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Why Deshaun Watson Could Win This Year’s NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes goes into the 2020 NFL MVP race as the tentative favorite, owning solid +600 odds at BetOnline and other top NFL sportsbooks.
While Mahomes is a great bet (and probably going to win), it’s fair to wonder who his main competition is. It is not rare for a non-favorite to win the league MVP, so seeing someone potentially coming out of nowhere could be quite profitable for sports bettors.
One such option just might be Houston Texans star quarterback Deshaun Watson.
The former Clemson product has flirted with MVP-type production in the past, tallying over 3,800 passing yards and 26 passing touchdowns in each of his last two seasons. His dynamic ability (964 rushing yards and 12 more scores on the ground) is what puts him over the top as a legit MVP threat.
Houston worked hard to downgrade Watson’s supporting cast this year, but a statistical leap is still possible.
Should you bet on Deshaun Watson to win the 2020 NFL MVP (+2500 odds at BetOnline)? Here are a few reasons why you should at least consider doing so.
He’s Already Putting Up Elite Stats
Deshaun Watson isn’t a top-5 quarterback in the NFL, but statistically, he’s really quite close. His 26 passing touchdowns tied for 8th in the NFL in 2019.
When you add his seven rushing scores, Watson is in elite company. His numbers are even more impressive when you consider he only played 15 games and had four contests where he didn’t throw a single touchdown.
Already putting up fantastic numbers and showcasing explosive ability (multiple touchdowns in 11 games), Watson could be close to the type of jump that vaults him into the MVP conversation.
The Texans’ Bad Moves Make Him Look Better
Watson may have his work cut out for him, of course. Bill O’Brien made some wild moves this offseason, with the biggest being a trade that sent superstar wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins to the Arizona Cardinals.
O’Brien then replaced the departing Nuk with Brandin Cooks and signed Randall Cobb. Oh, and that Hopkins trade brought back a seemingly washed (and really expensive) David Johnson.
In theory, these could actually end up being genius moves that form a more complete, versatile, and explosive roster around Watson. Because of that (unlikely) possibility, Watson could be aided by his new weapons.
Of course, common logic suggests these were really bad moves, so Watson may have to just elevate everyone and win despite the madness.
Either way, Watson is going to look good here if he can continue putting up good (or better) numbers. Watson will be aided by his new weapons, or he’ll overcome them.
Houston Could Be Special Because of Him
A main argument for anyone looking to lock down the NFL MVP is their stats and play lifting up their franchise.
It’s safe to say Watson has always been a big reason for Houston’s success since he’s manned the quarterback position for the team, but in 2020, he may need to be better than ever.
A 24-13 record as Houston’s starting quarterback goes to show the impact Watson can have. Heck, just look at last year’s wild card game, where the Texans looked dead in the water in a 16-0 hole.
The Texans went on to win that game, largely due to Watson.
The weapons around him could be seen as downgrades, but Watson is a gamer that can still figure things out on his own. And even if he doesn’t have Nuk, he still has his own dynamic ability and plenty of speed at his disposal.
The Texans have won 10+ games in each of the last two years, and they still benefit from the AFC South being pretty weak. If that continues, Houston could again finish 10-6 or far better. If Watson can vault the Texans near the top of the AFC, he’d have an easy argument to be considered for league MVP.
Will Deshaun Watson Win the NFL MVP in 2020?
Bill O’Brien could be crippling Watson, but there is still some hope that these wild moves actually benefit the offense.
Even if they don’t, though, Watson is good enough on his own to push the Texans forward, keep them competitive, and perhaps elevate them.
The AFC South is a pretty good place to start, as Watson won’t have to face a ton of pushback. With even slightly better numbers than what we’ve seen out of him so far in his career, Watson could easily be a contender to claim the 2020 NFL MVP.
While I don’t think he actually wins, I do see merit in betting on him at his current +2500 price tag. There is a direct path to that type of success for Watson, and that kind of value demands the attention of bettors.
If you don’t believe in Watson, consider some other NFL MVP hopefuls via the links below.