Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays – MLB, September 27, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| September 27, 2020 1:53 am PDT

It is the final game of the regular season for the Orioles and Blue Jays. Of course, the Blue Jays will be playing beyond Sunday while Baltimore’s season is over. The Orioles finished fourth in the AL East, 15.0 games out of first place. Toronto was seven games out, but they finished as the second wild card team, so they live for at least two more days.

The Blue Jays will open the playoffs against the top team in the American League, the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles are left to wonder what happened, as they went 2-8 to close out the season, ending their chances of making it to the post-season.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds

BET ODDS
Orioles +1.5 -150
Blue Jays -1.5 +130
Orioles to Win +120
Blue Jays to Win -140
Over 10.5 +100
Under 10.5 -120

The surprising number is Toronto favored to win straight up (-140). Baltimore has the superior starter and you may want to take a closer look at the Orioles at +120.

The total is set high here, which means that oddsmakers expect a high scoring affair. The Blue Jays starting Tanner Roark is an interesting move, as they may be looking to just give him an inning or two and then give each major member of the bullpen an inning or two to give them some work before the playoffs begin. That should help to keep the score low, so the under 10.5 could be a smart pick.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Preview

The Orioles are going with Keegan Akin. The lefty is 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA in five starts and two relief appearances. Akin’s longest outing this season was 5.1 innings back on September 5, but he has only made it five in one of his last three starts. That means an early entrance by the Baltimore bullpen. Akin allowed four runs, two earned, in four innings in his last start against Boston. He gave up two unearned runs in 4.1 innings against the Blue Jays on August 31.

Toronto goes with Tanner Roark. Roark has made 10 starts, going 2-3 with a 7.01 ERA. The righty has gone no more than 4.1 innings in any of his four starts in September. He faced the Yankees in his last three starts, including September 22, when he was shelled by New York, giving up six runs in 4.1 innings. Roark gave up 14 homers in 43.2 innings.

The Orioles have hit 77 homers in 59 games. They have the hitters to be able to take advantage of Roark, who has been giving up the longball in huge numbers.

Toronto has one of the best offenses in baseball. They have scored 297 runs, seventh most in the league. They have 86 homers and a .256 team average. This has the potential to be a high scoring runs.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Pick

Roark was likely not going to go much more than three or four innings if this was a regular start. However, this is the final tune-up for the pitching staff which will begin in the middle of next week. That means that the team will want to give their bullpen a little work so they staff fresh following the days off.

For this reason, Baltimore is not going to be scoring huge numbers of runs. Neither is Toronto. This is going to be a lower scoring game than many would suspect, a game that will be won by Baltimore as the Blue Jays will be resting many of their starters to avoid injury.

Baltimore will win, 5-4.

Pick
  • Orioles to Win
    +120

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