Top Betting Picks for the 2021 US Open (Golf)

| June 15, 2021 6:41 am PDT

Thirteen years after Tiger Woods outlasted Rocco Mediate on one leg, the US Open returns to the South Course at Torrey Pines. The beef between “Brooksie” and Bryson has commanded plenty of headlines, but there is a plentiful number of storylines brewing in La Jolla.

Could Phil Mickelson, who turns 51 on Wednesday, win his second straight major and complete the career Grand Slam in his backyard? Can Jon Rahm continue the dominant form he displayed at Jack’s Place and finally pick off his first major? What about Garrick Higgo and his torrid pace (three wins in his last six starts)? Can the South African keep his foot on the gas pedal in what’ll be just his second start at a major championship?

After sorting through various betting markets, here are my top US Open picks in 2021.

US Open Sleeper Picks in 2021

Before you start scoping the tournament odds searching for sleeper picks for the US Open, keep the following thought in mind.

The last US Open winner who entered the week ranked outside of the top 30 in the OWGR was Graeme McDowell in 2010. And he was 36th and coming off a victory in his last start.

The point being, this isn’t the time to start taking stabs on a bunch of longshots. Be selective if you’re looking to capture some upside in the “to win” market.

Will Zalatoris (+5000)

Clocking in at #29 in the Official World Golf Ranking, I’ve got Zalatoris penciled in at #10 in my US Open power rankings. The discrepancies don’t end there – Will is priced at +4500 (behind 15 other names) at most sites but can be found at +5000 at BetUS.

After quickly situating himself as one of the premium iron players on tour (3rd in SG: Approach), the 24-year-old kid playing on temporary status is firmly on Steve Stricker’s radar for the Ryder Cup in September. Perhaps he should also be on your radar this week as a sleeper.

Regarding being a good fit for this tournament at this layout: remember that Zalatoris placed 6th at the 2020 US Open and 7th at the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open.

Sam Burns (+10000)

I’ll stray outside of the top-30 for this next pick, but not by much. Priced at +8000 to win at a few top sites, Burns lurks in triple digits over at BetOnline. As long as he hits it and as good as he rolls the rock, he’s in play at +10000.

Armed with a win, a runner-up, and a fourth-place finish – since the end of April alone, Burns is no stranger to playing good golf on the South Course. Sam played in the final group on Sunday at Torrey Pines in January and has some unfinished business to tend to.

Top-20 Finish – Viktor Hovland (+120)

One of my US Open predictions I recommend locking in swiftly is Viktor Hovland posting a top-20 finish at the handsome price tag of +120.

Viktor Hovland – US Open Resume
Year Venue Result
2020 Winged Foot T13
2019 Pebble Beach T12*

*as an amateur

Possessing a golf game that’s built to contend at tough US Open setups, Viktor’s aptitude from tee-to- will help separate himself from the pretenders. Here’s a guy who’s missed one cut in the last 15 months and ranks inside the top-5 a bevy of statistics – including SG: Off-the-Tee.

Did I mention that Hovland finished T2 at Torrey Pines at the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open?

Simply put, +120 to land inside the top 20 is too juicy of a number to pass on.

Matchup Bet – Rory McIlroy (+100) Over Jordan Spieth     

Let’s keep this one short and sweet because this layout suits Rory to a tee. It isn’t a great fit for Jordan.

Case in point – McIlroy has finished 5th-3rd-16th in the last three editions of the Farmers Insurance Open (the only three times he’s played Torrey Pines as a professional). On the flip side, Spieth is making his 6th trip to the South Course – he’s missed two of five cuts and has cracked the top-30 just once (T19 in 2014).

Keep in mind – the US Open odds at almost all sportsbooks have McIlroy and Spieth identically priced (+2000 apiece). With that in mind, you may want to take advantage of the plus-money attached to “Rors” in this spot.

2021 US Open Pick to Win

I’m tempted to double down on Rory, and I’m undoubtedly intrigued by Brooks. However, when push comes to shove, I find myself leaning toward Jon Rahm. Rarely do I back the tournament favorite to win, but this calls for an exception. 

Jon’s record at Torrey Pines is astounding, and the form he showed at the Memorial was out of sight. The putter switch paid off immediately (gained 5.649 strokes on the greens through three rounds).

Fully cleared and ready to strike, everything points toward a fruitful week being in store. 2nd in Total Driving, 3rd in SG: Off-the-Tee, 5th in GIR – this is as elite of a ball-striker as you’ll encounter. And a guy who happens to be coming in with a chip on his shoulder.

No matter how many scenarios play out in my head, the majority of them include “Rahmbo” being in the mix on Sunday.

Stay tuned for more predictions for the US Open to hit our picks sections and our golf blog.

I’ve also helped prepare a complete guide to betting the US Open.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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