Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins – MLB, October 8, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| October 8, 2020 12:15 am PDT

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins will face off against each other Thursday, October 8, at Minute Maid Park in Houston in Game 3 of the National League Division Series.

The Braves are one step away from the championship series after losing their last eight NLDS, while the Marlins are on the verge of their first playoff exit in franchise history.

Therefore, Thursday’s clash between two NL East foes will be full of excitement. I bring you the best Braves vs. Marlins betting pick along with the latest odds update and key betting tips and notes.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

BET ODDS
Braves -1.5 +120
Marlins +1.5 -140
Braves to Win -135
Marlins to Win +125
Over 8.5 -110
Under 8.5 -110

Once more, the Braves are favorites to beat the Marlins. However, after winning the opener at -210 and Game 2 at -195 odds, the Braves are set at -135 odds in this one.

Atlanta will start Kyle Wright who’s played poorly during the regular season, while Miami will start Sixto Sanchez who impressed in his rookie season.

Braves vs. Marlins Preview

The Braves trailed for most of Game 1, but they hit a couple of home runs and drove six runs home in the seventh inning to overcome the deficit. Travis d’Arnaud and Dansby Swanson smacked a homer in the opener each, and they hit a couple of solo dingers in Game 2.

Atlanta’s lineup is loaded, and the Braves had the second-highest scoring offense in the regular season, averaging a whopping 5.80 runs per game. They’ve won six of their last seven meetings with the Marlins including a 29-9 home victory on September 9.

The Braves are 4-1 in their previous five matchups with Miami, scoring 33 runs in the process and allowing only 14 in a return. Atlanta’s pitching staff did a great job in that span, but Kyle Wright went 0-2 in a couple of starts against the Marlins this past regular season.

The 25-year-old right-hander allowed eight earned runs on nine hits and eight walks to Miami’s bats over seven innings. Wright finished the season with a poor 5.21 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, and 30/24 K/BB ratio.

On the other side, the Marlins hope Sixto Sanchez will replicate his performance from the wild-card series. The 22-year-old righty tossed five shutout innings against the Cubs while punching out six and yielding four hits.

Sanchez was 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 33/11 K/BB ratio in seven starts and 39 innings of work this past regular season. He went 1-0 in a couple of starts against the Braves, throwing nine innings in the process and yielding four earned runs on seven hits.

Braves vs. Marlins Pick

The Marlins haven’t impressed offensively in the regular season, tallying 4.38 runs per game, enough for the 21st-best in the majors. However, they hit well in the opener and will have to bounce back from a disappointing Game 2 performance if they want to stay alive.

Kyle Wright is the weakest link in the Braves’ rotation, and I expect the Marlins to hit well against him. On the other side, Sanchez had one strong outing against the Braves in the regular season, but the other one wasn’t good at all.

The Braves’ bullpen did a great job in this series, but Game 3 could be a long one if Wright stumbles early. Also, I always rely on the Braves’ offense even though Sixto Sanchez is one of the top prospects in baseball, so I’m betting on the over.

Pick
  • Over 8.5 runs
    -110

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