Best Horse Racing Bets for Friday, May 7, 2021
I decided to mix it up a bit for my Friday picks, so I’ve got races to tout for Golden Gate Fields, Gulfstream Park, and Lone Star Park.
Interestingly, I found I liked the morning line favorites in all the races I chose to assess at Golden Gate, but I liked the second-favored entries in the three races I selected for review at Gulfstream. Purely coincidental, as the stats will show, but odd, nonetheless.
Read on to learn the rationales behind my choices in all the races I assessed for Friday, but before you do—be sure to take a look at all the races at all three tracks with a visit to one of our top horse racing betting sites.
My Friday Picks at Golden Gate Fields
Race one at Golden Gate is a six-panel run on the all-weather track for three-year-olds and up, and I’m going with the 9/5 morning line favorite, Rally Cat.
Rally Cat moneyed eight of his 15 career starts, winning four. While his record has five unproductive Black Type stakes runs, he’s performed well enough in regular allowance and claiming races like this one. Even including the disappointing stakes races, the five-year-old gelding still has a better statistical record than the rest of this field.
Veteran jockey Kevin Orozco has ridden Rally Cat for two of his most recent runs, and trainer Blaine Wright has him in the irons again for this run.
For race five—a five-and-one-half furlong run on the all-weather track for three-year-olds—I like the 8/5 morning line favorite, Time to Zoom, ridden by Brayan Pena.
Time to Zoom’s single career start was his graduation run, and Pena was aboard for that victory. While there are more experienced jockeys around, Pena is a frequent jockey for Trujillo’s horses at Golden Gate—and he certainly got good speed numbers out of Time to Zoom for that maiden run.
Switching to the turf course for race six—a five-and-a-half furlong run for fillies and mares—it might appear that the morning line and I are going steady: I’m buying a win ticket on the 7/5 favorite, Sadie Bluegrass, with Brayan Pena in the irons.
Under training to rising star Jonathan Wong, the four-year-old filly finished in the money 13 of her 14 career starts, winning eight. In comparison, the second-favored (at 9/5) entry in this race moneyed seven of her 11 starts, winning three.
Friday’s Picks for Gulfstream Park
Let’s start off with race one—a one-and-one-sixteenth-mile turf race for fillies and mares. I’m liking the second-favored (at 7/2) entry here: Passion Plus, with veteran jockey Edgard Zayas in the irons.
In addition to the usual maiden, allowance, and claiming runs, trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr. (who took Ny Traffic to the 2020 Kentucky Derby ) has started Passion Plus in five Black Type stakes races—and she’s moneyed two.
For the record, Passion Plus finished in the money 16 of her 32 career starts, winning seven.
Race three is a one-mile main track run for four-year-olds and up, and my magic 8-ball predicts a winner’s circle visit for the second-favored (at 9/5) entry, Tune In.
This five-year-old gelding finished in the money seven of his 13 career starts, winning five. Trainer Diane Morici has tapped several jockeys for Tune In’s races, but she went with Leonel Reyes for his most recent run (a one-mile dirt win in April), and she’s sticking with him for this race, as well.
In race four—a one-and-one-sixteenth mile turf race for three-year-olds—I like the second-favored Uncle Fun at 7/2. He’s got a better record than the favorite.
Granted, the favorite, Zippy Baby, has moneyed in one stakes race and also-ran in another, but winning one race out of eight is no way to impress the punters.
In contrast, Uncle Fun has moneyed seven of his ten career starts, winning three.
Edgard Zayas is trainer Elizabeth L. Doble’s choice to saddle up Uncle Fun for this ride. This is a good choice since Zayas has been aboard Uncle Fun for his four most recent runs, resulting in a second and a third, followed by two consecutive wins.
My Friday Picks for Lone Star Park
Starting with race seven—a seven-furlong main-track run for three-year-old fillies—I’m impressed with the 8/5 morning line favorite, Ekati’s Hit.
Ridden in this race by veteran jockey Luis S. Quinonez, Ekati’s Hit has a solid record of three money finishes in five starts, breaking her maiden on her first career start. She also finished second in the ungraded Slide Show Stakes at Remington Park last November.
Owner-trainer C. R. Trout has had Quinonez aboard Ekati’s Hit for her two most recent races (both at Oaklawn Park).
Race eight is a five-furlong turf run for three-year-olds and upward, and I like the 8/5 morning line favorite, Archidust, for what are soon-to-be obvious reasons.
This five-year-old finished in the money 13 of his 19 career starts, winning eight—including the Richard R. Scherer Memorial Stakes (Black Type) last December at Fair Grounds and the Get Serious Stakes (Black Type) last August at Monmouth Park.
Trainer Steve Asmussen has tapped top jockey David Cabrera to ride Archidust for Friday’s race.
After all that, I have to say—Advantage: Archidust.
And for race nine—a one-miler on the main track for three-year-olds and up—I’m buying a win ticket on the second-favored (7/2) Victory Boulevard.
The four-year-old gelding finished in the money for nine of his 17 career starts, winning five.
Trainer J.R. Caldwell is having a very good 2021; indeed—his Wins/WPS percentages are 24%/58% for the year thus far. While he’s had jockey Miguel Mena aboard for many of Victory Boulevard’s successes, he’s tapped Leandro Goncalves to fill the irons for this run.