Top Betting Picks for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in 2021

| September 28, 2021 9:01 am PDT

After a thrilling victory at Wentworth, Billy Horschel is staring at a golden opportunity to win the Race to Dubai. Trailing only Collin Morikawa in the R2D standings, a solid performance in Scotland will push Horschel to the forefront.

Of course, the 34-year-old American will have to contend with a number of the European Tour’s top players and a trio of acclaimed venues.

Before I address my top Alfred Dunhill Links Championship betting picks, here’s a quick breakdown of what’s on tap.

  • Old Course at St. Andrews
  • Carnoustie Golf Links
  • Kingsbarns Golf Links

Each player will rotate across these three courses during the first three days of play, playing each course once. The top 60 (plus ties) earn a tee time Sunday at the Old Course.

Now for the fun part, betting tips for the 2021 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Value Plays

With only five players priced under +2800 to win, there’s a substantial amount of value built into this week’s betting sheet. I’m not talking about taking a stab at European Ryder Cup captain Padraig Harrington at +17500; that’d be foolish.

I’m referring to a couple of players who are hungry and playing well.

Justin Harding (+8000)

What a difference a year makes. After registering just two top-10s in 2020 (22 starts), Justin Harding has experienced a resurgence in 2021. The gritty South African has teed it up 23 times in the calendar year; he’s recorded a win and a runner-up among five top-10 finishes. He’s landed inside the top-20 ten times.

Most recently, Harding hung up a T9 in the Netherlands on the heels of sizzling final-round 66 (-6).

Justin didn’t compete in this tournament in 2020, but know that he finished T7 the last time he was here (2019).

Matthias Schmid (+9000)

I pinpointed Schmid as a sleeper two weeks ago at the Dutch Open when he was priced at +7500. The kid made 24 birdies and an eagle en route to finishing solo-second. Now he’s been bumped down to +9000, and I’m supposed to take a pass?

The 23-year-old German possesses a rare combination of being long and accurate off the tee; he’s now finished T11 or better in three of his last four starts. After turning pro in mid-July following winning the silver medal at The Open, it’s safe to say that Matthias is on a fast track toward picking up his first professional victory.

Best Picks for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in 2021

Now for a pair of Alfred Dunhill Links Championship picks that are even more convincing.

Thomas Pieters (+2800)

A missed cut at the Omega European Masters dropped Thomas Pieters to #131 in the OWGR. It was the lowest he’s been ranked since the summer of 2015. However, the long-hitting Belgian turned a corner in September.

Pieters strolls into Scotland, having shot under par in 12 consecutive tournament rounds.

In the midst of a T18-T9-T9 burst, Thomas should be among the most confident golfers in the field this week. He’s been “in the red” during 22 of his last 25 rounds and only made three bogeys last time out (Dutch Open).

Sean Crocker (+5500)

Expecting to see Crocker installed around +3500 at the top golf betting sites, I was pleasantly surprised to see the red-hot 25-year-old hanging out at +5500. No matter how you slice it, buying shares of Crocker makes a lot of sense.

Those looking for positive course history, all Sean did was finish T2 at the 2020 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Those looking for positive recent form–get a load of this.

Sean Crocker’s Last Four Starts
Date Tournament Result
9/12/21 BMW PGA Championship T9
9/5/21 DS Automobiles Italian Open T18
8/29/21 Omega European Masters T4
8/22/21 D+D Real Czech Masters T2

Angling for his first European Tour victory, a visit to the winner’s circle could come as soon as this Sunday.

If any of these Alfred Dunhill Links Championship predictions float your boat, check out my thoughts for the Sanderson Farms Championship.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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