Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones – College Football, November 7, 2020

| November 6, 2020 11:36 am PDT

Doesn’t Baylor’s whipping of Kansas in the Big 12 opener seem like it was ages ago?

That’s because in the time that has passed, the Bears have lost three straight games and have had another one postponed. On the flip side, Iowa State’s only blemish in conference was a three-point road loss in Stillwater. The Cyclones unexpectedly lost their first game to Louisiana Monroe, but that’s neither here nor there.

Let’s focus on this weekend’s matchup in Ames and generate a Baylor vs. Iowa State prediction.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds

Baylor (+14)-110
Iowa State (-14)-110
Baylor to Win+420
Iowa State to Win-570
Over 47.5-110
Under 47.5-110

The opening two-touchdown line hasn’t budged all-week long. I typically urge readers to shop their lines when betting sports online, but in this case, you have plenty of options.

To piggyback on that theory, the 47.5-point total is consistent at all of the top sportsbooks I’ve encountered.

What the Bears Do Well

Defend the Pass. I wish I could boast about Charlie Brewer and the passing attack, but the fact of the matter is the Bears offense has been dreadful. On the plus side, Baylor’s yielding just 194.5 yards through the air and ranks third in the Big 12 in points allowed.

Watching this program shift to more of a defensive-minded team isn’t a shocker considering Dave Aranda was hired. The defensive coordinator/linebackers coach the past four seasons at LSU is trying to instill a new culture in Waco, and it’s certainly rubbing off on Terrell Bernard.

The junior LB leads the team in tackles and sacks, as well as being tied for the team lead in pass deflections.

What the Cyclones Do Well

Keep the chains moving. The Cyclones have rushed for 56 first downs – second in the Big 12 to only Chuba Hubbard and the Cowboys. Iowa State is the only team in the conference that averages more than 200 yards per game on the ground, not to mention, Brock Purdy is doing a nice job of taking care of the football.

Tom Manning deserves credit for running a tight ship on offense, and the big men up front are doing a fabulous job protecting. With that being said, it’s time to pay Breece Hall the respect he deserves.

2nd in America in rushing yards (901) and second in rushing touchdowns (11), this sophomore sensation will be making defenders miss in the open field for many years to come. 

Baylor vs. Iowa State Pick

There’s no question that Iowa State is the more well-rounded team. Their ability to pound the football and drain the clock will most likely exhaust the Bears. Nevertheless, one of the Big 12 predictions I made earlier in the week was that Baylor stays within the spread.

The Bears traveled to Morgantown and lost in excruciating fashion (2OT). They made the trek to Austin and lost by 11. As patchy as the play on offense has been, Coach Aranda’s group is finding ways to stay in ball games – even against tough teams in challenging environments.

I’m not bold enough to peg BU to pull off the upset, but I’ll take them to cover in a Baylor vs. Iowa State prediction.

More NCAAF Predictions on November 7

I’m locking in this Baylor vs. Iowa State pick, but there are a few more NCAAF games that have caught my attention. Starting with another matchup taking place in the Hawkeye State.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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