Best Bets for the Tokyo Olympics Tennis Tournaments

| July 22, 2021 6:58 am PDT

Some of the biggest tennis stars won’t play at the Tokyo Olympics because of health problems, but that’s hardly a shocker. The past year or so has been a complete roller coaster, and we’ve seen multiple top players absent for Grand Slams as well.

While this has affected the quality of the tournaments, there has been one silver lining. We’ve seen many upsets and rising stars. I expect something similar in Tokyo, which makes picking the winners of the Olympics tennis tournaments more complicated than you might expect.

I’ve used the latest odds and some of the tips from our Olympics tennis betting guide to determine the top picks for the Tokyo Olympics tennis tournaments. I cover all of the events, sharing my predictions on the most likely outcomes and analysis of the top contenders.

Men’s Olympic Tennis Odds and Betting Pick

Novak Djokovic-112
Daniil Medvedev+300
Stefanos Tsitipas+400
Alexander Zverev+600
Andrey Rublev+1100
Jannik Sinner+1500

Is anyone surprised to see Novak Djokovic on top of the list when it comes to the most likely winners? The world number 1 just won Wimbledon to tie Rafa Nadal and Roger Federer for the most Grand Slam titles ever and will be looking to add an Olympic gold medal to his collection.

Djokovic has the chance to win all four majors this year and add an Olympic gold medal! That would separate him from any other player in the sport’s history, and most of the work is already done.

Nole won the first three Grand Slams of the season, including the French Open (which is the hardest one if you’re not named Rafael Nadal). His 2021 form has been incredible, and he will certainly arrive in Tokyo with the gold in mind.

Analysis of the Top Contenders

Nadal, Federer, and Thiem won’t be there, which makes Djokovic’s task easier, and he is the big favorite for the Tokyo 2020 gold medal. At the same time, I can see at least three players who might be able to stop him.

Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Alexander Zverev have all been pushing the veterans in the past two years. They haven’t quite hit the levels required to beat them consistently at Grand Slams, but they have done so in many Masters tournaments, at the ATP Cup Finals, and other big events.

And the Olympics are much closer to that level, mostly because of the format. The matches are in the best-of-three, unlike majors, that are played in the best-of-five sets. The tournament won’t be as gruesome and mentally challenging, which works in favor of the chasing pack.

As for the rest of the field, it’s hard to see anyone outside of these four winning the gold medal. The likes of Sinner, Rublev, Berrettini and several more are dangerous but too inconsistent to become champions.

Best Bet for the Men’s Olympic Tennis Tournament

Most people will probably back Novak Djokovic, and there’s little doubt that he is the main favorite for the Tokyo 2020 gold medal. And yet, the odds for the Serbian are way too low, in my opinion.

This is not a Grand Slam tournament, so his resilience and mental strength won’t provide that big of an advantage compared to majors. At least three guys can beat him in the best-of-three format, so I prefer picking one of them.

The price for Zverev is tempting, but he has been the most inconsistent guy. Tsitsipas has been great for most of 2021, but his first-round exit at Wimbledon shows that he’s still prone to sudden performance drops.

It feels like Medvedev is the most mature option, and he should have the second seed, so he won’t face Djokovic before the final. That’s enough for me to back the Russian who also loves hard courts, and that’s exactly the surface that will be used in Tokyo.

  • Pick: Daniil Medvedev (+300)

Men’s Olympic Tennis Odds and Betting Pick

Ashleigh Barty+500
Naomi Osaka+500
Simona Halep+700
Gabrine Muguruza+900
Aryna Sabalenka+900
Iga Swiatek+1100
Victoria Azarenka+1400

The betting odds for the women’s tournament clearly show no overwhelming favorite here. Several players have a realistic chance to win the title, and some of the sport’s biggest stars will be here even though a few top athletes had to retire.

That doesn’t help much when it comes to determining the favorites because women’s tennis is just so competitive now. Let’s take a look at the most likely winners next.

Analysis of the Top Contenders

I can confidently say that the list of realistic winners in the men’s tournament includes only four names. It’s much longer than that here, and you could probably make an argument that ten or more players can take the gold home.

And yet, two athletes stand above anyone else. The world number 1 Ashleigh Barty just won Wimbledon and looked formidable in the process. The Australian is full of confidence and is playing excellent tennis right now.

The other player that will be in the spotlight is Naomi Osaka. The home crowd will give her a huge boost, and she’s been excellent in 2021 too. The Japanese player just won the Best Athlete in Women’s Sports award, and the big question here is if she can cope with the pressure. The whole nation will be expecting a gold medal, and that could be a problem.

The likes of Iga Swiatek, Garbine Muguruza, Simona Halep, and several more contestants could win too. And yet, they have been too inconsistent in 2021, so it feels like a stretch backing any of them.

Best Bets for the Women’s Olympic Tennis Tournament

I would normally have to decide between Naomi Osaka and Ashleigh Barty for my tennis betting pick for Tokyo 2020 tennis tournament winner. However, the odds of +500 for both players allow me to back both and still get value. That’s the smart choice in my opinion.

  • Pick 1: Ashleigh Barty (+500)
  • Pick 2: Naomi Osaka (+500)

If you decide not to follow me, I still recommend picking more than one player for the women’s tournaments. The odds are excellent, and you can easily combine even three contestants and still score a decent profit.

Predictions for the Doubles Tennis Tournaments at Tokyo

Since the Olympic tennis odds for the doubles tournaments haven’t been released yet, I decided to share my predictions based on what we know so far.

If you plan to bet on the event, make sure to take the prices into account. They should be out any day now.

Prediction for the Men’s Doubles Olympic Tournament

At first glance, it looks like the men’s doubles tournament should be somewhat easy to predict. The Croatian team of Ante Pavic and Nikola Mektic has been dominating 2021 with wins at Wimbledon and multiple Masters competitions.

The guys surely enter the Olympics as the main favorites, and there is one clear contender that could trouble them. France’s Nicolas Mahut and Pierre-Hugues Herbert have been excellent this year too.

These two teams should lead the way, but the USA, Spain, Australia, and Russia are sending very competent couples. It might be closer than most people think. I still think that the Croatians are the best, but it should be very competitive.

  • Prediction: Ante Pavic and Nikola Metic to Win

Prediction for the Women’s Doubles Olympic Tournament

The women’s doubles should also be very close in Tokyo. The Czech Republic has two very strong teams, especially the duo of Barbora Krejcikova and Katerina Siniakova. They won several big competitions this year, including the French Open.

Belgium, Russia, and Spain should perform well, too, alongside a few other countries. The big question here is if some players would accumulate fatigue from playing both the doubles and the singles tournaments.

It’s tough to pick a winner, but I think that Krejcikova and Siniakova have the most experience together, so they should be able to win the gold medals.

  • Prediction: Barbora Krejcikova and Katerina Siniakova to Win

Final Thoughts

Some of you probably noticed that I’ve missed the mixed doubles in my best tennis bets for the Tokyo Olympics. That’s because we don’t know the exact teams yet. My advice would be to back some of the traditionally strong countries, like the USA, Spain, Russia, or a nation of a similar caliber.

If you want more help for betting on the Tokyo Olympics, you should check out our Olympics betting guide that features useful information and tips for the most popular sports.

We also have an Olympics blog with plenty of great posts on the games.

Jerry Summer
Jerry Summer

Jerry Summer has a wide-ranging interest in gambling and the gambling industry. He's made a living out of both playing poker and betting on sports.

The English Premier League and the NBA are among Jerry's primary areas of expertise. He's knowledgeable about many other sports, too, along with poker and several casino games.

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