Ball State Cardinals vs. Buffalo Bulls – College Football, December 18, 2020

| December 17, 2020 10:01 am PDT

Five games down and not a single MAC opponent has even come close to challenging the Bulls. Buffalo is not only undefeated heading into Friday night’s MAC Championship Game – their average margin of victory is an eye-popping 30.8 points per contest.

Will this weekend’s tilt turn into another cakewalk for Lance Leipold and his bunch, or can the Cardinals put a dent in the Bulls “unbeaten” plans?

Let’s take a look at a Ball State vs. Buffalo prediction, starting with the MAC Championship Game odds.

Ball State vs. Buffalo Odds

Ball State (+13.5)-105
Buffalo (-13.5)-115
Ball State to Win+380
Buffalo to Win-510
Over 66.5-110
Under 66.5-110

The Cardinals will stroll into Ford Field winners of five consecutive games and have every right to think they can emerge. However, the best college football sportsbooks have installed Buffalo as nearly a two-touchdown favorite, leading the public to believe that this could be a lopsided matchup.

In terms of how these two programs have treated bettors, Ball State is 3-3 against the spread. Five of their six games have been decided by a touchdown or less.

On the complete opposite end of the spectrum, Buffalo is 4-1 ATS and has been obliterating their competition on a routine basis. In fact, an opening 19-point victory at Northern Illinois is the only time Buffalo hasn’t won by at least 25 points.

A Case For Betting on the Cardinals

Any thoughts of stud running back Caleb Huntley being back for this game can be put to bed.

Nevertheless, all is not lost as this offense has performed admirably in the wake of Huntley’s absence.

Will Jones and Tye Evans have done a decent job filling in (4.5 ypc as a duo), but it’s the consistency of Justin Hall that has allowed this team to flourish. The speedster wideout has registered seven or more catches in each of the Cardinals last five wins, plus he’s chipping in with carries out of the backfield.

Essentially, Mike Neu is doing everything he can to force-feed his top playmaker the ball. Hall’s breakout performance came last week in a 30-27 victory over Western Michigan to secure Ball State’s spot in the MAC Championship Game.

With a weapon like Justin Hall, the back-door cover is always in play.

A Case For Betting on the Bulls

Buffalo isn’t the biggest threat to air the pigskin out, but it’s not exactly because they can’t. It’s because the proficiency of Jaret Patterson hasn’t forced their hand.

Recently announced as the MAC’s MVP and Offensive Player of the Year, Patterson’s video-game-like 8.3 yards per carry has made the Bulls offense nearly impossible to contain. Did I mention Coach Leipold has another RB (Kevin Marks Jr.) who averages more than 100 rushing yards per game, or should I just alert you that Buffalo’s 344.6 rushing yards/game is tops in the FBS.

I’m reluctant to tell you that Ball State has enough girth up front to impede on the Bulls progress. 

Ball State vs. Buffalo Pick

Playing Friday night’s MAC Championship Game at a neutral site isn’t going deter the Bulls from running wild. Leaning on the play of their offensive line and running backs has worked all season long, and nothing points toward that philosophy coming to a halt against the Cardinals.

I like Buffalo win this one fairly handily, although I also think the over is firmly in play.

Remember, the Bulls average a whopping 51.8 points pour in over 500 yards of offense. Ball State tallies more than 33 points per game and has no problem moving the chains. With all the chips in the middle, my MAC Championship Game prediction is that we see a substantially high-scoring affair.

Final Thoughts

How do you feel about this Ball State vs. Buffalo prediction? Are you ready to lock this wager in?

Here’s my opinion on a few of the other Conference Championships this weekend.

Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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