Betting Tips for the 2021 Tenerife Open

| April 28, 2021 3:01 am PDT

The Canary Islands swing rolls on as the action shifts west for the 2021 Tenerife Open.

After a record-breaking week at Meloneras, expect the low scoring to continue at Golf Costa Adeje. The unique par-71 setup features five par-5s and six par-3s – most of which are fairly gettable. Only one par-5 measures over 550 yards, while five of the six par-3s are listed under 190 yards.

After shopping the prices and analyzing all of the betting markets, here’s a look at my top Tenerife Open picks.

Tenerife Open Sleeper Picks in 2021

I’ll begin with a couple of names arriving in the picturesque setting flying under the radar.

Pep Angles (+8000)

With just 12 starts on the European Tour since the beginning of 2019, Pep Angles is far from a household name. However, the 28-year-old Spaniard surged on the Challenge Tour late in 2020 and has quietly carried his strong play in 2021.

Pep finished 2nd last fall in Portugal (tournament won by last week’s winner Garrick Higgo) before winning the Andalucia Challenge de Cadiz in November. In five European Tour starts in the calendar year, Angles has landed 37th or better four times, including one top-10.

He’s sneaky long (26th in Driving Distance) and a reliable putter (16th in Putts per GIR), and he’s coming off a T29 last week where he carded just two bogeys over his final 57 holes.

Paul Waring (+9000)

Nothing on the surface translates to Paul Waring being one of the best sleeper picks for the Tenerife Open. That’s where a bit of digging comes in.

Thanks to a bit of inside info provided by Sky Sports’ Sophie Walker, I’ve learned that Paul has a close bond with this particular venue. Waring has used Golf Costa Adeje as a “warm-weather training site” for the last few years and feels incredibly comfortable in the Canary Islands.

Speaking of “training,” that’s exactly what the 36-year-old Englishman has been up in recent months trying to pack on speed and distance. So far, so good. Paul ranked inside the top-5 in driving distance last week during two of the four rounds. Rumors are that he’s pushing 200mph ball speed.

Matchup Bet – Calum Hill (-115) Over Laurie Canter

I’m a fan of Laurie Canter and expect him to have a solid summer competing on the European Tour. Having said that, it’s hard to get excited about his current form.

Canter hasn’t teed it up since he missed the cut at the Qatar Masters six weeks ago. Before that, Laurie failed to break par in any round at The Concession en route to finishing T64 in the 72-man field. As for his opponent in this H2H matchup?

Calum Hill has played six events on the European Tour in 2021. He’s logged a trio of top-5s during that stretch and is coming off shooting 68-66-66-67 (T29) last week in Gran Canaria.

And there’s more.

Remember the reference to there being six par-3s on the scorecard at Golf Costa Adeje?

Par 3 Scoring This Season on the European Tour
Name Par-3 Scoring Average European Tour Rank Par-3s Played
Calum Hill 2.90 2nd 92
Laurie Canter 3.14 127th 64

Calum excels on par-3s – Laurie not so much. Lock Hill in as one of your Tenerife Open predictions and don’t look back.

Garrick Higgo to Finish Inside the Top 20 (+125)

This sounds like a no-brainer, right?

Not only did Higgo break the European Tour scoring record by two shots with his 255 total a week ago – this is a 21-year-old kid who’s finished inside the top-20 in five of his last six starts. From outsiders doubting whether or not he should have turned pro to winning twice on the European Tour before his 22nd birthday – it’s safe to say that the southpaw is silencing any doubters.

Higgo’s got a saucy wedge game, he’s a terrific putter, and he’s been flushing his irons for a while. And it helps when you can lean back and poke one 370+ yards off the tee.

Expecting to have to lay juice for Garrick to rack up a top-20, his +125 price tag is too juicy to ignore.

2021 Tenerife Open Pick to Win

Guido Migliozzi checks a lot of the boxes I’m looking for when recommending Tenerife Open picks. The 24-year-old Italian has what it takes to be the last man standing. He’s proven that multiple times already on the European Tour.

Armed with a runner-up and two other top-15s among his last four starts, we know his form is on point.

And then there’s course fit.

Guido clocks in 12th in par-3 scoring and 37th in GIR, alluding that his iron play is stellar. From what I’ve been told, the key to prospering at this undulating layout is to be precise with your irons.

Make sure you shop Migliozzi’s Tenerife Open odds at all of the best golf bookies online. After spotting Guido at +2500 and +3000, I found him lurking at +3300 at a couple of different spots.

  • Guido Migliozzi
Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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