Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Picks in 2022 – European Tour Betting Predictions

| January 19, 2022 8:41 am PDT

The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship is one of the biggest tournaments on the European Tour. We typically see big-name golfers participate in the tournament, and we’ll see the same this week.

Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, and Tommy Fleetwood will take the tee off at Yas Links in Abu Dhabi.

We’ve seen many close finishes in the tournament’s history. Here are my top picks and sleepers for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

Value Picks for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

The depth of this field gives us many options for a surprise winner. Let’s check out my favorite picks.

Lee Westwood (+6500)

Lee Westwood is one of the best players of all time on the European Tour. His 25 wins are eighth all-time, and he won European Golfer of the Year four times.

Westwood’s best days are behind him, but the 48-year-old is still capable of contending for wins. He finished second in back-to-back events on the PGA Tour in 2021. Now, he returns to a golf course that has brought him a lot of success.

Check out his recent success in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

  • 2017: -13 (8th)
  • 2019: -9 (16th)
  • 2020: -19 (1st)

His victory in the 2020 tournament is his most recent on the European Tour. Westwood held off a final-round charge from Tommy Fleetwood and Victor Perez to win by two shots.

Westwood hasn’t played much this season on either Tour, but he should be ready for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. It’s never a bad idea to bet on a longshot that has won the tournament before.

He’ll look to pick up his second victory in the tournament. With these odds, I wouldn’t go against him.

Rafa Cabrera-Bello (+8000)

Rafa Cabrera-Bello spends most of his time on the European Tour. Cabrera-Bello has four victories on the European Tour, including last season in the Acciona Open de España.

Cabrera-Bello only finished better than 25th on the European Tour twice in 10 starts last season. In addition to his victory, he scored a fourth-place finish in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. That continued his recent success in the tournament.

He had a rough performance in the 2018 tournament, but let’s check out his other recent performances.

  • 2017: -8 (19th)
  • 2019: -10 (11th)
  • 2020: -12 (12th)
  • 2021: -12 (4th)

We haven’t quite seen him take that next step towards competing for the win, but Cabrera-Bello is trending in the right direction. It’s not often you can find someone with these odds that has four top 15 finishes in his last five starts.

The biggest thing this week is playing four consistent rounds of golf. Aside from the 2021 tournament, Cabrera-Bello has had two rounds in the 70s in the last five years.

He’ll need to clean that up if he wants to compete with an 18-under winning score.

Best Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Betting Picks 

The big-name golfers in this field give us quite a few top contenders. Here are my favorite picks.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)

Tommy Fleetwood had a very impressive 2021 season on the European Tour. In 10 starts, Fleetwood had three top 10’s and never finished worse than 27th.

He hasn’t played on the PGA Tour since the Zozo Championship in October. Fleetwood shot five-under to finish seventh. Now, Fleetwood will play in what might be his best tournament. There’s no denying his success in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

Fleetwood won the tournament in 2017 and 2018. Check out his round-by-round numbers.

  2017 2018
First Round 67 (-5) 66 (-6)
Second Round 67 (-5) 68 (-4)
Third Round 70 (-2) 67 (-5)
Fourth Round 67 (-5) 65 (-7)

In 2017, Fleetwood was in command from start to finish. It was a bit of a different story in 2018. He trailed Ross Fisher by two shots going into the final round. Fleetwood’s final round 65 gave him a two-shot win over Fisher.

Those weren’t his only great finishes in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. Fleetwood finished second in 2020 and seventh in 2021. That’s four finishes of seventh or better in his last five starts in the tournament.

That gives me a lot of confidence in him this week.

Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)

Tyrrell Hatton is coming off a great season on the European Tour. He scored three finishes of sixth or better in seven starts. It’s been a month since Hatton played on either Tour, but he finished ninth in his last start on the PGA Tour.

Speaking of the PGA Tour, make sure you check out my top picks and sleepers for The American Express.

Hatton is ready to kick off his European Tour on the right note for the second straight season. Last year, Hatton picked up his sixth career European Tour victory in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

  • First Round: 65 (-7)
  • Second Round: 68 (-4)
  • Third Round: 71 (-1)
  • Fourth Round: 66 (-6)

A down third round had Hatton trailing Rory McIlroy by one shot. A final round 66 allowed Hatton to pull away and win by four shots. I can’t imagine his victory surprised many people.

Hatton finished top 15 in 2017 and 2018. He didn’t play in 2020, but that 2021 victory shows he has what it takes to win the tournament.

I fully believe he can back up that performance. It would mark the second straight year he opened his European Tour slate with a victory.

Predicting Who Wins the 2022 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 

Pick
  • Tommy Fleetwood
    +2200

There’s no denying Tommy Fleetwood’s success in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. Do I need to remind you he has one finish worse than seventh in his last five starts? If top 10 is his floor, I will gladly bet on him to win the tournament.

The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship tees off on Thursday in Abu Dhabi, but that’s early Thursday morning in the states, so make sure you check out the top golf sportsbooks.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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