Betting Picks for the 2021 Canary Islands Championship
The scoring last week in Tenerife was once again lights-out. 47 players finished double-digits under par on the heels of 55 guys finishing at least 10-under in Gran Canaria.
The winning score was 25-under-par for the second consecutive week.
Considering the European Tour is staying put and playing at Golf Costa Adeje for the second week in a row, expect nothing less than another birdie fest to ensue. On that note, let’s dive into some Canary Islands Championship predictions.
Canary Islands Championship Sleeper Picks in 2021
First, it was Garrick Higgo emerging at +3500. Then it was Dean Burmester walking away with the trophy in hand despite closing at +5000 to win.
It sounds like we’re trending toward another underdog making some noise in the Spanish archipelago.
Just in case, I’ve got my eye on a couple of sleeper picks for the Canary Islands Championship.
Nino Bertasio (+6000)
After spotting Nino Bertasio at +5000 at several of the top golf betting sites, I was pleasantly surprised to see the 32-year-old Italian lurking at +6000 at XBet. Bertasio posted a T38 at Meloneras Golf before producing a T22 at the Tenerife Open. Each of his eight rounds on the islands has been in the 60s.
Leading into the Canary Islands Swing, Nino has registered top-20s in three of his last four starts.
Keep in mind – Bertasio racked up 17 birdies and a couple of eagles last week at this very same layout. He’s got plenty of firepower to take it deep into the red.
Alexander Levy (+9000)
+9000 odds are quite enticing for a 30-year-old Frenchman who has five European Tour titles on his resume. Erratic play over the past couple of seasons has caused Alexander Levy to plummet down the world ranking (currently #306), and he’s not a guy you can trust in and head-to-head format.
However, Levy strung four rounds together at this golf course last week (T42) and might have sparked some momentum.
Alexander played the back-nine beautifully (-11); it was his play on the front-nine (+1) that held him back.
Matchup Bet – Justin Harding (+104) Over Dean Burmester
Dean Burmester naturally had to be “priced up” coming off a scintillating performance, but look for the South African to come back down to Earth. Everything came together last week – Dean made 28 birdies and an eagle and ran away with the golf tournament.
Regression has to be in store. Let’s hop on Justin Harding against Burmester in the head-to-head market and capture some juicy “plus-money.”
Harding burst back onto the scene six weeks ago with a victory at the Magical Kenya Open. He’s kept his foot on the gas pedal ever since. Justin finished 14th the very next week and quietly landed inside the top-15 at each of the first two stops in the Canary Islands.
Before you go goo goo gaga over the numbers that “Burmy” just shot, know that Harding has a knack for going low himself. Case in point – Justin has fired 66 or lower in 10 of his last 18 competitive rounds on the European Tour.
Top-20 Finish – Sami Valimaki (+110)
After cashing in on Garrick Higgo in the top-20 market last week at +125, I wanted to go right back to the well and ride the young lefty. Unfortunately, the bookies erased any potential value by installing Garrick atop the price sheet.
Rather than back Higgo to crack the top-20 at -150, my money’s on Sami Valimaki at +110.
Eight additional top-20s since triumphing at the 2020 Oman Open, Valimaki got his feet wet at Golf Costa Adeje last week with a T22. Sami was understandably a bit rusty, having not played a tournament since February, but there were plenty of positives to build from.
I can guarantee you he’ll finish inside the top-20 if he makes another 24 birdies.
2021 Canary Islands Championship Pick to Win
It’s only a matter of time until Sean Crocker knocks down the door and breaks through. While most 24-year-olds are still getting their feet wet, this USC product and Zimbabwe native has been a fixture on the European circuit since the day he left Southern Cal in 2017.
To bring you up to speed on what this kid’s about, he’s a ball-striking savant who can hit every shot in the book. Ranked inside the top 20 in driving distance in each of the last two seasons, Crocker clocks in 15th in GIR after finishing 10th in GIR a season ago.
Armed with six straight made cuts and a T18 last week, Sean is a couple of hot putting rounds away from putting it all together.