Predictions and Best Bets for AFL Round 2 – March 25-28, 2021

| March 24, 2021 11:30 am PDT

It feels good to have the AFL back, doesn’t it?

Round 1 dished up plenty of drama, with Richmond edging Carlton, Port Adelaide crushing North Melbourne, and the Crows securing a shock victory over the Cats. Thankfully, we have another full round of fixtures to get our teeth into this week.

I share my AFL predictions for Round 2 below, along with my best bets and top picks for all the upcoming games.

If you’re betting on Round 2 of the 2021 AFL season, keep reading!

Carlton to Beat Collingwood

Carlton showed heaps of promise in their opening-day defeat to Richmond, despite eventually losing by 25 points. The Blues took the lead on a number of occasions against the reigning champions, although they ultimately came up short.

On the flip side, Collingwood produced the lowest-scoring total in Round 1, racking up just 53 points against the Bulldogs. The Magpies only managed to kick seven goals in a 16-point loss and showed very little attacking intent throughout the game.

This is likely to be a tight affair. However, given that Carlton pushed the Tigers all the way last week, I’m backing the Blues to come out on top.

Geelong to Beat Brisbane

Well, I don’t think anybody could have predicted the outcome of Geelong’s first game of 2021, could they?

The Cats were left licking their wounds following a surprise defeat to Adelaide last weekend. Let’s not forget that the Crows finished rock bottom of the AFL ladder last season, yet they ended up scoring a whopping 103 points against Chris Scott’s side.

Brisbane also kicked off their 2021 campaign with a loss, suffering a 31-point defeat at the hands of Sydney. Joe Daniher kicked a couple of goals on debut, but the Lions looked sloppy against the Swans.

Geelong star Patrick Dangerfield will miss the next three games due to a ban, but the Cats should still have enough quality to see off the Lions.

Sydney to Beat Adelaide

The Swans sizzled in their hefty victory over Brisbane last weekend, with Isaac Heeney, Errol Gulden, and Logan McDonald each kicking three goals in the dominant display. On top of that, Sam Reid, Callum Mills, Luke Parker, and Sam Wicks all kicked doubles.

I have already touched on Adelaide’s shock win against Geelong. Taylor Walker was the star of the show for the Crows, kicking five goals against the Cats. However, it is difficult to imagine Matthew Nicks’ men replicating that kind of performance this weekend.

Granted, Adelaide produced a massive upset last time out. But following the Swans’ big win over Brisbane, I’m expecting Sydney to get the better of the Crows.

Port Adelaide to Beat Essendon

It’s safe to say that Port Adelaide wasted no time in picking up where they left off last season. The reigning premiers sealed a crushing 52-point victory over North Melbourne in Round 1, with Orazio Fantasia (4.4) and Charlie Dixon (2.2) inflicting the bulk of the damage on the Kangaroos.

Meanwhile, the Bombers were extremely unlucky last weekend, losing by just a single point to Hawthorn. Essendon kicked 13 goals against the Hawks, but 13 behinds ultimately cost them an opening-day win.

It is worth noting that first-place Port Adelaide finished a mammoth 30 points clear of thirteenth-place Essendon on the 2020 ladder.

With that in mind, Port Adelaide should down the Bombers with easy on Saturday.

St Kilda to Beat Melbourne

On the face of it, the Saints started the new season in the same manner as they finished the previous campaign. Following a resurgent 2020 season, St Kilda beat GWS by eight points last weekend, although it was by no means a straightforward victory.

The Demons clinched somewhat of an easier win in Round 1, edging out Fremantle by 22 points. In total, eight Melbourne players kicked goals against the Dockers, proving that Simon Goodwin’s side may not be so reliant on guys like Bayley Fritsch and Christian Petracca this year.

You can get odds of around 1.60 for St Kilda to win this game, while Melbourne is priced at roughly 2.20. I’m siding with the top-rated Aussie rules betting sites on this occasion.

Gold Coast to Beat North Melbourne

There is some bad news for Gold Coast on the injury front as highly-rated youngster Matt Rowell is set for a lengthy spell on the sidelines. The teenager was forced off early on in the Suns’ 25-point loss to West Coast, leaving Ben King (3.1) to pick up the pieces.

Despite the best efforts of Bailey Scott (2.2) and Tarryn Thomas (2.0), North Melbourne never really stood a chance against Port Adelaide last time out. The Kangaroos ended up losing by a colossal 52 points in Round 1, leaving them rock bottom of the early AFL ladder.

It is no secret that the Suns and the Roos both endured difficult 2020 campaigns. However, Gold Coast still managed to finish ten points ahead of North last season.

I can see the Suns bouncing back from last weekend’s loss and picking up their first win of 2021 at Metricon Stadium.

Richmond to Beat Hawthorn

It took the Tigers a little while to get into their grove last week. But when they did, there was no stopping them.

The ever-reliable Jack Riewoldt kicked four goals in Richmond’s 25-point win over Carlton, while Jason Castagna, Dustin Martin, Daniel Riolo, and Jake Aarts all bagged braces. Needless to say, the Tigers’ flag defense has started in a familiar fashion.

Dylan Moore kicked three goals as Hawthorn sealed a narrow one-point victory against Essendon in Round 1. The Hawks were forced to come from behind on multiple occasions, showing a fighting spirit that has arguably been missing in recent years.

Let’s be honest, anything other than a convincing Richmond win would be a huge surprise on Sunday.

West Coast to Beat Western Bulldogs

Both the Eagles and the Bulldogs kicked off the new season with a win last weekend. West Coast registered a relatively routine victory over the Suns, while the Doggies began life in 2021 with a spirited win against Collingwood.

There was very little to separate the teams last year, too. The Eagles finished a couple of places above the Bulldogs in 2020, with Luke Beveridge’s men clinching a slender two-point victory in this fixture.

Once again, I’m expecting these two sides to produce a closely-fought encounter. But ultimately, West Coast should be able to get the better of the Doggies.

GWS to Beat Fremantle

This is undoubtedly one of the toughest games to call in Round 2.

The Giants pushed St Kilda close last weekend, yet they were eventually beaten by eight points. On the flip side, the Dockers suffered a 22-point loss at the hands of the Demons, despite a battling performance from Matt Taberner (3.1).

It goes without saying that neither side will be happy with how 2021 has started. Both teams missed out on a top-eight finish last term, too, so this game provides GWS and Fremantle with an opportunity to enhances their finals series prospects.

The odds are understandably tight for this matchup, with Freo heading into Sunday’s showdown as the marginal favorite. Still, I’m backing the Giants to edge this one.

Best AFL Bets for Round 2 2021

Right, let’s get stuck into my top picks for Round 2 of the 2021 AFL season.

  • Carlton vs. Collingwood – Carlton to Win (2.00)
  • Sydney vs. Adelaide – Sydney to Win (1.40)
  • Western Bulldogs vs. West Coast – West Coast to Win (2.25)

I’ve tried to shake things up a big with my best AFL bets for Round 2, picking one relatively safe wager and a couple of ambitious bets. Let me explain.

Collingwood (1.80) is the slight favorite to beat Carlton (2.00) on Thursday, but I can see the Blues winning. After all, Carlton showed great determination against Richmond last time out, while the Magpies were beaten by the Bulldogs.

For my safer Round 2 bet, I’m going with Sydney (1.40) to beat Adelaide (3.00). We all know that the Crows produced a shock win over Geelong in Round 1, but there is no denying that the Swans should back up their victory against Brisbane with another win this weekend.

My final AFL pick for Round 2 takes us to Western Bulldogs vs. West Coast. The bookmakers favor the Doggies (1.62) here, yet I believe the price for the West Coast win (2.25) offers far better value. The Eagles saw off the Suns with ease last time out, and I can see them doing the same to the Bulldogs.

That’s all for this week. If you enjoyed my AFL betting picks and predictions for Round 2, make sure you look out for my best AFL bets for Round 3.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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