Predictions for All Fights at UFC Vegas 37 With Top Picks and Sleepers

| September 15, 2021 5:27 am PDT

Following a brief break, the UFC is back this Saturday, September 18, at the Apex in Las Vegas. 

A crucial light heavyweight bout between Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann headlines the event. It’s clear that this one has the ingredients to be one of the best UFC fights to bet on this September, and I’ll be talking you through the right way to attack it.

If you’re looking for predictions for UFC Vegas 37, including top picks and sleepers, keep reading!

Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann

The first of my predictions for UFC Vegas 37 comes in the main event between Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann.

Smith is moving his way back up the light heavyweight rankings, following back-to-back first-round victories over Devin Clark and Jimmy Crute. The former title challenger looked impressive in both of those fights, having suffered consecutive losses to Glover Teixeira and Aleksandr Rakic in 2020.

The odds for Smith vs. Spann make “Lionheart” a slight favorite on the night. But I’m not so sure about backing him against someone as devastatingly powerful as Spann. 

5-1 in the UFC, Spann was on an eight-fight streak before being stopped by Johnny Walker in September 2020. He bounced back from that loss with a first-round TKO of Misha Cirkunov in March. 

This is a great matchup, as indicated by the UFC betting line for Smith vs. Spann. Unfortunately, that makes it a tough fight to call. So, if you’re looking for a lock pick for UFC Vegas 37, it won’t come from this one. 

Spann has venomous stoppage power, which doesn’t bode well for Smith. He stands one inch taller than his opponent at 6’5″ but enjoys a 5.5″ inch reach advantage that gives him an extra edge.

A tough nut to crack, I don’t believe Smith is explosive enough to stop him on the feet, and his intentions will more than likely be to take it to the ground.

In order to do that, Smith will need to get inside Spann’s range. He can do this by feinting and shooting under the right hand. But if he gets his timing wrong, it’s lights out.

Go for the incredible value here and bet on Spann to beat Smith on the night by KO/TKO. Although the latter is the smarter and better-rounded of the pair, Spann’s power is on another level.

  • Pick: Spann to Win by KO/TKO +550

Ion Cutelaba vs. Devin Clark

One of the best UFC fights to bet on in September, Cutelaba vs. Clark should be a fun watch.

Cutelaba has his back to the wall and needs a win to secure his place in the UFC. Perhaps there is a blessing in the fact that he fights at light heavyweight, which is one of the least competitive divisions in the promotion. Still, one win from his last five fights has him close to the chopping block.

Could desperation work in his favor or against him? That’s certainly a question I have asked myself before making my UFC Vegas 37 predictions for Cutelaba-Clark.

Clark is 3-2 from his last five, dropping submission losses to the headliners, Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann. This is his first fight in 2021, and it’ll likely take him a little time to get his bearings. Therefore, Cutelaba’s best strategy here is to go at him early and look for the finish.

The prediction for Cutelaba vs. Clark is a knockout win for the Moldovan. I think he’s too powerful and awkward for “Brown Bear” to handle, and I can see him struggling with the exchanges and succumbing to a knockout in the second round. 

The UFC Vegas 37 odds favor Cutelaba to win at -140. While I think that price is acceptable, I do also recommend checking out the prop bets for UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark. 

  • Pick: Cutelaba to Win -140

Ariane Lipski vs. Mandy Bohm

This one was pushed back a couple of weeks, having initially been penciled in for UFC Vegas 36.

I’m standing by my earlier assertion that the fight is close enough to be considered a toss-up. However, Bohm has just a bit more firepower than Lipski, and you have to consider that.

It’s for that reason that Bohm will be among my top betting picks for UFC Vegas 37. She’s unbeaten, with a record of 7-0 on the regional circuit. The majority of her wins have come in German promotions, but she did pick up a victory over Griet Eeckhout in Bellator.

As part of the team at SBG Ireland, there is a lot of expectation riding on this lady’s shoulders. But she’s an absolute dog and will have her moments early on.

Lipski, known as the “Queen of Violence,” has stoppage losses to Antonina Shevchenko and Montana De La Rosa from her last two bouts. Given that the aforementioned fighters aren’t regarded as the biggest bangers in the UFC women’s flyweight division, that’s bad news for her.

Consider my prediction for UFC Vegas 37’s only female fight on the main card when placing your wagers. I think backing Bohm for the knockout is a good shout at +280, but Lipski could hang in there until the final bell.

This is Bohm’s best opponent to date, so take the moneyline odds. She’s currently +105 to win, which is nice.

  • Pick: Bohm to Win +105

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Christos Giagos

Tsarukyan vs. Giagos will be another top fight to bet on at UFC Vegas 37.

This is the Russian’s first fight as a ranked lightweight, having cracked the top-15 at 155-pounds with some impressive displays. His only loss in 15 fights was against the impressive Islam Makhachev in his UFC debut. He responded in style to the defeat, however, with wins over Olivier Aubin-Mercier, Davi Ramos, and Matt Frevola.

Tsarukan is one of the best prospects in the UFC lightweight division, and fans will be keen to see how he passes a tough test in Christos Giagos.

Giagos is 4-1 from his last five, with three straight wins since losing to Drakkar Klose at UFC 241. The Greek-American beat Carlton Minus before submitting Sean Soriano in May and will be confident of taking the fight to Tsarukyan.

It’s going to be a good fight, but I’m leaning towards the Russian handing “The Spartan” a defeat on the night. I think he’s the better athlete and super-efficient in all areas. He should be able to close down Giagos and prevent him from getting a foothold on the flow of things. 

Although Tsarukyan is yet to pick up a finish win in the UFC thus far, I’m going for a submission victory for the 24-year-old in my UFC Vegas 37 predictions. At odds of -820 to win, there’s absolutely no value in betting on the moneyline. 

  • Pick: Tsarukyan by Submission +450

Joaquin Buckley vs. Antonio Arroyo

The last of my main card predictions for UFC Vegas 37 focuses on what should be an absolute barn burner between Joaquin Buckley and Antonio Arroyo.

Buckley’s stock skyrocketed with his incredible knockout of Impa Kasanganay in 2020. Since then, fans have been hyped to see the American inside the cage. Saturday’s night will be no different, with the middleweight hopeful looking to bounce back from a stoppage loss to Alessio Di Chirico in January.

The UFC Vegas 37 odds for Buckley vs. Arroyo favor the 27-year-old, but I’m not sure the line is right.

Contender Series alumnus Arroyo has dropped back-to-back decision losses to Andre Muniz and Deron Winn since joining the UFC. But he is nicely priced to pull off the upset here. 

The Brazilian could make for one of the best sleepers for UFC Vegas 37, given that he has never been stopped by strikes. His four career losses include two submissions and some smart grappling from both Muniz and Winn. I don’t expect Buckley to be as proficient in the clinch or the ground.

I’ll take Arroyo to win by KO/TKO for some nice plus money odds.

  • Pick: Arroyo by KO/TKO +275

More Predictions for UFC Vegas 37

  • Nchukwi to Beat Rodriguez by KO/TKO
  • Kianzad to Beat Pennington by Decision
  • Gravely to Beat Manness by KO/TKO
  • Rong to Beat Bush by KO/TKO
  • Jackson to Beat Buys by KO/TKO
  • Blanchfield to Beat Alpar by Decision
  • Harris to Beat Kasanganay by Submission
  • Lopez to Beat Alateng by Decision
  • Goldy to Beat Whitmire by Decision

Time to take a look at some more UFC Vegas 37 predictions.

The fights above are all scheduled to appear on the prelims portion of the card. There are some interesting ones, no doubt. 

At the top of this week’s undercard is a scrap between Mike Rodriguez and Tafon Nchukwi, which I see going in favor of the latter. Power should be the equalizer in this one, and “Da Don” has it in abundance.

Pannie Kianzad vs. Raquel Pennington is another top fight to look out for if you’re betting on UFC Vegas 37. 

The #8 and #9 ranked women’s bantamweights are hard to separate, but I believe Kianzad should be able to maul her way to a unanimous decision victory. 

Have a look over the rest of my UFC Vegas 37 predictions. When you’re done, join me in the next section for the top bets for the night.

Top Bets for UFC Vegas 37

Blanchfield to Beat Alpar-280
Cutelaba to Beat Clark-140
Jackson to Beat Buys by KO/TKO+100

I have three top picks for UFC Vegas 37 for you to consider.

The first is Erin Blanchfield to get the win over Sarah Alpar by decision. The reason why I’m backing Erin in this one is that she is clearly the more talented of the pair and should improve her record to 6-1 at the expense of her opponent.

Her five-inch reach advantage should come in very handy on the night, keeping her safe behind a long jab as she picks the 9-5 Texan apart from range. 

Cutelaba to beat Clark is another of my best bets to place on UFC Vegas 37. 

The Moldovan’s blitzkrieg approach should work wonders against a cold Winn. I can see Cutelaba ending this one in style and saving his bacon in the promotion. 

Finally, Jackson to beat Buys by KO/TKO at +100 is just excellent value. 

Buys is not UFC standard, in my opinion, and Jackson should expose his vulnerabilities on the night. At -625 on the moneyline, it makes sense to go for the UFC Vegas 37 props here and take the KO/TKO market.

Best Sleeper Picks for UFC Vegas 37

Spann to Win by KO/TKO+550
Tsarukyan to Beat Giagos by Submission+450
Arroyo to Beat Buckley by KO/TKO+275

Speaking of top props for UFC Vegas 37.

All of my sleepers for this weekend’s fights are props, with Spann to beat Smith by KO/TKO, a real sidewinder. I think these odds are underestimating Spann’s power while giving Smith’s chin a little more credit than it deserves at this point. 

The second of my UFC Vegas 37 props and sleepers to look at is just as juicy. 

If you’re offering me +450 for Tsarukyan to get the win over Giagos by submission, I’m biting. This bet is well worth a punt. 

Finally, I like Arroyo to stun Buckley and pick up the KO/TKO. 

If Alessio Di Chirico can do it, you can bet that Arroyo is a candidate to earn a stoppage. At these odds, you should take notice. 

Where to Bet on UFC Vegas 37

I’ve taken you through my predictions for UFC Vegas 37.

We’ve all also covered the top picks and sleepers for Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann and the rest of the fights on the card. That means that you should have a much better idea of how to plan your wagers for this weekend’s fights. 

If you’re ready to bet on UFC Vegas 37, you’ll find our recommended betting sites below.

Good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

More Posts by Adam Contact Adam



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