Betting Preview of the 2021 NASCAR Goodyear 400

| May 8, 2021 2:58 am PDT

The Cup Series returns to Darlington this Sunday, May 9, for the Official Throwback Weekend of NASCAR.

I’m here to talk betting on the 2021 Goodyear 400. So, if that sounds up your street, strap in as I run through all there is to know ahead of the South Carolina classic at “The Lady in Black.”

As part of my preview of the race, I’ll be looking at odds for Goodyear 400 and making some predictions, before landing on my betting pick for Sunday’s event. So, if you’re in search of betting tips for the 2021 Goodyear 400, keep reading and I’ll fill you in.

2021 Goodyear 400 Odds

Driver Odds
Kyle Larson +375
Denny Hamlin +500
Kevin Harvick +700
Kyle Busch +800
Brad Keselowski +800
Martin Truex Jr. +800
Chase Elliott +1100
Joey Logano +1100
William Byron +1500
Ryan Blaney +1600
Alex Bowman +1800
Christopher Bell +2800
Matt DiBenedetto +3300
Kurt Busch +3500
Austin Dillon +5000
Tyler Reddick +6000
Aric Almirola +8000
Erik Jones +8000
Chris Buescher +10000
Daniel Suarez +10000
Cole Custer +12500
Michael McDowell +12500
Ryan Newman +12500
Bubba Wallace +12500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +15000
Chris Briscoe +20000
Ross Chastain +20000

The betting favorite to win the Goodyear 400 is Kyle Larson.

Now, you might be wondering why Larson’s odds to win this Sunday are so low. Considering he has failed to crack the top-15 in 80% of his last five races doesn’t scream value. But the reason for Larson being so in demand with bettors is the fact that he has finished 2nd, 3rd, 14th, 3rd, 10th, and 8th in his six starts at Darlington.

Looking past Larson, you will find other drivers to bet on for the Goodyear 400 with better value. Kevin Harvick, for example, might be worth a stake. I’ll be discussing who to trust and who to avoid in the following betting tips for the Cup Series’ latest trip to Darlington, below.

Let’s move on.

Goodyear 400 Betting Tips

  • Where: Darlington Raceway, South Carolina
  • When: Sunday, May 9

So, it’s time to hit you with a few gambling tips for the Goodyear 400 in 2021.

As I like to remind newbies, the winning formula when first learning how to bet on NASCAR races is to look for value. For example, an in-form driver with a good record on the track should not have better odds than a driver with moderate form and a decent record. If you identify a driver that matches that description, you could be on to something.

So, here are the drivers I’m looking at ahead of this weekend’s action.

The Top Contenders

  • Kevin Harvick
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Kyle Busch

Harvick has already been namechecked.

The NASCAR Cup Series veteran has three wins, 11 top-5s, and 15 top-10s with an average finish of 12.88.

Harvick, last year’s regular-season champion, hasn’t quite hit his stride yet. But he is getting there, and Sunday could be the first of his Cup Series wins in 2021. I’m including him among the top candidates in my predictions for the winner of the Goodyear 400, as a result.

Next up, we have Brad Keselowski. With one win, five top-5s, and seven top-10s at Darlington, he’s worth looking at. His recent form has been awesome. He finished first at Talladega before coming in at 3rd in Kansas last weekend.

Kyle Busch picked up the first Cup Series win of his campaign in last Sunday’s Buschy McBusch Race 400. He has one win at Darlington, with five top-5s and 12 top-10s from 18 starts at The Lady in Black.

Who to Avoid

  • Denny Hamlin
  • Chase Elliott
  • Joey Logano

Denny Hamlin has been picking up 2nd place finishes for fun this season.

But finding that all elusive win has been ridiculously hard for the 2021 Cup Series leader. Like last weekend, I’ll be fading Hamlin. Hopefully, I’ll be on the button again, if Hamlin’s 12th place finish at Kansas is anything to go by.

Defending Cup Series champion Chase Elliott has an average finish of 18.50 on this track. He has two top-5s and three top-10s from a total of eight starts and has not shown me anything here over the years to make him my betting pick for the 2021 Goodyear 400.

Finally, Joey Logano is arguably the worst-performing elite driver at Kansas with over 10 starts here. He has no wins, four top-5s, and seven top-10s. Not a dreadful record, but not good enough for me to take a shot on him.

Key Betting Trends for the Goodyear 400

  • 2020 Winner: Denny Hamlin
  • 2020 Winning Team and Manufacturer: Joe Gibbs Racing/Toyota
  • Most Successful Active Driver in This Race: Denny Hamlin (1 Win)
  • Most Wins (Active Teams): Richard Childress Racing (5)
  • Most Successful Active Manufacturer: Ford (18)

If you’re hoping to make your pick for the Goodyear 400 based on previous trends, you will struggle.

2020 was the first time that the old “Rebel 400” was run. That was down a calendar reshuffle brought on by the global pandemic. Denny Hamlin won that race and will be among the top bets for the 2021 Goodyear 400 as a result.

It’s always interesting to see the history of any race, even if this one was scratched from the premier NASCAR series in 2005. But in terms of using any of the information above for this race, I’m pretty certain there is little that will come in useful.

My betting pick for the Goodyear 400, on the other hand…

2021 Goodyear 400 Pick

  • Kevin Harvick

My pick for the Goodyear 400 is Harvick, who comes in at a nice +700.

My predictions for last week’s race culminated in a win for Harvick, and he was unlucky not to win the race. Having finished 4th in Talladega the week before, there is reason to believe that things are picking up for “The Closer,” and I can see him really taking the bulls by the horns this Sunday.

If you’re betting on the 2021 Goodyear 400, I’d recommend backing Harvick for the win.

More Top Picks and Bets for this Weekend

That’s a wrap for my predictions and picks for the Goodyear 400 at Darlington this Sunday.

But I can’t let you leave without first letting you know about the big weekend of sports and entertainment we have coming up. Alongside the F1 and the UFC, there are plenty of picks and bets available for you, courtesy of the team here. 

Other than NASCAR, my personal highlight for the Cinco de Mayo weekend is the big title fight set for this Saturday. Make sure to check out my predictions and pick for Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders, if you’re betting on the fight. 

As for everything else, the following sections of our site will see you well.

Good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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