Aqueduct Racetrack Picks – Friday, February 5, 2021

| February 4, 2021 3:36 pm PDT

Aqueduct Racetrack brings us maiden, allowance, and claiming races for the end of the week, and I found a couple of underdogs and even a 15/1 value show wager in the three races I selected from the eight mostly short-field runs.

I review those three races here, but you can find Aqueduct’s full eight-race card — including horses, jockeys, trainers, M/L odds, and wagering options — at one of our recommended online racebooks.

Read on for my Aqueduct Racetrack picks and betting tips for the three richest races on Friday, February 5, 2021.

Pick for Aqueduct Racetrack Race 5

This is an allowance optional claiming race for fillies and mares four years old and upward running a distance of one mile for a purse of $84,000.

My money is on the second-favored (7/2) entry here — Gone Glimmering, ridden by Eric Cancel. This four-year-old filly moneyed nine of her 13 career starts, winning five.

Sure, the 6/5 morning line favorite, Kansas Kis, has a slightly better money-finish percentage (nine money finishes in 11 starts), but she’s only won two.

The longest odds in this six-horse race are 8/1, and neither of those two are going to seem happy endings at the finish line, so save your long money.

  •  Win: Gone Glimmering 7/2

Pick for Aqueduct Racetrack Race 6

This is a maiden special weight race for fillies and mares four years old and upward running a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $70,000.

I’m sticking with the 7/5 morning line favorite for this race — La Kara Mia, with Eric Cancel aboard. This four-year-old filly moneyed one of her two career starts, which actually makes her the frontrunner in this maiden field.

Oh, and that 30/1 longshot you see on the race card — Steppin’ Hawk, with Heman Harkie in the irons? Forget about it. That is just not going to happen.

  •  Win: La Kara Mia 7/5

Picks for Aqueduct Racetrack Race 7

This is an allowance race for New York -foaled four-year-olds and upward running a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $72,000.

Eric Cancel and his mount are the 7/5 morning line favorite in this race, but I’m betting on the second-favored (5/2) entry — Kaz’s Beach, ridden by Trevor McCarthy. This four-year-old gelding finished in the money four of his six career starts, winning one.

And at 15/1, I have to like Possetizzly, with Pablo Morales aboard, for a value show ticket. This five-year-old gelding moneyed 15 of his 23 career starts, winning four.

  •  Win: Kaz’s Beach 5/2
  •  Show: Possetizzly 15/1

My Other Predictions for Friday

Aqueduct Racetrack yielded some potentially profitable surprises for us, but wait til you see what I found at the other two tracks I reviewed for Friday:

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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