Belmont Park Picks – Thursday, October 29, 2020
Belmont Park offered us some tough choices today, what with two of their three richest races running on turf—and their best competitors split between the grass and the also-eligibles/MTOs. Still, only one horse can win each race, and I managed to find the most likely candidates regardless of which horses fill the starting gate.
Read on for my Belmont Park picks and betting tips for Thursday, October 29, 2020.
Picks for Belmont Park Race 2
This is a maiden special weight race for New York-foaled two-year-olds running a distance of six furlongs on turf for a purse of $70,000.
If the also-eligible Panster (5/2 M/L) with Junior Alvarado aboard, starts this race, then my money is on Panster. This colt moneyed both of his career starts.
If that doesn’t happen, then I’m betting the 3/1 turf favorite Storm Shooter, with Jose L. Ortiz in the irons. This colt finished his single career start in the money.
Plenty of longshots in this race, but none that appear to have a chance to finish in the money, so let’s save our risky-money.
- Win: Panster 5/2 (if starts)
- Win: Storm Shooter 3/1 (otherwise)
Pick for Belmont Park Race 7
This is a maiden special weight race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $80,000.
Plenty of star-talent here, both in the irons and on the ground, but I am backing the fourth-favored (5/1) Risk Model, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. aboard. This three-year-old filly moneyed in two of her four career starts, which puts her in the lead statistically in this field. Sure, the favorite has better workout times, but a workout is not a race—and the favorite failed to money in her single start.
There are no long-odds entries in this race.
- Win: Risk Model 5/1
Picks for Belmont Park Race 8
This is an allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward running a distance of six furlongs on turf for a purse of $88,000.
Here’s another of those either-or turf/main track dilemmas that’s actually pretty easy to resolve: Bet whichever horse Irad Ortiz, Jr. is riding to win.
Ortiz may ride the Shekky Shebazz (top half of the 1/1A coupled entry). The morning line has this five-year-old gelding at 7/2, and he moneyed 16 of his 23 career starts, winning six.
But it’s possible Ortiz will ride the 7/2 also-eligible Wendell Fong. This four-year-old colt moneyed four of his ten starts, winning three.
And at 20/1, I like Dubini, with Javier Castellano in the irons, for a value show bet. This seven-year-old gelding moneyed 13 of his 24 career starts, winning six.
- Win: Shekky Shebazz 7/2 (if starts)
- Win: Wendell Fong 7/2 (otherwise)
- Show: Dubini 20/1
More Racing Predictions for Thursday
I found plenty of underdogs and even some long-odds prospects at the other two tracks I reviewed for today’s races: