Best Horse Racing Bets for Thursday, August 19, 2021

| August 18, 2021 12:53 pm PDT

I found a fistful of underdogs at my three chosen tracks for Thursday’s picks.

Arlington International Racecourse was a tad stingy, with just a single second-favored prospect wedged between two M/L favorites. Still, Presque Isle Downs gave up two second-favored prospects, while Del Mar Racing had two third-favored underdogs—all of which should make our bankrolls smile.

You can always check out the full race cards of these three tracks at one of our recommended online racebooks.

Good luck!

Thursday Picks for Arlington International Racecourse

Let’s start with race one, a 1-1/16 miles all-weather track claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward. My two dollars is on the 2/1 morning-line favorite, Satiate, ridden by Jareth Loveberry.

This six-year-old mare finished in the money 16 of her 24 career starts, winning seven. And unlike her competition in this six-horse field, her victories aren’t all in the distant past.

Longtime top-ranked Larry Rivelli trains Satiate for owner Carolyn Wilson.

We switch to the turf course for race two, a one-mile starter optional claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m calling this one for the 3/1 second-favored Good Mongolia, with Julio E. Felix in the irons.

This six-year-old mare moneyed 16 of her 28 career starts, winning six, giving her a small but solid statistical edge over the morning-line favorite.

Hugo Rodriguez, who’s having the best year of his career, trains Good Mongolia for Hermilo Racing Stable, LLC. Rodriguez tapped Felix to saddle Good Mongolia for her three most recent races.

Race three takes us back to the all-weather track for a six-furlong allowance race for Illinois-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. I have to agree with the morning-line here and buy a win ticket on the 8/5 favorite, Rank and File, with Javier Tavares aboard.

This five-year-old mare had six money finishes in 14 career starts, with three wins, which puts her in the statistical lead in this short field of six.

Elias Lopez trains Rank and File for his own Lopez Racing Stable, Inc.

Thursday’s Picks for Del Mar Racing

We’re on the turf for race three at Del Mar, a five-furlong starter allowance race for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m betting on one of the third-favored entries (there are two at 4/1) in this race: I’m the Boss of Me, ridden by veteran jockey Abel Cedillo.

This three-year-old filly moneyed four of her seven career starts, winning one.

Peter Miller trains I’m the Boss of Me for Downstream Racing, LLC. Miller has had Cedillo saddle I’m the Boss of Me for her last three races, resulting in two second-place finishes punctuated with a maiden victory.

Race six puts us back on the main track for a one-mile allowance optional claiming race for California-bred or -sired fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the 4/1 third-favored She’s So Pretty, with Emily A. Ellingwood in the irons.

At seven, this mare is the oldest competitor in this eight-horse field, but her record speaks for itself: 14 money finishes in 18 career starts, nine of them wins.

Even more persuasive is her 2021 record of six money finishes in seven starts, four of those wins. It also doesn’t hurt that her jockey brings an apprentice allowance to the party.

Jonathan Wong trains She’s So Pretty for owners Madden Racing, Cynthia Kahuanui, Kim Medearis.

We switch back to the turf for race seven, a 1-3/8 miles allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting on the 5/2 morning-line fave, Ward ‘n Jerry, with top jockey Flavien Prat aboard.

This eight-year-old gelding has been aggressively campaigned at the stakes level—more so than his competition in this race—but his record still compares favorably: 14 money finishes in 29 career starts, with eight wins, including the San Luis Rey Stakes (Grade III) at Santa Anita in March 2020. His speed figures remain in the triple digits in 2021.

Breeders Cup veteran Mike Puype trains Ward ‘n Jerry for owner-breeders Mr. and Mrs. Larry D. Williams. Puype had Prat saddle Ward ‘n Jerry for his two most recent wins.

My Thursday Picks for Presque Isle Downs

We’re on the all-weather track for race six, a six-panel claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m calling this one for the 9/5 favorite, Peanuts Perfection, with veteran jockey Luis Raul Rivera in the irons.

This six-year-old gelding finished in the money ten of his 13 career starts, winning five. His speed figures have remained consistently high throughout his career.

Peanuts Perfection is trained by owner-breeder David Wolochuk, who also put Rivera in the irons for Peanuts Perfection’s last four races, the most recent of which was a win.

Race seven is a mile and 70 yards allowance race on the all-weather track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m buying a win ticket on the 5/2 second-favored Jean V’s Legacy, ridden by top jockey Pablo Morales.

This four-year-old filly moneyed three of her six career starts, winning one.

Ranked among the top 100 trainers for both wins and earnings every year since 2017, Timothy E. Hamm trains Jean V’s Legacy for owners Michael J. Lewis, F L I Racing, and Jonathan Wilmot. Hamm tapped Morales to saddle Jean V’s Legacy for her maiden victory.

For race eight—a 6-1/2 furlong allowance run on the all-weather track for Pennsylvania-bred three-year-olds and upward—I’m betting on the 3/1 second-favored Let Peace Prevail, with jockey Willie Martinez aboard.

This three-year-old colt finished in the money five of his six career starts, winning two, giving him better racing statistics than those of the morning-line favorite.

Trainer Michael C. Pappada—who’s having an outstanding 2021 so far—works Let Peace Prevail for owners Lady Smith Stable, LLC and Don Sayban. Pappada also put Martinez in the irons for Let Peace Prevail’s most recent win.

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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