Best Bets for NFL Parlays – Divisional Round, 2021

| January 12, 2021 10:32 am PDT

My top NFL parlay picks were pretty ambitious last week. They didn’t pan out, but I certainly hit some picks that some didn’t see coming. 

The big one was the Browns upsetting the Steelers, while the Colts ATS and Baltimore winning were two other bets that converted.

I was pretty surprised to see Derrick Henry struggle so badly, while Washington’s offense was somehow pretty darn good with a street free agent quarterback running the show.

The Rams vs. Seahawks game also should have been a snoozer, yet it exploded and tallied 50 total points.

My NFL parlay failed, but if you cut the parlay down or attacked those three bets individually, perhaps you still had a winning week.

I’m back for more for the 2021 NFL Divisional Round, but this week I’ll probably reign in my ambitious streak a bit. 

Let’s see which NFL parlay picks for the 2021 Divisional Round stand out.

Total Points Over 203.5 (-115)

This bet asks what the total points across the entire 2021 NFL Divisional Round will be. To compare to last week, the Wild Card round had 303 total points.

Naturally, that has this week’s total looking super low. 

Of course, last week did have six games, and this week bettors only have four to work with.

Last week was also not projected to be nearly as high-scoring as this week, either. The Wild Card round featured some pretty slow teams in Chicago, Washington, and Seattle.

This week, three of the four games have totals set at 50+, and all of them could easily go over. You don’t need all of them to hit the Over to give yourself a shot here, though, and I think 203.5 is beatable.

Los Angeles Rams (+7) -120

I’ve been talking up the Rams to start the week, and they’ve graced two of my NFL Divisional Round betting posts already. 

I like them as a potential upset, and their 7-point spread has them coming in as one of the safest NFL bets in the 2021 NFL Divisional Round.

Naturally, I feel obliged to include them in my Divisional Round NFL parlay picks.

Obviously, I could just be looking at this game completely wrong. If you tend to think so, perhaps checking out this Rams vs. Packers NFL betting preview will be more your speed.

Green Bay is the top offense, they’re healthy, well-rested, and will be at home. All of that makes them stand out (and could make me look silly), and that’s before you start looking at the rash of injuries that could derail the Rams.

But Sean McVay is a mastermind, Aaron Donald is a force up front, and Cam Akers is a rising star. 

With the Packers not having top offensive tackle David Bahktiari on hand (out for season) and their defense previously having issues against the run, this feels like a bad matchup for the green and gold.

I won’t go all the way with the upset play for my NFL parlay here, but the Rams ATS looks very good on paper.

Ravens vs. Bills Over 50 (-110)

Another bet I love and feel had to be in my NFL parlay picks for the 2021 NFL Divisional Round is the Over for this Ravens vs. Bills clash.

Baltimore did slow things down in a tight 20-13 win last week, but I tend to think they won’t have that luxury in Buffalo. Josh Allen and co. have one of the league’s best offenses, and they don’t really run the ball that much.

That likely means Allen will come out swinging for the fences early (and get the game humming along), or the Ravens put up points and force the Bills to throw like they want to, anyway.

Both of these offenses have explosive ability, and I don’t think the opposing defenses will be able to consistently or effectively limit either offense. 

This projects as a fun shootout and the reasonable total puts the Over very much in play.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (+145)

Here’s my big value bet for the Divisional Round. It’s always possible there just aren’t any upsets this week, of course.

Every single underdog is on the road, and the four home teams are quite good. Going into Kansas City, Buffalo, New Orleans, or Green Bay and getting a win is, well, not easy.

So, if you just don’t want to bet on any upset picks this week, I don’t blame you. 

Even so, Tom Brady and co. just hung 31 points on a pretty decency Washington defense, and they’re as talented as anyone.

And they know it.

The Bucs also have a nasty taste in their mouths after a 38-3 beatdown by the Saints earlier this year. It’s tough to beat any team a third time, and I have a feeling Tompa Brady moves on to the NFC title game.

Top 2021 Divisional Round NFL Parlay Bet

  • Total Points Over 203.5 (-115)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+7) -120
  • Ravens vs. Bills Over 50 (-110)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (+145)

Last week’s NFL parlay was pretty insane when it came to what you could have won. It only got half the picks right, though, because it was also overly ambitious.

Hindsight is always 20/20, but I can still admit it was on the risky side. Any parlay is, but this week’s is a tad more tame. I think there’s still some value here, however, as $100 would turn this week’s NFL parlay picks into $739.75 at Bovada.

I love the Rams to beat the spread, and I have them in my 2021 Divisional Round NFL upset picks. You only have four games to work with, though, so for this NFL parlay, I’ll stick to just one underdog play to wrap things up.

If you want to go the extra mile and add the Rams on as +255 underdogs instead of playing it safe ATS, though, that ups the payout to $1,526.05.

As usual, you can add NFL parlay picks to what I’m giving you, or you can take 1-2 picks off. You also are free to shop for better prices at other NFL betting websites or just target all of these bets individually.

Whatever you do, I wish you luck. Thanks for stopping by, and enjoy the games!

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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