Alsco Uniforms 302 NASCAR Predictions – NASCAR Xfinity Series (September 25, 2021)

| September 23, 2021 11:04 am PDT

The Xfinity Series regular season ended with a bang. A.J. Allmendinger won the regular season title after passing Austin Cindric on the final lap to win at Bristol.

Now, it’s time for the playoffs. The playoffs will begin at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The action will happen on Saturday, September 25 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBCSN.

Allmendinger won at Las Vegas in the Spring. Can he complete the season sweep and make it back-to-back wins? Let’s check it out.

Austin Cindric (+350)

Before the late-race carnage at Bristol, Austin Cindric was in position to pick up his sixth win of the season. He was leading by one second when the caution flew with five laps to go. Cindric nearly hung on but A.J. Allmendinger passed him on the final lap to score the victory.

With the second-place finish, Cindric enters the playoffs tied with Allmendinger for first place.

Cindric has gone five races without winning. That may not seem like a lot, but Cindric won five times in the first 21 races this season.

Over the last two races, he has led at least 50 laps. This week, he should be in contention at Las Vegas.

He didn’t finish any better than ninth in his first four starts at Las Vegas. But check out his most recent three races at the track.

Starting Position Finishing Position Laps Led (of 200)
2020 Spring 6th 2nd 39
2020 Fall 2nd 6th 10
2021 Spring 2nd 4th 43

Cindric has yet to win at Las Vegas but he has shown race-winning speed. You know he is hungry after losing last week’s race.

I expect a big start to the 2021 playoffs for Cindric. He starts Saturday’s race on the pole.

A.J. Allmendinger (+700)

A.J. Allmendinger has come a long way from being just a road course guy. Allmendinger has four wins this season and enters the playoffs as the number one seed.

What’s so impressive about Allmendinger’s success is his ability to outrun his car.  He has won two of the last five races but I would say he didn’t have the best car in either race. He just puts himself in the right spot at the end.

His first victory of 2021 came at Las Vegas.

Allmendinger led 44 laps, but they all came in the final 62 laps. He passed Daniel Hemric on a late-race restart to score the victory.

Now, Allmendinger returns to sin city looking for a season sweep.

The momentum is certainly on his side. We talked about his two wins in the last five races, but he is also consistently leading laps.

  • Michigan: 70 laps led
  • Daytona: 29 laps led
  • Darlington: 24 laps led
  • Richmond: 39 laps led
  • Bristol: 1 lap led

I think Allmendinger has a great chance to kick off the playoffs with a bang. He’ll start on the front row, right alongside his biggest competition for the championship.

Daniel Hemric (+750)

It’s time for our weekly discussion on the fact that Daniel Hemric has never won a NASCAR race. He has led at least 17 laps in the last three races, including 78 last week at Bristol. The speed is there but something always gets in the way.

This week, Hemric returns to the site of his first near miss of 2021.

Hemric led a race-high 74 laps at Las Vegas in the Spring. He battled A.J. Allmendinger but Hemric had the lead on the final restart. Unfortunately, Allmendinger grabbed the lead and pulled away over the final 13 laps. Hemric had to settle for second.

I feel like a lot of people have given up on Hemric, but I’m not ready to write him off just yet.

His second-place finish at Las Vegas marked his second straight top-three finish at the track.

We’ve seen Hemric put himself in position on 1.5-mile tracks multiple times this season. He led 105 laps at Charlotte and 45 at Atlanta. He also has top-five finishes at Homestead and Texas. Clearly, the 1.5-mile tracks are his strength.

He could make a serious statement if he begins the playoffs with a win. Hemric will start seventh on Saturday.

Brandon Jones (+1400)

Another fun storyline in these Xfinity Series articles is Brandon Jones’ boom or bust finishes. He has nine top-five finishes this season but also has 10 finishes outside the top 30. That trend has continued over the last five races. He has two top-five finishes and two finishes of 33rd or worse.

The good thing for bettors is one of the tracks Jones ran top five this season is Las Vegas.

He led a season-high 28 laps and finished third in the Spring race. That marked his third finish of sixth or better in his last four starts at the tracks. He has six top 10 finishes in nine career starts at Las Vegas.

This season, he has been very hit or miss on 1.5-mile tracks.

  • Homestead: 2nd
  • Atlanta: 37th
  • Charlotte: 8th
  • Texas: 4th
  • Atlanta: 39th

In Jones’ defense, he was involved in a crash in both Atlanta races.

If he can just stay out of trouble, Jones can put himself in position to win on Saturday. After a winless regular season, that would be a great way to start the playoffs.

Jones will start on the outside of the fourth row. His odds make him an excellent value bet this weekend.

Who Will Win the 2021 Alsco Uniforms 302 at Las Vegas?

This is a tough one because there are multiple drivers that I can see winning this race.

I know the odds aren’t great but I think Austin Cindric kicks off the playoffs with a victory. His team has plenty of momentum and he is riding a hot streak at Las Vegas. I think he picks up his first victory at the track this weekend.

If you feel comfortable enough to place a bet, be sure to use our top NASCAR betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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