Best Horse Racing Bets for Wednesday, August 4, 2021

| August 4, 2021 4:20 am PDT

I went with Evangeline Downs, Parx Racing, and Saratoga Racecourse for my horse-racing picks for Wednesday. Saratoga’s race-card included a couple of stakes races, while Evangeline and Parx yielded some solid underdogs to make our bankrolls happy.

Don’t forget that you can review all the races with a quick click on one of our recommended online racebooks.

Good luck!

My Tuesday Picks for Evangeline Downs

Let’s begin on the main track with race four, a 6-1/2 furlong claiming race for Louisiana-bred three-year-olds and upward. I’m backing the 5/1 fourth-favored P T’s Flash, ridden by Timothy Thornton.

I touted this three-year-old gelding a month ago at Evangeline, but my Predict-o-Tron 5000 must have been on the fritz that day because he made a mild bid for a money showing in that race but ultimately, finished fourth. He’s currently at two money finishes in three career starts, one of those a win.

P T’s Flash is trained by Sam B. David, Jr. for Colonel Thoroughbreds LLC. He has put Timothy Thornton in the irons for P T’s Flash’s most recent two runs, including his maiden graduation.

Race six is a 6-1/2 furlong claiming race for three-year-olds and upward, and I’m betting my two dollars on the 2/1 morning-line favorite, Giant Mesa, with Joe Stokes aboard.

This five-year-old gelding finished in the money 13 of his 29 career starts, winning five—which actually gives him the statistical lead in this eight-horse field.

Giant Mesa is trained by owner Dale White, Sr., who has tapped Stokes to saddle Giant Mesa for his four most recent runs.

We move to the turf course for race seven, a 7-1/2 furlong allowance race for Louisiana-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the 2/1 second-favored Tecate Time, ridden by Kevin J. Smith.

The three-year-old filly has been campaigned aggressively in Black Type stakes races. For the record, she moneyed seven of her 12 career starts, winning two. Three of her money runs were in stakes races—she finished third in the Louisiana Cup Juvenile Fillies Stakes (Black Type) at Louisiana Downs, the Louisiana Jewel Stakes (Black Type) at Delta Downs, and most recently, the Louisiana Legends Soiree Stakes (Black Type) at Evangeline.

Steven B. Flint trains Tecate Time for Whispering Oaks Farm LLC.

Tuesday Picks for Parx Racing

We’re on the main track for race eight, a mile-and-70-yards claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m calling this one for the 5/1 fourth-favored Factor This In with top jockey Frankie Pennington aboard.

This seven-year-old gelding finished in the money 23 of his 44 career starts, winning ten, giving him a significant statistical edge in this eight-horse-field.

Ranked among the top trainers in the country in both wins and earnings for the past 13 years, Jamie Ness works Factor This In for owner Yo Berbs.

We’re on the turf for race nine, a five-furlong starter allowance race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting on the morning-line’s 5/2 turf favorite, Call Wil, ridden by Frankie Pennington.

This ten-year-old gelding had 29 money finishes in 54 career starts, with 14 of those wins.

Michael L. Catalano, Jr. trains Call Wil for Bing Cherry Racing, Inc.

By the way: Only if Call Wil does not enter the starting gate (and Savagery does) should you consider buying a win ticket on the 6/5 also-eligible/MTO favorite, Savagery, with Andrew Wolfsont in the irons.

Sure, he finished second in the Bob Hope Stakes (Grade III) at Del Mar—but that was in 2018.

Race ten puts us back on the main track for a six-panel starter optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I like the 3/5 morning-line favorite, Sevier, piloted by Frankie Pennington.

This seven-year-old gelding finished in the money for 22 of his 43 career starts, winning 14. More to the point, he’s won five of his most recent six races.

Jamie Ness trains Sevier for owners Morris E. Kernan, Jr., Yo Berbs, and Jagger Inc. Ness put Pennington in the irons for Sevier’s three most recent races, all wins.

Tuesday’s Picks for Saratoga Racecourse

We’re on the turf course for race five—the New York Stallion Series Stakes Statue of Liberty Division, a $150,000 purse, one-mile run for three-year-old fillies. The Ortiz brothers are saddling up the morning-line’s top two contenders, both of which have won an earlier iteration of the New York Stallion Series Stakes this year.

If the also-eligible/MTO Shaker Shack (at 4/5 morning-line) ridden by Jose L. Ortiz enters the starting gate, bet her to win. She moneyed five of her six career starts, winning two, including her maiden in January and the New York Stallion Series Stakes Park Avenue Division in April. Patrick L. Reynolds trains Shaker Shack for owners Roddy J. Valente and Darlene Bilinski.

Otherwise, buy your win ticket on Sport Model, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the irons. This filly moneyed two of her four career starts—her maiden and the New York Stallion Series Stakes Cupecoy’s Joy Division in June. Christophe Clement trains Sport Model for Reeves Thoroughbred Racing.

Let’s switch to the main track for race eight, the Shine Again Stakes, a $120,000 purse, seven-furlong run for fillies and mares four years old and upward. I’m betting both of my dollars on the 8/5 second-favored entry here—Bayerness, ridden by veteran jockey Luis Saez.

Now, the morning-line’s 7/5 favorite, Aunt Kat, has a very slight statistical edge on my pick, but Bayerness has something Aunt Kat does not: multiple money finishes in graded stakes race.

For the record, the four-year-old Bayerness moneyed seven of her nine career starts, winning three.

As I said, her stakes campaign has been rewarding: In 2020, she finished third in both the Dogwood Stakes (Grade III) at Churchill Downs and the Indiana Oaks (Grade III) at Indiana Grand Race Course. This year she’s finished third in the Bed o’ Roses Stakes (Grade III) at Belmont Park and second in the Regret Stakes (Black Type) at Monmouth Park.

A former assistant to Chad Brown, Cherie DeVaux trains Bayerness for Belladonna Racing, LLC.

We’re back on the turf course for race nine, a 1-1/8 mile allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward.

I’m in agreement with the morning-line here, so I’m betting the 9/5 favorite, En Wye Cee, ridden by Jose L. Ortiz.

This five-year-old finished in the money for six of his seven career starts, winning three. He most recently finished third in the Knickerbocker Stakes (Grade II) at Belmont last October, and throughout his career, his speed figures have rarely dropped below the triple-digit range. He’ll do.

Todd A. Pletcher trains En Wye Cee for Waterford Stable.

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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