Betting Picks and Tips for the 2021 Chubb Classic

| April 13, 2021 11:01 am PDT

The 2021 Chubb Classic marks the first time that the Black Course at Tiburon Golf Club will be utilized during a PGA Tour-sanctioned event. The sister course (Gold Course) at the Ritz-Carlton Golf Resort has been used multiple times for the QBE Challenge and the CME Group Tour Championship. Both tracks are designed by Greg Norman.

There’s no “Shark” in the field this week, but there is plenty of big fish in Naples. As for who will be the last one “swimming,” let’s get to my Chubb Classic predictions.

Best Bets for the 2021 Chubb Classic

As long as you’re active at the best golf sportsbooks online, you’ll find multiple ways to bet on the Chubb Classic. Here’s what caught my eye when this week’s Champions Tour odds were released.

Bernhard Langer To Finish Inside the Top 10 (+100)

Even money on Langer hanging a top 10 in Naples – just tell me where to sign up.

Here’s a guy who registered 12 top-10s in his first 15 starts this season and has a glorious track record at the Chubb Classic. And I mean – glorious.

Bernhard Langer – Results at the Chubb Classic Since 2009
Year Scores Finish
2020 65-66-69 T3
2019 68-64-68 T2 (lost in a Playoff)
2018 69-70-72 T36
2017 69-68-69 T6
2016 62-66-73 1
2015 71-66-NC WD*
2014 64-70-67 T2
2013 62-70-72 1
2012 66-65-70 2
2011 64-66-66 1
2010 73-66-69 T4
2009 70-72-69 T3

*Langer was tied for 5th entering the final round in 2015 but withdrew to be with his ailing daughter.

Still concerned about laying even money that Bernhard tallies a top-10 this week?

Kevin Sutherland (+145) to Beat Steve Stricker

There’s nothing bad I can say about Steve Stricker’s game. He’s finished 7th or better in four straight starts on the PGA Tour Champions and has a trio of top-25s on the PGA Tour this season. For perspective, it’s been over 40 years since someone who was at least 53 years old amassed three top-25s in a single season on the big stage.

Having said all of that, laying -185 that Stricker beats Kevin Sutherland at this week is nonsensical. Flip the coin and backing Sutherland to beat Stricker at +145 is a wager oozing with value.

1st-4th-1st in his last three starts on the PGA Tour Champions – Kevin’s a whopping 45-under-par in his last nine rounds. Currently atop the Charles Schwab Cub Money List, here’s how Sutherland stacks up with the rest of the 50-and-over circuit.

Kevin Sutherland – By the Numbers in 2020-21
Stat Champions Tour Rank
Scoring Average 1
Ball Striking 1
All-Around Ranking 1
Total Driving 4
Scrambling 5
Putting Average 4
Par-3 Scoring 4
Par-4 Scoring 1
Par-5 Scoring 7

Don’t get cute here; just latch onto the “plus money.”

2021 Chubb Classic Pick to Win

Armed with a couple of runner-up finishes during his last five starts, it’s only a matter of time until Mike Weir breaks through the Champions Tour. Perhaps it’s this week.

The negative feeling from missing the cut at the Masters was curbed by shooting 71 on Friday – there’s no question Mike’s game is in a terrific place.

Weir’s stats don’t jump off the page ala Mr. Sutherland above, although the 50-year-old southpaw excels in plenty of areas. Mike leads the Champions Tour in sand save %, plus clocks in 12th in driving distance, 11th in GIR, and 5th in one-putt %.

Last but not least – be sure to head to MyBookie to lock in this Chubb Classic prediction. “Weirsy” is available at +2000 there – he’s listed at +1400 in several other spots.

  • Mike Weir

The Last Five Winners of the Chubb Classic 

I’ll leave you with an illustration of who’s won here recently, what they shot, and how many strokes they won by.

Chubb Classic Winners Since 2016
Year Winner Winning Score Winning Margin
2020 Scot Parel -17 2
2019 Miguel Angel Jimenez -13 Playoff
2018 Joe Durant -19 4
2017 Fred Couples -16 3
2016 Bernhard Langer -15 3

Couples also won here back in 2010 when the Chubb Classic (then called the ACE Group Classic) was hosted at The Quarry. Fred is one of seven players to win this event multiple times. However, Langer is the only individual to hoist the hardware on three separate occasions.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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