Best Horse Racing Bets for Tuesday, April 20, 2021
It’s looking like dry and fast tracks at all three of the racecourses I’m covering for Tuesday: Parx, Indiana Grand, and Turf Paradise — which incidentally also promises a firm turf run for the single grass race I assessed.
Before I move on to the whos and whys of those various races, remember that there’s betting action on these and many others at our recommended online horse racing sportsbooks.
Tuesday Picks at Indiana Grand Race Course
Let’s get right to the runs at Indiana Grand. As I mentioned, the track is fast, and the weather looks to be prime for some solid performances.
I see the odds-on favorite, Patty H, as the probable winner in this six-furlong rumble in race six. With Fernando de la Cruz aboard, this three-year-old pupil of Eclipse Award-winning trainer Brad Cox almost certainly deserves the 3/5 faith the morning line has in her chances.
Still, I see some other outcomes for race six, and one of those is an upset by the 20/1 longshot Next Time You Win, with Thomas Pompell in the irons.
If a winning ticket on Next Time You Win is too risky for your blood, consider a show wager.
In race seven, it’s the third-favored Aiken to be Taken I’m betting on. This filly is under the training of Genaro Garcia and will be ridden in this race by Marcelino Pedroza. She has better WPS stats than the favorite, with eight of her 12 career starts in the money.
Race nine belongs to the third-favored Backstreet Lady. As with her last two runs, trainer Randy L. Klopp has one of his favorite jockeys, Thomas Pompell, aboard for the ride. This filly never finished less than second in her three career starts. In her graduation run at Indiana Grand last September, she never gave up the lead despite a stumble at the starting gate and a bump with competitor Cake ina Can.
My Tuesday Picks for Parx Racing
Like Indiana Grand, Parx should have a fast track for the day’s competitions.
I have to put my money on the fourth-favored (at 5/1) entry in race one, J Wass, with Dexter Haddock in the irons. This Scott A. Lake-trained four-year-old gelding has only finished out of the money three of his nine career starts.
It helps that his speed figures are respectable and his workouts good. Lake has matched J Wass with several jockeys and achieved mixed results; this will be Haddock’s first time aboard.
In race eight, I’m going to stick with Cartouche, the 5/2 morning line favorite. Despite a lackluster career record (one money finish in three starts), this four-year-old filly is under the watchful eye of trainer John C. Servis—yes, the same John C. Servis that took Smarty Jones to wins at the 2004 Kentucky Derby and Preakness. Putting veteran jockey Frankie Pennington in the irons for this run just ices the cake for me.
My money’s on the morning line’s fourth-favored (5/1) Originally From Dot in race nine. With Mychel J. Sanchez in the irons, this Marya K. Montoya-trained filly should make short work of her competition. Montoya, a longtime veteran at Parx, has taken numerous horses to money finishes in regional stakes races.
Tuesday Picks for Turf Paradise
The morning line’s even-money favorite in race three is good enough for me, so my bet’s on Blame it on Rio, a five-year-old gelding under training with Robertino Diodoro and ridden in this race by Karlos Lopez. With two money finishes in his three-start career, Blame it on Rio shows some excellent times in recent workouts at Turf Paradise. This maiden race should be the one where he graduates.
Despite that, I look at the rest of this field and still see Blame it on Rio in the winner’s circle.
All things considered, I like the third-favored (7/2), Mr. Benz, for the win in race nine. Veteran jockey Alejandro Medellin will be aboard this nine-year-old gelding for this six-panel run. Jose Silva, Jr., his trainer, is a veteran of races in Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Arizona and has trained winners such as Ari Gia, who won the 2019 Bella Notte Minnesota Distaff Sprint Championship Stakes at Canterbury Park.
Mr. Benz has consistently good speed figures, and more importantly, won his most recent six-furlong run at Turf Paradise on April 8, 2021.
While California-bred Indian Head Nickle—the 5/2 favorite in race ten—has shown good results on turf and all-weather track, he doesn’t have the starting record to suggest he can prevail against my pick, Musket Powder, with Miguel A. Perez aboard.
I particularly like the fact that Musket Powder has won his two most recent races. First was his one-mile dirt run on April 1 at Turf Paradise, followed a week later by a one-miler on turf at the same course.
Musket Powder’s trainer, Miguel L. Hernandez, has made a name for himself in the Southwest, with stakes wins in Albuquerque and Hobbs, New Mexico, as well as Texas and Arizona.
But Wait, There’s More
Keep an eye on the picks section here because I’ll be picking more winners throughout the week. From upset winners to longshot moneymakers, I’ll bring you the best wagering options each track has to offer.
And don’t forget the Kentucky Derby (like there’s any chance of that happening).