Atalanta vs. Sampdoria – Serie A, October 24, 2020

By Admir Aljic in Soccer
| October 22, 2020 2:27 pm PDT

The Italian Serie A continues with Matchday 5 over the weekend, bringing plenty of interesting picks and markets to the bettors, so here’s my best Atalanta vs. Sampdoria betting pick.

Both these teams have started the season on the right foot, so we’ll see a great battle at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo between two in-form teams.

Last season, they played a goalless draw in Genoa, while Atalanta beat Sampdoria 2-0 in Bergamo.

Atalanta vs. Sampdoria Odds

Atalanta -1.5+115
Sampdoria +1.5-125
Atalanta to Win-225
Sampdoria to Win+580
Draw+420
Over 3.5-110
Under 3.5+100

Atalanta is listed as a firm -225 fave to win this clash, and the bookies might have underestimated Sampdoria. However, Atalanta has won eight of its previous nine home games in Serie A along with just one loss to Inter.

On the other side, Sampdoria has dropped two of its last four showings on the road along with a win and a draw.

Over the last two years, Atalanta has played some very entertaining soccer with plenty of goals in total, so don’t be surprised by a 3.5-goal line. Of course, you can choose a 2.5-goal line, but the over backers won’t be pleased with the odds.

Atalanta vs. Sampdoria Preview

Atalanta is coming off a convincing 4-0 road victory over Midtjylland in the opening round of the UEFA Champions League group stage this past Tuesday.

The Black and Blues stormed the front and netted three first-half goals against the Danish champions, as Luis Muriel, Papu Gomez, and Duvan Zapata all scored one goal each.

Atalanta started the new Serie A season with three straight wins over Torino 4-2 and Lazio 4-1 on the road, and Cagliari 5-2 at home. However, they suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at Napoli last weekend, so the Black and Blues are now sitting at the third spot of the Serie A standings with nine points and a 14:9 goal difference.

On the other side, Sampdoria opened the season with two straight losses at Juventus 3-0 and to Benevento 3-2. La Samp bounced back in the previous two rounds, tallying a couple of big wins over Fiorentina 2-1 on the road and Lazio 3-0 at home.

La Samp were slight underdogs against Lazio, but they put on a terrific performance and completely outplayed the Eagles. Fabio Quagliarella scored the opening goal for La Samp and his third on the season, as the 37-year-old veteran striker has been playing in excellent form lately.

Sampdoria is coming in full strength, while Atalanta cannot count on defender Mattia Caldara and goalie Pierluigi Gollini.

Atalanta vs. Sampdoria Pick

On paper, Atalanta is a better team than Sampdoria, especially on the offensive end. However, the odds on the hosts to win are not tempting at all, while I don’t feel comfortable with a 1.5-goal spread. The Black and Blues failed to cover in four of their previous seven outings at home.

Therefore, I will stick with the totals and bet on both teams to score along with the over 2.5 goals in total. Atalanta failed to keep its net intact in seven consecutive Serie A contests, while four of Sampdoria’s previous six road games saw both teams scoring.

Pick
  • BTTS YES & Over 2.5 Goals
    -130

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