Top Betting Picks for the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson

| May 11, 2021 5:10 am PDT

Bryson DeChambeau can sleep in his bed for real this week as the 2021 Byron Nelson is being played just 15 or so minutes away from Bryson’s compound in the outskirts of Dallas. Any snafus regarding the perceived cut line can easily be avoided.

Among the other big names making the trip to TPC Craig Ranch are Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, and Brooks Koepka. They are teeing it up for the first time since the Masters. This trio aims to find some form heading into the PGA Championship, but let’s not lose sight of what’s on deck this week.

Here are my top AT&T Byron Nelson betting picks.

AT&T Byron Nelson Sleeper Picks in 2021

I’ll kick this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson betting preview off with a couple of sleepers. These are guys with long odds who offer intrigue at their respective price tags.

Cameron Champ (+11000)

Somewhat of a boom or bust play due to inconsistencies on and around the greens, this could be a good time to buy-low on Cameron Champ. While it’s been a rocky year for the two-time PGA Tour winner, Champ arrives in McKinney, TX trending in the right direction.

T34-T26-T17 over his last three starts; Champ’s piercing ball flight off the tee has been on full display.

Sitting at +8000 to win at several of the top golf sportsbooks online, I shopped around and ultimately found the Texas A&M product lurking at +11000.

Patrick Rodgers (+17500)

After sleeping on the co-lead, last Friday in Charlotte, two triple bogeys on Saturday derailed Patrick Rodgers’ chances heading into Sunday. A final-round 70 was encouraging, though, as was the fact that Rodgers ranked 15th in GIR and 25th in SG: Putting for the week.

Now married and a brand-new father, Patrick’s fresh outlook has him in a terrific place to pounce.

“I’m better in every aspect of my game. I obviously have a ton more experience, I have more self-belief than I’ve ever had. Obviously, I feel like I’m ready to step through the door and win golf tournaments out here.”

As a proponent of Rodgers since he’s been on tour, this seems like a good week to make a small investment.

Top-20 Finish – Marc Leishman (+150)

Coming off a victory in New Orleans, Marc Leishman strolls into this week’s PGA Tour event as one of the few players in the field who also played in the 2008 Korn Ferry Tour Championship, hosted at TPC Craig Ranch. “Leish” finished 7th that week.

Marc may only receive half the credit for slipping on the belt in the Big Easy, but he gets all the credit for his 5th-place finish at Augusta in his prior start.

Armed with a repertoire of short game shots, the 37-year-old Aussie is a fantastic wind player riding lots of positive vibes. At +150 to land inside the top 20, this is one of my AT&T Byron Nelson predictions I couldn’t wait to lock-in.

Matchup Bet – English (-110) Over Day

Jason Day’s golf game has been wobbly, so much so that he ditched his trusty Taylor Made spider putter and started toying around with a Sik blade with a LA Golf shaft – ala Bryson DeChambeau. Talk about being headed down the wrong path, Day’s results have over the last couple of months have gotten progressively worse.

Jason Day’s Last Five Starts
Date Event Result
3/7 Arnold Palmer Invitational T31
3/14 THE PLAYERS Championship T35
3/28 WGC Match Play T42
4/11 Masters MC
5/9 Wells Fargo Championship MC

Jason’s latest MC at the Wells Fargo Championship has him on the outside looking in in terms of qualifying for the US Open at Torrey Pines.

Harris English is by no means playing his best golf at the moment, but his 18 birdies at Quail Hollow were the third-most of anyone in the field. English landed 12th in SG: Putting and 23rd in AG: Around-the-Green, plus he ranks 27th in Total Driving on the season. 

Of all the AT&T Byron Nelson picks featured on this page, this is probably the one I was most excited to book.

2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Pick to Win

Searching for some local flavor, there are tons of captivating options. Jordan Spieth and Scottie Scheffler are Dallas guys who immediately come to mind. Like Bryson DeChambeau, Will Zalatoris will have less than a 30-minute commute from his home to the golf course.

Flying a bit under the radar compared to these guys is Colleyville resident Ryan Palmer.

Living about 35 miles southwest of TPC Craig Ranch, Palmer’s comfort level and confidence are both in great spots. Ryan’s 15 consecutive made cuts mark the second-longest active streak (Joaquin Niemann, 18), and he’s doing a lot more than just earning tee times on the weekend. The former Aggie has compiled four top-20s among his last six starts.

Palmer’s game has no sincere weaknesses to speak of – 32nd in SG: Off-the-Tee and 30th in GIR hint at his efficient ball-striking. Once he gets on the greens, know that Ryan’s 33rd on tour putting inside 10’ and 25th putting from 10-15’.

Pick
  • Ryan Palmer
    +5000
Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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