Evaluating the 2022 AFL Premiership Odds After Melbourne’s Recent Slump

| June 22, 2022 12:23 am PDT

  • Melbourne’s Premiership odds have risen following three straight losses.
  • The Demons are now one of three teams on 40 points atop the ladder.
  • Brisbane and Fremantle are also among the bookies’ favorites.

Less than a month ago, Melbourne Football Club looked destined to secure back-to-back flags. But following three consecutive defeats, the defending premiers are no longer seen as untouchable.

The Demons won each of their first ten games this season, demolishing everyone in their path. However, losses to Fremantle, Sydney, and Collingwood have seen them surrender top spot on the ladder.

Accordingly, the top Aussie Rules betting sites have adjusted their 2022 AFL premiership odds. Let’s see what the bookies make of the situation.

Latest 2022 AFL Premiership Odds

Western Bulldogs23.00
St Kilda26.00

Despite recent results, Melbourne is still favored to win the 2022 AFL Grand Final. But there is no hiding the fact that other teams now stand a greater chance of securing the flag.

When I published my AFL premiership odds update at the end of April, the Demons were priced at 2.87 to clinch the title. Brisbane was priced at 6.00 at that time, while Fremantle’s premiership odds were 17.00!

Fast-forward to today
the Lions and the Dockers have closed the gap. Geelong, Richmond, Sydney, and Carlton are also in the mix, with Collingwood, Western Bulldogs, and St Kilda completing the top ten.

So, why have the AFL odds changed so much in recent weeks? It’s time to examine Melbourne’s fall from grace.

What’s Happened to Melbourne’s Premiership Defense?

Before we go any further, let’s get one thing straight – Melbourne is not a bad team all of a sudden. That said, the recent downturn is certainly a cause for concern for head coach Simon Goodwin and his players.

When the Demons won their opening ten games in 2022, they set themselves up for a commanding premiership defense. But after suffering three straight losses, there are question marks over their resilience.

The losing streak started with a 38-point defeat to Freo. The reigning premiers then registered a 12-point loss against Sydney before suffering a 26-point defeat to Collingwood last time out.

Consequently, Melbourne is now one of three teams on 40 points at the summit of the AFL standings.


  • Brisbane – 40 (134.20%)
  • Melbourne – 40 (134.02%)
  • Fremantle – 40 (128.52%)
  • Geelong – 36 (127.66%)
  • Carlton – 36 (112.27%)
  • Richmond – 32 (117.81%)
  • Sydney – 32 (115.08%)
  • St Kilda – 32 (113.30%)

As you can see, the Lions lead the Demons thanks to their superior percentage. The Dockers also have 40 points to their name, although they sit below Melbourne on the ladder.

With Geelong and Carlton just four points behind the three frontrunners, the race for the top four is beginning to heat up. If they carry on the way they’re going, Goodwin’s men could find themselves outside the top four altogether.

Can the Demons Turn Things Around?

Of course, the Demons can turn things around.

Having claimed both the minor premiership and premiership last year, Melbourne remains a force to be reckoned with. Let’s not forget that Goodwin’s side also enjoyed a ten-game winning streak at the start of the current campaign.

That said, the defending premiers can’t afford many more slip-ups. With Brisbane, Fremantle, Geelong, and Carlton hot on their heels, they will need to rediscover their form soon rather than later.

Clayton Oliver leads the league for disposals, while Christian Petracca also finds himself in the top ten. Thanks to other key stars such as Max Gawn, Angus Brayshaw, and Jack Viney, Melbourne boasts one of the strongest rosters in the AFL.

It is no secret that some of Melbourne’s most important players have not been at their best in recent weeks. Still, they have more than enough ability to bounce back and fire their side to glory once again.

Could the Demons kick-start their revival against Brisbane this week? Follow the link below to discover my Melbourne vs. Brisbane prediction, along with my other Round 15 AFL predictions and picks.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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