Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns Preview – March Madness (March 20, 2021)

| March 19, 2021 5:58 am PDT

The Longhorns are a popular pick to emerge out of the East region. Most people filling out brackets are thinking, “where the heck is Abilene Christian?” If you’re just looking to score points in your office pool, the safe play is to circle UT to advance and not spend any time looking back.

Those of you who are betting March Madness games online might be interested in a deeper dive into an Abilene Christian vs. Texas prediction.

That’s where this post comes in handy.

Abilene Christian vs. Texas Details
  • What: #3 vs. #14 matchup in the East Region
  • When: 9:50 pm EDT, 3/20/2021
  • Where: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
  • Coverage: truTV
  • Line: Texas -9
  • Money Line: Abilene Christian +360, Texas -440
  • Total: 140

Why Bet on Abilene Christian

Texas is a lot stronger and faster than Abilene Christian. They’re better at recruiting and undoubtedly have much better facilities. The list goes on and on, but you know what the Wildcats are much better at than the Longhorns when it comes to basketball?

They’re much, much better at covering the spread.

Case in point – Texas is a modest 12-13 ATS this season, meaning you’ve lost money if you’ve backed the Longhorns in all of their games. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Abilene Christian has covered the spread a whopping 73.9% of the time (17-6). It’s the 6th-highest mark in all of NCAA basketball.

If you were assuming Shaka Smart and co. would be able to pick on the Wildcats inside, perhaps you should know that the Cats leading scorer is a 7’0” senior (Kolton Kohl) who isn’t afraid to throw elbows in the post.

  • Key Stat: Abilene Christian leads the nation in turnovers forced per game (20.26)

Why Bet on Texas

The Longhorns are battle-tested against some stiff competition in the Big 12. The Wildcats played in the less-than-stellar Southland Conference and only faced two Power 5 schools all season long. And what happened in those two contests?

Abilene Christian scored 44 points in a loss to Texas Tech and got dusted by Arkansas.

Texas surges into the March Madness bracket playing their best ball of the season, which includes a triumph over a hot Oklahoma State team in the Big 12 Championship. Not that Kolton Kohl is likely to negate an upstart Jericho Sims, but let’s give Wildcats fans the benefit of the doubt and say that he can.

Who on Abilene Christian is going to stay in front of Andrew Jones? Who’s going to stop Matt Coleman III from going off like he did when he roasted the Cowboys for 30 last weekend? Courtney Ramey’s all-around game (12.6 ppg, 4.0 apg, 3.2 rbg) gives Coach Smart a trio of guards who are superior to any perimeter players the Cats have to offer.  

  • Key Stat: Texas is outrebounding their opposition by 4.5 rebounds/game. Abilene Christian is ranked 128th in the country in rebounds/game.

Abilene Christian vs. Texas Longhorns Pick

Scheduled as the second-to-last game to tip-off on Saturday night, this is one of your last chances to make money before the Sweet 16 is set. My prediction is that Texas moves on to the second round sending the Wildcats home to the Lone Star State, but my Abilene Christian vs. Texas pick is that the Cats cover the spread.

Texas has three really good guards that should be able to carry them across the finish line, but don’t expect the Wildcats to wave the white towel. Expect them to fight until the end.  

Nobody on Joe Golding’s squad plays more than 28.8 minutes/game, meaning Abilene Christian is constantly rotating fresh bodies onto the floor. They’re extremely unselfish (5th in America in assists per game) and play stingy perimeter D. Not only do the Wildcats hold their opponents to 30.6% shooting from beyond the arc, they only surrender 5.4 three-point shots made per contest.

The line has moved to eight at some of the top March Madness betting sites, but head to BetUS and see if you can still grab hold of nine.

Pick
  • Abilene Christian (+9)
    -115
Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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