Betting Picks for the 2021 Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200 – NASCAR Xfinity Series

| August 7, 2021 2:17 am PDT

It’s been a minute, but the NASCAR Xfinity Series is finally back in action. Following a two-week break, the Series returns with a trip to Watkins Glen International.

Christopher Bell was my top pick in the last race, and he didn’t disappoint. He led 151 of 200 laps in his victory.

The eight-turn, 2.454-mile road course will take place Saturday, August 7 at 4 p.m. ET on CNBC. Saturday’s race will consist of 82 laps. The three stages will be 20/20/42 laps.

Road-course racing usually produces exciting action. Let’s look at my 2021 Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey picks and see if I have any surprises for Saturday.

Austin Cindric (+180)

For those who follow the Xfinity Series consistently, this pick shouldn’t surprise anyone. Austin Cindric is not only the Series’ best driver but also the best on road courses.

Cindric has just two career starts at Watkins Glen International. While his first start yielded just a 13th place finish, he bounced back in 2019 to win the most recent race at the track.

He led just eight laps in the race, but he went toe to toe with A.J. Allmendinger in the final seven laps. Cindric ultimately passed him with two laps to go.

If you want a bigger sample size than just Watkins Glen, Cindric has three wins in other road courses races in his career.

Check out what he has done in four road course races this season.

Race Starting Position Finishing Position Laps Led
Daytona Road Course 2nd 2nd 29
COTA 8th 5th 2
Mid-Ohio 1st 14th 30
Road America 2nd 8th 10

While he hasn’t won on a road course yet this season, he has come close. He definitely would’ve won Mid-Ohio if there wasn’t a caution with under 10 laps to go that erased his 10-second lead.

I know the value isn’t great, but I can’t go against Cindric.

  • Cindric starts on the outside of the front row on Saturday.

A.J. Allmendinger (+220)

Does A.J. Allmendinger present good value? No. Am I picking him anyway? Yes.

It’s just hard to pick against someone like Allmendinger on a road course. Depending on which road course, Allmendinger and Austin Cindric alternate when it comes to the favorite. I’d almost argue that Allmendinger should’ve been the favorite over Cindric this week.

Like Cindric, Allmendinger has just two career starts in the Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen.

He finished second in 2018 after leading 11 laps. He led the most laps in the 2019 race but lost in a battle with Cindric.

Despite crossing the finish line second, Allmendinger finished 37th after NASCAR disqualified his team due to a technical violation. While it shows 37th in the record books, we know he ran much better than that.

Allmendinger gets the edge for me because of his triumph in the Cup Series in 2014. He won his first and only Cup Series race at Watkins Glen that season, leading 29 of 90 laps. The finish featured a thrilling battle with two-time Watkins Glen winner Marcos Ambrose.

His odds aren’t the best, but he definitely presents better value than Cindric. Allmendinger already has one road course victory this season at Mid-Ohio.

  • Allmendinger starts sixth on Saturday.

Justin Allgaier (+1000)

Justin Allgaier isn’t a long shot at the top NASCAR betting apps, but his +1000 odds are good enough that you could win some serious money.

Among top contenders in the field for Saturday’s race, Allgaier’s nine starts are the most in the Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen. While none of those starts have yielded a victory, Allgaier has produced quality results.

Here are his finishes in his last six races at the track.

  • 2012: 9th
  • 2013: 7th
  • 2016: 7th
  • 2017: 4th
  • 2018: 3rd
  • 2019: 3rd

Some may see those numbers and scoff because there are no wins. However, this shows that he continues to improve.

Coming into this season, Allgaier had never won at Atlanta or Darlington, but he crossed both those tracks off his list. Could Watkins Glen be up next?

I will be honest, Allgaier’s road course numbers this season haven’t been good. Outside of a third-place finish at COTA, he hasn’t finished top 10 in any other road course race. However, we can’t ignore his Watkins Glen stats. I think that’ll be a much better indicator of his performance this weekend.

We don’t have to worry about Allgaier driving through the field at the beginning.

  • Allgaier starts on the pole on Saturday.

Erik Jones (+2000)

Before you ask, no, this isn’t a typo. Erik Jones is making his first Xfinity Series start since 2019. Jones returns to the Series at one of his best tracks in the Cup Series.

In his time in the Xfinity Series, Jones has two starts at Watkins Glen. He finished 12th and eighth, respectively. However, I like Jones’ chances on Saturday because of what he has been able to do in the Cup Series at the track.

Here are Jones’ finishes in three starts at Watkins Glen.

  • 2017: 10th
  • 2018: 5th
  • 2019: 4th

Those are great numbers. It’s even better when you realize Jones has never had an average finish better than 14.0 in a season. He performs a lot better than expected at Watkins Glen. I think that’s something he’ll carry over to the Xfinity Series.

Jones will drive the No. 31 car for Jordan Anderson Racing this weekend. In three road courses races this season, that car has finished fifth, eighth, and 18th, respectively, with three different drivers.

That car knows how to produce quality finishes.

The only knock on Jones is he starts all the way back in 36th. However, that isn’t as big of a deal at a road course because of all the varying pit strategies. A fast car will get to the front no matter what.

  • Jones starts 36th on Saturday.

Betting on the 2021 Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200

I hate to sound like a broken record, but Austin Cindric and A.J. Allmendinger are the top drivers on road courses. I expect them to continue their domination and run top-five the majority of the day.

If you’re betting on the 2021 Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200, you’re starting with one of those guys.

Should they run into trouble, look out for Justin Allgaier.

If there’s anyone to beat these guys on pure speed, I think it’s Erik Jones. Plus, his value is great for someone with his talent.

Hopefully, these 2021 Skrewball Peanut Butter Whiskey 200 betting picks treat you well. For more odds and picks for other sporting events, check out our sports betting picks page.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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