Aaron Rodgers Tests Positive for COVID-19 – How It Impacts the Green Bay Packers Week 9 Odds

| November 3, 2021 2:40 pm PDT

Last week, the Green Bay Packers had a thrilling victory over the then undefeated Arizona Cardinals. They did so without Davante Adams and Allen Lazard, as they tested positive for COVID-19.

Going into Week 9, we were set to see the first matchup between Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. Unfortunately, Rodgers has tested positive for COVID-19 and will not play.

Let’s check out the updated odds with Rodgers out.

Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Green Bay Packers (+7.0)-110
Kansas City Chiefs (-7.0)-110
Green Bay Packers to Win+260
Kansas City Chiefs to Win-335
Over 48-105
Under 48-115

The Kansas City Chiefs opened as (-3.0) point favorites. That moved to a pick em during the week. Aaron Rodgers’ positive COVID-19 test moved the line a whole seven points.

During the week, you’ll typically see a line move by anywhere from a half-point to two points. However, you won’t see a seven-point movement unless something major happens. That’s exactly what we have with Rodgers out.

I want to discuss how the line has moved with Rodgers being out.

Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Line Movement

Both the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs came into this season as Super Bowl favorites. After all, they nearly met there last season.

The Packers brushed off a Week 1 loss to rattle off seven straight wins. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have looked nothing like the team went to back-to-back Super Bowls. Even so, the early betting lines had them as (-3.0) point favorites.

After barely beating the New York Giants on Monday night football, the Chiefs went from (-3.0) point favorites to (-1.0) point favorites. The line didn’t stay like that very long, as the game moved to a pick-em.

We also saw the point total move from 55.5 to 54.5.

With the way the Chiefs have been playing lately, it wasn’t surprising to see over 80 percent of bettors backing the Packers. Then came the news that caused a massive movement in the spread.

On Wednesday morning, the Green Bay Packers announced Aaron Rodgers tested positive for COVID-19.

Losing a player like Rodgers is tough no matter what, but the Packers have enough talent to contend without him. However, it’s not that easy when you play Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

When the game came back on the board, Kansas City moved to (-8.0) point favorites. Maybe that was a tad much because we’ve now seen it drop to (-7.0) points.

Second-year quarterback Jordan Love will make his first career start.

Now this won’t be the first time we’re seeing Love on the field. He played in garbage time of the Packers Week 1 loss. He also played very well in the preseason.

Even so, he is nowhere near Rodgers’ level.

I have to imagine Green Bay tries to slow down this game and limit the Chiefs time of possession, similar to what they did last week.

In turn, that could lead to a low-scoring game.

Outlook for the Matchup

I think this game will come down to whether the Kansas City Chiefs offense plays up to their potential.

We haven’t seen that lately, as teams are daring them to run the ball. Kansas City can do that, but they’d rather beat you deep.

Travis Kelce was a non-factor last week. They should try and work him into the game plan early and often.

For the Green Bay Packers, I mentioned how I expect them to slow down the game. They still have talent on offense with Aaron Jones and Davante Adams. Those guys can help Love and lead the offense.

Last week, Green Bay spent over 37 minutes on offense. Keeping the ball out of Patrick Mahomes’ hands will limit their ability to put points on the board.

With Rodgers missing the game, the Chiefs take over as big favorites, but I wouldn’t count out the Packers. We just saw the Dallas Cowboys defeat the Minnesota Vikings on the road without Dak Prescott. Can Green Bay replicate that?

If you’d like to take a side, check out the top NFL betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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