Predictions and Betting Picks for AFL Round 8 (2021)

| May 6, 2021 6:40 am PDT

The Showdown headlines another exciting weekend of footy in the AFL, with the Power and the Crows battling it out for the Adelaide bragging rights on Saturday, May 8.

But first, Richmond and Geelong clash at the MCG on Friday, May 7, to repeat the 2020 AFL Grand Final.

Following the Bulldogs’ loss to the Tigers last weekend, Melbourne is now the only unbeaten team in the AFL this year. The Demons will put their 100% record on the line against Sydney in Round 8.

If you’re looking for some AFL Round 8 predictions, you’ve come to the right place. Below, I share my predictions for Round 8 of the 2021 AFL season and cover the top betting picks for the upcoming fixtures.

Let’s kick things off with my Richmond vs. Geelong prediction.

Richmond to Beat Geelong

Just when it felt as though people were starting to write off the Tigers, they went and ended the Bulldogs’ 100% record last weekend.

Heading into Round 7, the reigning premiers had lost three of their last four games. But Tom Lynch and Shai Bolton – who both kicked three goals – led a resurgent Richmond side to an impressive 22-point victory over the Doggies.

Meanwhile, Geelong’s two-match winning streak was snapped by Sydney last time out. Despite the best efforts of Jeremy Cameron, Gary Rohan, and Brad Close, the Cats lost to the Swans by just two points.

Dustin Martin will return for Richmond in Round 8 after missing last weekend’s clash under the new concussion protocol. The superstar Tiger is likely to play a key role in what should be a relatively straightforward win for his team at the MCG.

GWS to Beat Essendon

Greater Western Sydney secured a dominant 67-point win over Adelaide last time out, with Jesse Hogan (4.1) and Harry Himmelberg (3.1) leading the charge. Tom Green and Sam Reid also kicked a couple of goals in the rout.

Having lost each of their opening three games this season, the Giants have now won three of their previous four. Following a memorable derby victory over the Swans, GWS pushed the Bulldogs all the way in Round 6 before crushing the Crows.

On the flip side, the Bombers have only managed to win one of their last four outings. Despite chalking up 107 points against Carlton last weekend, they ended up losing by 16 points.

The Giants are on a roll now, so I’m backing them to dispatch an unconvincing Essendon outfit on home soil.

Gold Coast to Beat St Kilda

With Gold Coast priced at 1.80 and St Kilda at 2.00, the Aussie rules betting sites expect a close matchup when these two sides meet in South East Queensland on Saturday.

When you look at the AFL ladder, it is difficult to argue with the bookmakers’ viewpoint.

Both the Suns and the Saints find themselves on 12 points after seven matches (three wins, four losses), although Gold Coast’s percentage (102.9%) is far superior to that of St Kilda’s (80.0%).

The Suns head into Round 8 on the back of two straight wins, meaning they boast momentum. On the flip side, the Saints have won just one of their last three games.

This is destined to be a tight affair, but I can see in-form Gold Coast edging out St Kilda.

North Melbourne to Beat Collingwood

Well, the Kangaroos aren’t going to get a better chance to register their first win of the season, are they?

It is no secret that North Melbourne has been nothing short of dreadful in 2021. In fact, David Nobles’ men have lost all seven of their matches this year – conceding 98+ points on no fewer than six occasions.

But with struggling Collingwood up next, the Roos stand a genuine chance of picking up their first win of the campaign.

The Magpies’ slide continued with a defeat to Gold Coast in the previous round, meaning they have lost six of their seven outings this term. Brody Mihocek (4.2) tried his best to rescue his side, although his efforts ultimately proved worthless.

We all know that Collingwood should beat North, but the Pies are in a real mess right now. With that in mind, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Roos scraped past their fellow strugglers in a scrappy encounter.

Melbourne to Beat Sydney

It’s official – Melbourne is now the only unbeaten team left in the AFL this season.

Bayley Fritsch kicked six goals as the Demons demolished North by 40 points last weekend, while Kysaiah Pickett (3.2) and Ben Brown (2.1) also got in on the act. The win took Melbourne four points clear of the Dogs and eight points ahead of fourth-place Sydney.

Following back-to-back losses, the Swans returned to winning ways with a slender two-point victory over Geelong in Round 7. But on another day, Sydney could easily have lost.

Ultimately, I just can’t see Melbourne losing a game of footy anytime soon. Led by $6 million-man Christian Petracca, the Dees look unstoppable at the moment.

Port Adelaide to Beat Adelaide

Port won five of their opening six matches and were expected to see off Brisbane last weekend. However, the 2020 minor premiership winners ended up suffering a humiliating 49-point defeat at the hands of the Lions.

Having only managed to notch a measly 44 points last time out, the Power will happily welcome back Travis Boak and Ryan Burton this weekend.

On the other side of Adelaide, the Crows look set to be boosted by the return of Rory Sloane. The skipper has missed a large portion of the season due to an eye issue, but he could return for the first Showdown of 2021.

The Crows have lost each of their previous three outings and already find themselves eight points behind the Power in the AFL standings. Consequently, Port should claim the Adelaide bragging rights this time around.

West Coast to Beat Hawthorn

As their record suggests (WLWLWLW), the Eagles are experiencing a wildly inconsistent season. Thankfully for them, Hawthorn’s woes are far worse.

The Hawks have only managed to win two of their seven games this year, leaving them third from bottom on the ladder. To make matters worse, Alastair Clarkson’s men have conceded 100+ points in two of their last three matches.

It seems crazy that West Coast has picked up four wins in seven games without sealing back-to-back victories.

But following a dominant 59-point thrashing of Fremantle in last weekend’s Western Derby, Sunday’s trip to the MCG provides the Eagles with the perfect opportunity to record two straight wins for the first time this term.

Western Bulldogs to Beat Carlton

The Bulldogs’ six-match winning streak was finally brought to an end by Richmond in Round 7. Still, Luke Beveridge’s side is expected to return to winning ways against Carlton on Sunday.

After all, the Doggies (24) already have twice as many points as the Blues (12).

Carlton edged out Essendon in a thriller last weekend, but having only two wins in six games before that means David Teague’s men find themselves in the bottom half of the AFL standings.

At the end of the day, the Blues’ defense hasn’t been good enough this season. They have conceded 100+ points in each of their last two matches and 96 against the Power in Round 5.

When you compare the early-season form of these two sides, all the signs point towards an easy win for the Bulldogs.

Brisbane to Beat Fremantle

Last weekend, the Lions showed everyone exactly why they finished joint-top of the ladder in 2020. The Queenslanders crushed the reigning minor premiers by 49 points, thanks largely to Charlie Cameron (4.4).

Even without the injured Lachie Neale, Brisbane is winning games.

In fact, after losing three of their opening four matches this year, the Lions head into Round 8 on the back of three straight victories.

The Dockers enjoyed a three-match winning streak of their own last month, yet West Coast completely outclassed them in Round 7. Freo has made a promising start to the season, but Brisbane should be far too strong for the Western Australian outfit.

I’m backing the Lions to extend their winning run to four games this weekend.

My Best Bets for AFL Round 8

Right, that’s it for my AFL Round 8 predictions. Now it’s time for the fun part! Here are my top betting picks for Round 8 of the 2021 AFL season.

Gold Coast vs. St Kilda – Gold Coast to Win (1.80)

The Suns seem to have gathered some momentum in recent weeks, while their young stars are starting to fulfill their potential. Of course, Matt Rowell is still sidelined. But I’m confident that Gold Coast will beat St Kilda this weekend.

The Saints have already suffered four defeats in just seven games this year and currently have the third-worst percentage in the league (80.0%). For that reason, odds of 1.80 for the Suns to seal three straight wins are simply too good to miss.

North Melbourne vs. Collingwood – North Melbourne to Win (3.00)

Priced at 1.36, Collingwood is the obvious favorite to win this one. However, given that the Magpies have lost six of their seven matches this season, the odds for the away win offer very little value here.

Funnily enough, North is the only team below Collingwood in the standings at the moment. But after showing signs of life against Melbourne in the previous round, I can see the Kangaroos getting the better of the struggling Pies.

Hawthorn vs. West Coast – West Coast to Win (1.44)

Backing West Coast to beat Hawthorn feels like a no-brainer this weekend.

The Eagles are coming off a morale-boosting hammering in the Western Derby, while the Hawks have registered five losses in seven outings this term. Oh, and West Coast already leads Hawthorn by eight points on the ladder.

Need I say more?

That concludes my AFL Round 8 predictions and picks. If you enjoyed my betting advice for the weekend’s footy, why not join me next week for more AFL predictions?

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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