Best Bets for Which Team Scores the Fewest Points in the 2021 NFL Season

By Dan Vasta in NFL
| August 12, 2021 8:43 am PDT

NFL fans always say getting to the postseason and catching fire could give you a shot to make a magical run towards a Super Bowl. If your favorite team struggles to put points on the board, the playoffs are usually going to be out of the question.

Before you know it, your team has a top 10 pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.

Teams get there thanks to poor player development and/or bad coaching. The coaching staff takes most of the blame, but it can also be a lack of leadership in the locker room.

The reasons are endless, but it often comes down to execution and production. With all of that in mind, here are my best bets for which NFL team scores the fewest points in 2021.

Houston Texans (+400)

There are a handful of teams that won’t have lofty expectations for 2021. The common denominator among these struggling teams is they have more than one problem.

An unproven or struggling quarterback is certainly one of them, which may be the case for the Houston Texans this year.

Many are wondering how much Deshaun Watson is going to play for the Texans. Many believe he will not take one snap for this team. He has reported to camp and expects to be ready for the season; therefore, he will receive no fines and will be in good standing with the franchise to seek out a trade.

For now, the Deshaun Watson trade rumors run wild.

The Texans aren’t projected to be great even if Watson plays. Houston has a win total of only four, which is the lowest in the league. Undeniably, they’ll also be one of the best bets for fewest wins in the NFL in 2021.

Their lack of consistent weapons is certainly a concern. The team also has defensive woes that need fixing, but the depth and overall talent are not impressive on paper.

The Titans are an offense that will make the Texans score some points to avoid obliteration, but the rest of the division lacks the offensive firepower. As bad as this team should be, there may not be many games that turn into shootouts.

The odds on favorites to score the fewest points in the league is not random. There are many weaknesses on this team, and scoring points is one of them.

Ultimately, this all plays into them being one of the best Under bets for 2021 NFL win totals.

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New York Jets (+600)

We have also seen a new coaching staff get the opportunity to revitalize these franchises to save face from their fans and the general public.

Nobody likes to be the laughingstock of the league. However, it is worth it for a few seasons if you can be smart and find the right stars that quickly turn your team around.

That’s where the Jets are as 2021 approaches. They got a coaching upgrade via Robert Saleh, but improving their roster and finding success could take time.

The Jets offer some upside, and they have a future that should be improving by the season. Still, there will be growing pains with Zach Wilson under center, and all the players around him lack the needed experience.

Needless to say, improving from what they were a year ago may not look like much. Just look at their offense from 2020.

Fewest Points Scored New York Jets New York Giants Jacksonville Jaguars
2020 15.2 PPG 17.5 PPG 19.1 PPG

New York was the worst scoring offense in the NFL in 2020. They did take measures to get out of the cellar, but real improvement could take time.

Elijah Moore at wide receiver seems like a future stud, but it will be a struggle for the offense as a unit this season. They have open competition at every position other than quarterback.

If there are slow starts to the season, the offense will plummet. The team was an embarrassment with Joe Flacco starting last season, but this is also one of the more improving divisions in football.

Of the four AFC East teams, Buffalo looks like a Super Bowl contender due to their high-octane offense. New England was horrid at times last season, but we know improvement is on the way. And Miami is the wild card, but they nearly reached the postseason last year.

As for the Jets, they were dead last in 2020 as the bottom-feeding AFC East squad. That is probably where they’ll remain this season.

The team may be more competitive, but not much will change regarding wins and losses. Be prepared for them to lead the NFL in the fewest points scored yet again. 

Detroit Lions (+900)

The Lions are on my naughty list heading into the season due to an expansion-like group of receivers. Jared Goff will be looking to throw to the likes of Breshad Perriman, Tyrell Williams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Quintez Cephus, and Kalif Raymond.

That isn’t an amazing wide receiving corps on paper.

Goff had some shining moments with the Rams but also had his fair share of struggles. The squad had dynamic skill players, and the concerns were apparent last season down the stretch. They would often run the ball and attempt to run the clock out since they struggled on defense.

Their young runner D’Andre Swift could turn into a star running behind a solid offensive line, but the opposition will be aware of that.

Having a one-dimensional offense could be bad, seeing as it’s gotten Detroit nowhere in the past. Just look at some of their atrocious records dating back to 2000.

2008 2001 2002, 2006, 2019
0-16 2-14 3-13

In order to beat your team, Detroit needs to turn their passing game into a weapon. Since that doesn’t look like something they’ll be able to do consistently, the Lions could struggle to match their 4.5-win total.

Even if the division has not drastically improved, woes are imminent.

The defense was horrific in the secondary due to their lack of a pass rush. The way Goff has played lately, he is among the bottom ten starters in the league. It should be a long season in year one with Dan Campbell at the helm.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1400)

If you’re looking for a little more value when betting on which NFL team will score the fewest points in 2021, I present the Eagles.

The Eagles and Giants are two teams that look improved on paper, but it remains to be seen by how much. Quarterback concerns are always a prime suspect for offensive struggles.

Jalen Hurts isn’t the future of the franchise, but they lack options at the moment. The rookie was a solid runner but showed consistency as a passer.

Philadelphia had a plethora of issues in their dreadful 4-11-1 season of a year ago.

The lack of a run game other than Hurts tucking it and running was a concern. The lack of passing options was rare to witness, as well. Zach Ertz was one of the more productive tight ends heading into last season, but injuries have caught up with the Philadelphia legend lately.

Dallas Goedert has been solid, but the rest of the weapons have been non-existent.

Jalen Reagor was highly regarded in the draft last season but was injured and did not provide the boost many wanted. Travis Fulgham was the most consistent option throughout the season, but he was far from potent.

The Eagles finished just south of 21 points per game last year. If Hurts can’t be the answer under center, a weak showing could be coming again.

On bright spot is rookie wide receiver DeVonta Smith. The Alabama speedster and former Heisman winner enters 2021 as one of the most explosive players from the draft.

That’s if he can get/stay healthy from his injury, of course.

Denver Broncos (+2000)

Denver has similar odds to reach the Super Bowl as Arizona, Washington, Chicago, Minnesota, and Carolina.

The majority of those teams will have more explosive offenses, and in turn, they may all end up with more victories.

Denver has been abysmal on the offensive side of the football due to the lack of production at quarterback. Drew Lock might not even end up as the full-time starter this season. Teddy Bridgewater might be the starter, which shows how far Lock has fallen.

It’s hard not to look to Bridgewater, of course, seeing how weak Lock has been for Denver. Just look at where he and the Broncos ranked compared to the rest of the NFL last year.

Inept Denver Offense Scoring Offense Drew Lock Passing TD
NFL Rank No. 28 (20.2 PPG) No. 23 (16 TD)

The Broncos compete in a challenging AFC West, so the offense and ultimately points will be stuck in neutral.

Courtland Sutton has needed more time to heal from his season-ending knee injury last season, and the offensive line is not exactly as good as it should be.

The instability of a quarterback can delay the process of all the youngsters. I believe that this team is far too talented to lead the NFL in the fewest points scored, but they have yet to make enough strides on the offensive end.

Which NFL Team Will Score the Fewest Points in 2021?

These teams have all shown us their blemishes over the years, and they lack the potential to dominate in stretches. The lack of quarterbacks is a growing concern for these squads, but many have grueling schedules.

Most of these teams are a solid bet to score the fewest points, to have the fewest wins, and to go under their win total.

I will have to side with the mess that is Houston (+400) as the team that really stands out, however.

The Texans are an utter disaster with or without Deshaun Watson. There has not been much good thus far with the trade rumors. We know he wants out, and the Texans would like to trade him for solid value.

Nobody is giving much at the moment because if he ends up getting indicted, he would likely get placed on paid leave. He might not play a single down for the Texans or for any team for that matter.

If the franchise ends up starting Tyrod Taylor or Jeff Driskel, this will be your team to lead the NFL in the fewest points scored.

That said, all of these teams could be in rough shape in 2021 and look like the best bets to lead the NFL in fewest points scored.

For more ways to make money betting on the NFL this season, check out the posts below.



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