Predictions and Betting Picks for AFL Round 19 (2021)

| July 22, 2021 9:36 am PDT

It’s first against second in the AFL this weekend, as Melbourne hosts the Bulldogs at the MCG on Saturday, July 24. But before the top-of-the-ladder showdown, Brisbane and Gold Coast meet for the second QClash of the season.

Elsewhere, the Cats will be hoping to seal a fourth consecutive win when the Tigers come to town, while Adelaide will be aiming to avoid five straight when Hawthorn visits South Australia.

Join me as I share my AFL predictions for Round 19. I provide my top AFL picks for this weekend, too, so make sure you stick around at the end of this piece to check them out.

Port Adelaide to Beat Collingwood

The Power cemented their place in the top eight with a solid victory over St Kilda last weekend, picking up their fourth win in five matches in the process. Mitch Georgiades was the star of the show, booting four of Port’s ten goals on the night.

Meanwhile, Collingwood suffered a disappointing loss to Carlton in Round 18. The Magpies have now lost six of their previous nine games and find themselves 28 points behind the Power on the ladder.

Port beat Collingwood by just a single point earlier in the year, but the hosts are likely to claim a far more straightforward win this time around.

Carlton to Beat North Melbourne

Following a dismal start to the campaign, Carlton appears to be headed in the right direction again. The Blues beat Collingwood last time out, securing their third victory in four games.

North Melbourne, on the other hand, has only managed to register three wins all year. In fairness, the Kangaroos have won two of their last four matches. But they were totally outclassed by Essendon in the previous round.

I’m backing the Blues to continue their climb up the standings with another victory over struggling North this weekend.

Brisbane to Beat Gold Coast

In the first QClash of the season, Brisbane handed Gold Coast a 73-point thrashing at Metricon Stadium. Although the Lions have lost each of their last two games, they should be able to return to winning ways this weekend.

The Suns suffered a defeat to the Dogs last time out, meaning they have lost seven of their previous ten outings.

As a result, they find themselves fourteenth on the ladder – 20 points behind fifth-place Brisbane.

In my eyes, this encounter provides the Lions with the perfect opportunity to get back on track. They may not be able to crush the Suns by 73 points this time around, but they shouldn’t struggle to claim the win.

West Coast to Beat St Kilda

Following three straight losses, West Coast clinched a much-needed win last weekend. The Eagles hammered Adelaide by 42 points in South Australia, keeping them four points inside the all-important finals spots.

On the flip side, the Saints headed into Round 18 on the back of three successive wins but ended up losing to Port. They are now one of four teams locked on 32 points in mid-table, although their inferior percentage sees them sitting outside the top eight as things stand.

There is no denying that West Coast has endured an inconsistent season up to now. That said, forward stars like Josh Kennedy, Jack Darling, and Oscar Allen will likely enjoy plenty of success against St Kilda’s questionable defense.

Hawthorn to Beat Adelaide

Hawthorn and Melbourne produced the second draw of the 2021 AFL season last weekend, racking up 79 points apiece at the MCG. Luke Breust kicked three goals in the shock tie, handing the Hawks their first win since last month.

Having claimed two wins and a draw in their last six matches, there is a sense that Hawthorn is on the up. The Crows, on the other hand, are headed in the opposite direction, having lost each of their previous four outings.

Third-bottom Adelaide currently leads second-bottom Hawthorn by two points in the standings. By the end of Round 19, I’m confident the Hawks will have leapfrogged the Crows on the ladder.

Western Bulldogs to Beat Melbourne

In all honesty, this matchup could go either way. The best two teams in the comp go head-to-head on Saturday, with first-place Melbourne leading the second-place Dogs by just a couple of points.

Young gun Jamarra Ugle-Hagan starred as the Doggies beat the Suns in the previous round, booting three goals in only his second AFL match. Luke Beveridge’s men have now won three of their last four games and have only suffered four losses all year.

As we know, Melbourne was held to a surprise draw by Hawthorn last time out. The Demons have only managed to win two of their previous five outings, so I can see the in-form Dogs overcoming the wavering Dees this weekend.

Essendon to Beat GWS

All of a sudden, the Bombers are looking like genuine finals contenders. Following back-to-back wins, they sit just inside the top eight and boast the league’s fourth-best offensive record.

There was a time earlier in the season when the Giants looked set to secure a top-eight berth, too. But a poor run of two wins in seven games – including a demoralizing defeat in last weekend’s Sydney Derby – has seen them slip to twelfth in the standings.

Having sealed two high-scoring victories in quick succession, I’m backing Essendon to dispatch GWS and continue their ascent of the AFL ladder.

Geelong to Beat Richmond

Do you remember what happened when these two sides met back in May? Well, if you don’t, I will remind you. Geelong ended up posting 126 points in a 63-point thrashing of Richmond, marking the start of a remarkable hot streak.

Indeed, the Cats have won nine of their last ten matches and could even claim the top spot if things go their way this weekend. With Tom Hawkins and Patrick Dangerfield in seemingly unstoppable form, Richmond will be concerned.

Although the Tigers beat Brisbane last weekend, there is no hiding from the fact that they have lost four of their previous five matches. If they aren’t at their very best this weekend, the Cats will almost certainly destroy them.

Sydney to Beat Fremantle

Only two sides – Geelong and Port – have claimed more points than Sydney across the past five rounds. The Swans dispatched GWS last time out, securing their third straight victory in the process.

Meanwhile, the Dockers were humiliated by Geelong in Round 18, racking up measly 31 points en route to suffering a 69-point loss.

They have slipped to tenth in the standings as a result – 12 points shy of sixth-place Sydney.

At the end of the day, this matchup brings together two sides in contrasting form. If everything goes to plan, the Swans should overcome Freo without any problems.

AFL Picks and Best Bets for Round 19

Let’s finish up by checking out my top betting picks for AFL Round 19. Remember – if you are betting on the AFL this weekend, make sure to use only the best Aussie rules betting sites.

Brisbane vs. Gold Coast

Brisbane (1.20) is the bookies’ heavy favorite to win this one, leaving Gold Coast (4.00) as the clear outsider. But if you want to enhance the odds, I recommend backing the Lions to win by 40+ points.

Let’s not forget that Brisbane racked up 124 points against GC earlier in the year, winning by 73 points on that occasion. If the Suns’ recent performances are anything to go by, the Lions should claim another high-scoring victory this weekend.

  • Pick: Brisbane to Win By 40+ Points (2.50)

Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs

The bookmakers are marginally favoring Melbourne (1.80) to beat the Western Bulldogs (2.00) in Round 19. However, I’m confident the Bulldogs will get the better of the Demons.

The Dogs have won seven of their last ten outings, notching a whopping 933 points along the way. During the same period, the Dees have won six games and have only recorded 791 points.

  • Pick: Western Bulldogs to Win (2.00)

Geelong vs. Richmond

Considering the contrasting form of these two sides, it is no real surprise that Geelong (1.36) is expected to see off Richmond (3.00) this weekend. Although I think the Cats will win, I’m not sure it will be a high-scoring victory.

The Tigers snapped a four-game losing streak last weekend and will be eager to cause Geelong some problems. With that in mind, I’m backing Geelong to win by 1-39 points.

  • Pick: Geelong to Win By 1-39 Points (2.00)
Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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