Best Horse Racing Bets for Tuesday, July 20, 2021

| July 20, 2021 3:47 am PDT

My picks for Tuesday wins might include a few morning-line favorites, but they also include a mighty fistful of underdog prospects, including three second-favored likelies at Thistledown Racino and an 8/1 sleeper at Indiana Grand Race Course.

Even Louisiana Downs—which had a morning-line I found myself agreeing with more often than not—yielded a third-favored (at 7/2) entry worth a two-dollar chance.

Remember to check out all the Tuesday races with a visit to our top online racebooks.

Good luck!

My Tuesday Picks for Indiana Grand Race Course

Starting with race two—a six-furlong main track run for Indiana-bred and -sired fillies and mares three years old and upward—I’m betting on the 8/1 sleeper, Remember Me First, ridden by veteran jockey Emmanuel Esquivel.

This three-year-old filly moneyed one of her three career starts, winning her initial maiden attempt.

Not great, I agree, but that graduation run proved she could run faster than at least one of her current competitors—Valsheba—who came in third in that race and who the morning-line has second-favored in this race at 3/1.

George Leonard III trains Remember Me First for Leonard Racing Stable.

Race three is a six-furlong main track run for Indiana-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m calling this race for the second-favored Verry Amelia, with Santo Sanjur in the irons.

This three-year-old filly finished in the money four of her six career starts, winning two. Her most recent run was resulted in a third-place finish in the Hoosier Breeders Sophomore Stakes (Black Type) for three-year-old fillies in late June. Sanjur was aboard for that run, as well as an allowance win earlier that month.

Antonio Duran trains Verry Amelia for owner-breeder Rancho Monarca, LLC.

In race five—a 1-1/16 mile main track run for Indiana-bred three-year-olds and upward—I’m agreeing with the morning-line and betting my two dollars on the 4/5 favorite, Hard Luck Justice, with Samuel E. Bermudez aboard.

This three-year-old gelding had three money finishes in his six career starts, two of them wins, including his most recent, the Hoosier Breeders Sophomore Stakes (Black Type) for three-year-old colts and geldings in late June.

Lonnie Hinds trains Hard Luck Justice for owner Joselyn Vanesa P. Salazar. Hinds also tapped Bermudez to fill the irons for Hard Luck Justice’s Hoosier Breeders Sophomore Stakes run, as well as for his maiden victory.

Tuesday Picks for Louisiana Downs

We’re starting on the turf course for race four, a one-mile grass run for Louisiana-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the third-favored (at 7/2) Lone Star Secret, ridden by Joel Dominguez.

This three-year-old filly moneyed five of her seven career starts, winning two, which puts her in the statistical lead in this seven-horse field.

Relative newcomer David C. Gomez trains Lone Star Secret for Thomas L. Holyfield.

We’re back on the main track for race five, a seven-panel sprint for three-year-olds and upward. I’m calling this one for the 2/1 morning-line favorite, Dusty Hill, ridden by Emanuel Nieves.

This three-year-old colt moneyed 12 of three of his eight career starts, winning two.

Not spectacular, but it still puts him in the statistical lead in this seven-horse field.

Tim Dixon trains Dusty Hill for owners-breeders David T. Rogers & LaCinda V. Rogers. Dixon has tapped Nieves to ride Dusty Hill for his two most recent races, including a claiming race victory in mid-May.

We switch to the turf for race six—a five-furlong grass run for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m backing the 2/1 morning-line favorite, Our Lost Love, with Emanuel Nieves in the irons.

Campaigned heavily in stakes-level races, this four-year-old filly finished in the money 12 of her 15 career starts, winning six—including the Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint Stakes (Black Type) in December at Fair Grounds Race Course, the Take Charge Brandi Stakes at Delta Downs in February 2020, and the Louisiana Futurity (Black Type) at Fair Grounds in late 2019.

She’ll do.

Ranked among the top 100 trainers for wins every year from 2013 through 2019, Joseph M. Foster works Our Lost Love for owner-breeder Tri-Star Racing, LLC.

Tuesday’s Picks for Thistledown Racino

Let’s start on the main track for race five, a six-furlong run for Ohio-breds three years old and upward. I’m putting my money down on the 4/1 second-favored Shanghai Prince, with veteran jockey Jose A. Bracho aboard.

This three-year-old gelding moneyed two of his four career starts, winning one, which puts him in the statistical lead in this rather lackluster 13-horse field.

Owner Robert C. Cline trains Shanghai Prince for himself and co-owners Stephen Reed and John J. Sugar.

Race six is a six-furlong main track run for three-year-olds and upward. While the morning-line favorite has a solid—and longer—record of success, I’m buying a win ticket on the statistically superior second-favored (at 7/2) Channel Fury, ridden by Malcolm Franklin.

This three-year-old colt finished in the money six of his seven career starts, winning three. He’s also posted recent speed figures comparable to those of the favorite.

James R. Jackson—who’s been on something of a roll for the past two years with both wins and earnings—trains Channel Fury for owner-breeder Elkhorn Oaks, Inc.

In race seven—a 1-1/8 mile main track run for three-year-olds and upward—I’m betting my two dollars on the second-favored (at 5/2) Wicked Warrior, with veteran jockey Ricardo Feliciano aboard.

This four-year-old gelding moneyed 12 of his 14 career starts, winning seven, which puts him far and away in the lead of this six-horse field.

His two most recent wins include the Best of Ohio Sydney Gendelman Stakes at Belterra Park in May.

Multiple stakes-winning trainer Benny R. Feliciano (who also happens to be jockey Ricardo’s father) trains Wicked Warrior for owner Bruce Tallisman. Ricardo Feliciano has saddled Wicked Warrior for every one of his 14 races.

J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with poker, blackjack, and slots.

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