2020 AFL Preliminary Finals – Predictions and Best Bets for Both Matches This Weekend

| October 14, 2020 12:00 am PDT

I would definitely say that predictions for the 2020 AFL Preliminary Finals have been just as difficult to make as in most other seasons.

But unlike other seasons, 2020 has been especially bonkers. Both for footy, and sport in general. Still, it’s comforting to know we have got this far with so many obstacles and hurdles in the way. At least we can say that, right?

OK. So, here’s how things work. We’re down to four teams and just three games in the 2020 AFL season. This weekend, minor premiers Port Adelaide take on reigning flag holders Richmond at the Adelaide Oval. Brisbane Lions take on Geelong Cats at the Gabba. The winner of each match will meet at the Gabba next Saturday to contest the 2020 AFL Grand Final.

Excited? Me too.

Here’s are my predictions for both AFL Preliminary Finals.

Port Adelaide Power (-120) vs. Richmond Tigers (-106)

Minor champions Port Adelaide take on 2019 premiers Richmond in the first of two mouthwatering finals.

With that tag of minor champs comes a few benefits, and none will be better felt than their luxurious tally of just two games in 24 days. And let’s not forget that the Power will have home advantage at the Adelaide Oval, too.

Port Adelaide has been a class apart this season, but there are no guarantees at this stage of the competition. This is their first home Preliminary Final in 16 years, and one hell of an opportunity to enter their first Grand Final since 2007.

Richmond will enter this clash with a lot of finals experience behind them. In fact, this is their fourth consecutive appearance at this stage. But how will they react without the rousing chorus of devoted fans at the MCG?

The Power holds the bragging rights following their hard-earned 93-72 victory over the Tigers in Adelaide in Round 11. Confidence is high, and everything seems set up for a victory in the day.

That said, the Tigers will look a lot different to the team that the Power swatted off earlier in the year. Team captain Trent Cotchin, David Astbury, Shane Edwards, Dion Prestia, Toby Nankervis, Jack Graham, and Bachar Houli all return to the side.

I expect a tight game at the Oval on Friday, with the Tigers putting in a more consistent performance when compared to their efforts against Brisbane and St Kilda. Will that be enough to stop the Power?

I don’t think so. Port Adelaide will be relishing this game and will look to address some wasteful kicking that could have made their victory over the Tigers in August look a lot sweeter.

I’ll take Port Adelaide to make the Grand Final with around a ten-point cushion.

Best Bet
  • Port Adelaide Power to Win

Brisbane Lions (-138) vs. Geelong Cats (+110)

It’s a clash of the felines when Brisbane Lions take on Geelong Cats at the Gabba on Saturday.

Like Port Adelaide, the Lions make their first appearance in a Preliminary Final for 16 years. That, of course, was the year when the Power defeated the reigning flag holders. A Grand Final between the two sides would be something.

But before Brisbane can dream of their first flag since 2003, they must first get past a very dangerous Geelong. It appeared that everyone I spoke to was writing the Cats off, but I trusted that they would come through with the win when making my predictions for last week’s game. I didn’t expect it to be as emphatic a win, however.

The Cats certainly benefitted from Collingwood’s insistence on giving them space to thrive, and I don’t think we will see the same allowances provided by Lachie Neale and Mitch Robinson. A very structured outfit, if the Cats’ rhythm is broken, it is difficult for them to get a footing in the game.

The Lions will be fired up and ready to roar on Saturday, and I think their own brand of controlled chaos and high tempo madness will make the difference in the end.

If Patrick Dangerfield gets a hold of the game, Brisbane could be in trouble. But I expect the home deck to be vital in the Lions making the Grand Final on October 24.

Best Bet
  • Brisbane Lions to Win

That’s All For Now

I’m tipping wins for Port Adelaide and Brisbane Lions this weekend, which would set up an absolutely epic Grand Final on October 24.

But at this stage of the season, anything can happen. You could look at Richmond’s experience as something to get behind rather than Port Adelaide’s form this season, or Geelong turning it on at the right time against the Lions. Who knows what will go down?

Still, I’m confident that my predictions are strong enough to make two very solid AFL Preliminary Finals bets with the best Aussie Rules betting sites.

Good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

More Posts by Adam Contact Adam



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