2021 8:29 am PDT

Get ready for a soggy four days in Monterey. The steady rain forecasted from Thursday through Sunday off the coast of Carmel Bay means we could see a lot of “starting and stopping” this week on tour. It also means players who aren’t striking their golf ball solidly will inevitably get exposed.

There are a few other worthy tidbits to address before I get into my top AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am matchup picks.

  • No “Pro-Am” this year, only the 156 competitors
  • No Monterey Peninsula CC, just Pebble Beach, and Spyglass Hill
  • 36-hole Cut (not the traditional 54-hole cut)

Now let’s get into some “plus-money” bets.

Jordan Spieth vs. Francesco Molinari

Jordan Spieth-145
Francesco Molinari+121

It was good to see Jordan Spieth get back on track with a top-5 finish, but did the Golden Child really “get back on track?”

Nobody’s concerned with Jordan’s ability to roll the rock and make birdies in bunches – it’s the driver that has long been his kryptonite. Well, Spieth ranked 130th in driving accuracy last week and lost nearly four strokes off the tee. That’s simply not going to fly at Pebble Beach Golf Links, where the rough will be wet and tangled.

On the other hand, Francesco Molinari, now a California resident, is slowly turning the corner. Eight straight red numbers have led to back-to-back top-10s at The American Express and the Farmers Insurance Open.

I’m fully aware of Spieth’s fondness for playing golf on 17 Mile Drive, but he’s still searching for his rhythm.

Molinari’s already found his.

  • Francesco Molinari

Patton Kizzire vs. Maverick McNealy

Patton Kizzire-120
Maverick McNealy+100

I highlighted McNealy as one of my AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am sleeper picks for a variety of reasons. He’s responsible for four top-25s in his last eight starts, and he finished 5th here in 2020. The Stanford product loves playing golf in his home state and has great results to match.

Unfortunately for Patton Kizzire, the Alabama native hasn’t fared very well in the Golden State during the last few years. To be more specific, I dug up some research you may find noteworthy.

Patton Kizzire in the State of California Since 2017 – By the Numbers
Tournament Result
2021 The American Express 53
2020 Safeway Open MC
2020 Farmers Insurance Open MC
2019 Safeway Open MC
2019 US Open (Pebble Beach) MC
2019 Desert Classic MC
2018 CareerBuilder Challenge T42
2017 Safeway Open MC
2017 Genesis Open 70
2017 Farmers Insurance Open MC
2017 CareerBuilder Challenge T50

That’s 7 missed cuts in 11 tries for the Sea Island, GA resident with nothing better than a T42.

I’m not overthinking this one, I’m just hammering McNealy at BetUS.

  • Maverick McNealy

Andrew Putnam vs. Jim Furyk

Andrew Putnam+100
Jim Furyk-120

Jim Furyk has been a beast on the 50-and-over circuit, but let’s not beat around the bush. Jim lacks the firepower off the tee that’s needed to compete on the big state – especially when it’s cold, and the golf courses are playing long.

Case in point – Furyk has whiffed on 7 of his last 12 cuts on the PGA Tour. His best finish during that stretch is a T46.

Shifting the focus to his adversary in this AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am head-to-head matchup, Andrew Putnam has been far more trustworthy. The Pepperdine grad saunters into Spyglass Hill and Pebble Beach armed with nine consecutive under-par rounds, and he achieved something this past week at TPC Scottsdale that’s never been done before.

Putnam was bogey-free for the entire Phoenix Open on his way to a 7th-place finish.

  • Andrew Putnam

More AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks

Andrew Putnam and Maverick McNealy, at even money in their respective matchups, are screaming with value. Latching onto Francesco Molinari at +121 is me simply taking advantage of “reverse-recency bias.”

Basically, I’m pumping the brakes on the Spieth train while the rest of the golf world is eagerly hopping on board.

For more detailed insight and additional betting picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, have a look at the posts below.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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