Best Bets for the 2021 New Holland 250 – NASCAR Xfinity Series

| August 20, 2021 6:40 am PDT

Following back-to-back road course races, the NASCAR Xfinity Series is back on a four-turn oval.

Michigan International Speedway will host the New Holland 250. The Xfinity Series will run on the two-mile oval for the first time since 2019.

Fans can watch the race on Saturday, August 21 at 3:30 p.m. ET on NBCSN. The 250-mile race will feature 125 laps.

With Austin Cindric winning last weekend at the Indianapolis Road Course, we’ve now predicted a winner in two of the last three Xfinity Series races.

Can we make it three out of four? Let’s look at my 2021 New Holland 250 betting picks to find out.

Ty Gibbs (+320)

It’s hard to bet against Ty Gibbs right now. The 18-year-old phenom has been nothing short of spectacular this season.

Running a part-time schedule, Gibbs has three wins in 11 starts. Last week, Gibbs was on his way to his ninth top-five finish of the season, but he had to pit late.

We don’t have any Michigan stats to go off of because Gibbs has never raced there. However, that shouldn’t stop you from betting on him.

Coming into the 2021 season, Gibbs hadn’t raced on a lot of tracks he has competed on this season in the Xfinity Series.

Even with that inexperience, he has gone out and competed for the win in just about every race.

I should add that Gibbs won’t come into this race with zero experience. He will run the ARCA race at Michigan on Friday. We’ve already seen him pull off the weekend sweep once this season at Charlotte. Why not do it again?

Lastly, Gibbs’ team, Joe Gibbs Racing, has won three of the last five Xfinity Series races at Michigan. That should give you even more confidence in Gibbs for this weekend.

He’ll start 10th in Saturday’s race, but would it surprise anyone if he was in the top-five in the first 20 laps or so?

Daniel Hemric (+750)

Daniel Hemric has to win at some point, right? The guy has come so close in his NASCAR career, but something always goes wrong at the end.

He is having a great 2021 season with eight top-five finishes. Six of those eight finishes are inside the top three.

When it comes to lap leaders this season, Hemric is among the Series leaders.

  • Austin Cindric: 585 laps
  • Daniel Hemric: 397 laps
  • Justin Allgaier: 251 laps
  • A.J. Allmendinger: 192 laps
  • Josh Berry: 151 laps

Hemric has two career starts at Michigan in the Xfinity Series. His 12th place finish in 2017 isn’t much to celebrate, but he improved upon that with a runner-up finish in 2018.

That race, he was so close to scoring his first career victory. Because rain ended the race early, it basically came down to a one-lap shootout.

Austin Dillon held the lead but Hemric was alongside him when the caution came out. If they threw the caution just moments later, maybe Hemric would have pulled ahead of Dillon.

Can Michigan be the race he finally captures his first career victory? We talked about Joe Gibbs Racing’s success at the track. Maybe some of it will rub off on Hemric.

He starts seventh on Saturday.

Noah Gragson (+1100)

Coming into the 2021 season, Noah Gragson had high expectations. The team was coming off a two-win season and fifth-place points finish. Unfortunately, there has been a ton of regression for Gragson and the No. 9 team this season.

Gragson finished outside the top 25 in seven of his first 13 races this season. Gragson should’ve won a race at Homestead early in the season but a lap car crashed right in front of him. He couldn’t avoid the car and smashed right into him.

The good news is Gragson has looked much better over the past few weeks. Check out his last eight finishes.

  • Texas: 7th
  • Nashville: 8th
  • Pocono: 4th
  • Road America: 9th
  • Atlanta: 3rd
  • New Hampshire: 14th
  • Watkins Glen: 7th
  • Indianapolis Road Course: 5th

His consistency has him firmly in the playoff picture.

In his Xfinity Series career, he has just one start at Michigan. Gragson made the most of that lone start, finishing second in 2019. When you combine his momentum with his Michigan success, you may have a sleeper this weekend.

With five races left until the playoffs, it’s time for Gragson to start racking up playoff points.

He’ll roll off the grid fourth on Saturday.

Tyler Reddick (+1500)

I feel like I can’t do this article without adding a Cup Series regular.

Tyler Reddick returns to the Xfinity Series for his sixth start this season. The two-time Xfinity Series champion hasn’t won this season, but he has run up front.

Check out Reddick’s stats from this season.

Track Starting Position Finishing Position Laps Led
Homestead 38th 40th 8
Las Vegas 40th 12th 0
COTA 5th 8th 0
Charlotte 16th 5th 0
Nashville 17th 15th 0

The Homestead finish doesn’t tell the whole story because his car failed post-race inspection. Reddick actually crossed the finish line second, but the failed inspection resulted in a last-place finish.

This week, he’ll drive the No. 23 car that he drove at both Homestead and Las Vegas.

Reddick’s Michigan numbers are better than anyone else’s in the field. He finished 13th and seventh in his first two Michigan starts, respectively.

In 2019, Reddick passed Cole Custer with 11 laps to go to take the lead and eventually the win.

Reddick is the only driver in the field with an Xfinity Series win at Michigan.

Over on the Cup side, Reddick is in a tight battle for the final playoff spot. A win on Saturday could give him plenty of momentum for Sunday’s Cup Series race.

If he wants to pull off the victory, he’ll have to overcome a 22nd place starting position.

Betting Advice for the New Holland 250

I shied away from the favorites this week, picking just two of the top six betting favorites. I felt there was more value down the line for Saturday’s race.

Ty Gibbs is my favorite going into this weekend.

His team has not shown any weaknesses all season and I don’t expect them to slow down here.

Daniel Hemric is on the brink of a win and Joe Gibbs Racing’s success makes me feel good about him this weekend.

Lastly, I like Noah Gragson and Tyler Reddick because of their value and Michigan success.

If you enjoy NASCAR and want to win when you bet, do some extra research and check out NASCAR betting strategies.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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