Prediction for Avalanche vs. Lightning Game 4 – 2022 Stanley Cup Finals

| June 21, 2022 11:01 am PDT

The Colorado Avalanche dominated the first two games of the Stanley Cup, but the Tampa Bay Lightning jumped back into the series with a 6-2 victory in Game 3. My Avalanche vs. Lightning pick for Game 4 won’t be easy after Game 3.

Colorado is still in a good position. Winning Game 4 would give them a 3-1 series lead as they head back to Colorado. However, Tampa Bay would have the momentum if they even the series.

Let’s check out the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting odds.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Odds for Game 4

Sportsbook Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning Bonus Offered
Bovada (-110) (-110) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (-105) (-105) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (-110) (-110) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (-105) (-115) 100% up to $1,000

The top NHL betting sites still favor the Colorado Avalanche to win the Stanley Cup Finals, but Game 4 is a toss-up. MyBookie is the only site favoring the Tampa Bay Lightning. How will that impact your Avalanche vs. Lightning betting pick?

Following a tight Game 1, we’ve seen a pair of one-sided matchups. Colorado easily covered the spread in Game 2, while Tampa Bay flipped the script in Game 3. Will we see a one-goal difference in Game 4?

The goal total opens at six, but every site favors the under.

That’s an interesting stance considering every game has gone over six goals. Games 2 and 3 featured one team scoring 6+ goals on their own. The Avalanche vs. Lightning odds don’t expect that to continue.

Brayden Point and Andre Burakovsky missed Game 3 with injuries. There isn’t much news surrounding Burakovsky, but Point is doubtful for Game 4. Will that swing the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting odds?

Avalanche vs. Lightning Breakdown

Coming into Game 3, there was much discussion surrounding the struggles of Andrei Vasilevskiy. There was hope he would slow down a potent Colorado Avalanche offense, but he allowed 11 goals in the first two games.

Vasilevskiy looked much better in Game 3, allowing two goals on 39 shots. Tampa Bay’s offense was the driving force behind their Game 3 victory. It was crucial to score the win, but it came at a price.

Star winger Nikita Kucherov suffered an injury after a questionable hit by Devon Toews.

Thankfully, it sounds like Kucherov will be good for Game 4. That’ll be big for my Avalanche vs. Lightning prediction, as his 26 points in the postseason are most among players in the Stanley Cup Finals.

Colorado’s high-flying offense struggled to build momentum in Game 3. They had an early goal taken off the board after an offsides call. Gabriel Landeskog had a pair of power-play goals, but it didn’t mean much in the end.

The biggest issue for Colorado in this series was the goaltender matchup. It didn’t matter in the first two games, but the Avalanche couldn’t stop the Lightning in Game 3.

  Darcy Kuemper Pavel Francouz
Shots 22 10
Goals Allowed 5 1
Save Percentage .773 .900

Colorado pulled Kuemper midway through the second period. Now they’ll have to decide which goalie to start in Game 4. That decision should impact your Avalanche vs. Lightning pick.

I don’t believe Colorado needs to heavily adjust their plan to win Game 4. Their offense failed to score an even-strength goal, but their goaltending was the key difference. The Lightning didn’t score in the third period.

Will my Avalanche vs. Lightning expert pick favor a bounce-back performance from the Avalanche? The odds tell us that both teams have a solid chance to win Game 4.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Same Game Parlay

  • Artturi Lehkonen Under 0.5 Points (-128)
  • Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 Assists (-130)
  • Victor Hedman Over 0.5 Assists (-110)

My same game parlay for the Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning will give you a good mix of player props. Will it impact your Avalanche vs. Lightning betting pick?

Artturi Lehkonen had a big performance in the Conference Finals, recording four points in four games. That carried over to Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Lehkonen scored a power-play goal in the first period of Game 1.

However, we haven’t seen the same player over the last two games. Lehkonen hasn’t recorded a point and has a series worst -5 plus/minus. His tough Stanley Cup Finals should continue as he fails to record a point in Game 4.

One player that hasn’t had an issue scoring points is Mikko Rantanen. Check out his point breakdown in each game.

  • Game 1: 2 assists
  • Game 2: 3 assists
  • Game 3: 2 assists

Colorado has many stars, but Rantanen might be their best player through three games. He hasn’t scored a goal in the Stanley Cup Finals, but he leads the series with seven points. That’s significant for my Avalanche vs. Lightning prediction.

There has been so much attention surrounding Colorado’s offense that we forget about Tampa Bay’s top players. Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov have received attention, but what about Victor Hedman?

Hedman won the Conn Smythe Trophy in the 2020 playoffs. He hasn’t been as good in this year’s playoffs, but two goals and 15 assists fit the bill.

He is coming off his best game of the series, recording two assists with a +3 plus/minus. I like his chances to add to his assist total in Game 4.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Pick

My Pick: Over 6 Goals (-102)Bet on the NHL at BetOnline

Like the sportsbooks, I’m torn with my Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning pick. Because of that, I’m revolving my Avalanche vs. Lightning expert pick around the goal total.

Game 1 saw a back-and-forth game, but one offense took command in Games 2 and 3. I believe we’ll see a closer matchup in Game 4, but I expect the offenses to show up. We should see a 4-3 or 5-2 game.

Please tune in to ABC on Wednesday at 8 p.m. ET to watch Game 4. Feel free to check out our NHL mock draft as we look ahead to the offseason.

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Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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