Who Will Win the 2021 Copa America?

By Zarko Naric in Soccer
| June 10, 2021 9:56 am PDT

Lionel Messi, Neymar, and many other soccer superstars from ten South American countries will be giving their utmost on the pitch over the next couple of weeks. Their goal? Getting ahold of the 2021 Copa America trophy!

It’s the oldest, and still-running, international competition in this part of the world, with the inaugural Copa America tournament held in 1916.

In its 105-years-long history, Copa America has been held 46 times. Uruguay is the most successful nation with 15 title wins, followed by Argentina with one less.

Brazil comes in third, with 9 wins, the most recent of which happened in the last tournament. As it turns out, oddsmakers think Brazil is likely to win the second Copa America in a row.

Betting Odds for the 2021 Copa America Winner

Eight of the ten national teams taking part in the 2021 Copa America have already won the title in the past. Some in the 21st century, some decades ago.

The two nations that are still without a Copa America trophy in the cupboard are Ecuador and Venezuela. And the betting sites don’t think that’s going to change!

Instead, they favor the “usual suspects” to win the tournament, as you can see below.

Brazil2.10
Argentina3.75
Colombia8.00
Uruguay9.00
Chile13.00
Paraguay34.00
Peru41.00
Ecuador41.00
Venezuela67.00
Bolivia151.00

When one of our writers covered the 2021 Copa America odds in February, Argentina was the #1 favorite at 2.90. That is no longer the case.

Now, it’s Brazil, which may have something to do with the fact that the tournament will take place in this country.

Copa America Goes to Brazil

Twelve South American teams are traveling to Brazil to take part in the 2021 Copa America. Not in Argentina or Colombia, where the tournament was meant to take place, but in Brazil.

Already delayed by one year, the tournament was first meant to be held in Colombia. Anti-government protests in Colombia, which took a violent turn on a few occasions, prompted the Copa America organizers to move it elsewhere.

Argentina was their #1 pick, but then COVID got involved. As a result of a recent surge in coronavirus cases in Argentina, the tournament was moved once again. This time, the destination is Brazil.

Although the country is far from COVID-free (Brazil’s death toll is the world’s second), it seems that 2021 Copa America will go through.

What’s not yet certain is whether there will be fans in the stands, with some reports suggesting only the final match will have a live audience.

With the fans to support them, the Brazil national team would have an even better chance of winning the trophy.

Still, even without them, the Canarinha is the #1 favorite.

Brazil Going for the 10th Copa America Trophy

Brazil’s captain Thiago Silva won the UEFA Champions League with Chelsea in May. Others? Didn’t do much this season, to be frank.

That, however, isn’t necessarily a bad thing for Brazil’s Copa America ambitions. It could mean that the players are hungry for success.

This goes especially for Brazil’s biggest star, Neymar. The only trophy he won with his club Paris Saint-Germain in the 2020-21 season is the Coupe De France. It’s needless to say that Ney wants more!

Neymar is likely going to be in the spotlight during the 2021 Copa America for another reason – he missed the previous tournament due to an injury he suffered just days before the start.

Even without Neymar, Brazil managed to cruise to the 2019 title. Most of the players that won it two years ago are still in the team, and the addition of Neymar only makes Brazil an even stronger favorite.

Another fact going in their favor is that the tournament is held in Brazil, the same as in 2019. So, is history going to repeat itself?

Yep, I think so. Although, no one in their right mind should underestimate Lionel Messi and Co.

No Title for Argentina Since 1993

Argentina’s captain and arguably the best player in history is turning 34 on June 24. Although he probably has a few more years left in his legs, this could be Lionel Messi’s last chance to win Copa America.

This is because the next edition of the tournament is happening in 2024, so Messi probably wants to get the job done this year.

And it’s not just about him! Everyone in Argentina is pumped up for this tournament.

It has been almost thirty years of hurt for this soccer-loving nation, with their last Copa America triumph happening back in 1993.

Argentina’s players probably feel disappointed the tournament isn’t taking place in their country, where they would have incredible support. However, fate had other plans.

Initially, they were supposed to co-host the 2021 Copa America with Colombia, another potential title candidate.

Colombia’s Odds Move Following Rodriguez Injury

James Rodriguez is probably the biggest star that could miss the 2021 Copa America. The former Real Madrid playmaker injured his calf in May, which prompted the Colombia boss Reinaldo Rueda to leave him out of the squad for the World Cup Qualifiers in early June.

This, however, doesn’t mean he’s not going to receive a Copa America call-up. In fact, that’s likely to happen, especially after his club’s medical staff confirmed the injury wasn’t as serious as previously thought.

With or without Rodriguez in the team, Colombia doesn’t seem as strong as the other two main favorites.

Colombia does have some players who are coming off a good season. This goes especially for Colombia’s attackers, Lucas Muriel and Duvan Zapata, both of whom were key to Atalanta’s historical success in the Serie A.

Thanks to their input and 37 league goals combined, Atalanta finished in second place in the Italian top-tier for the first time in the club’s history.

They look lethal in the final third, but this team is not too strong at the back. Evidence of this is that they conceded a total of 11 goals in their last three competitive matches of 2020.

Can Uruguay Win Another Copa America Trophy?

Probably not, and the reason for that is that their key players are probably jaded!

Uruguay’s captain is Diego Godin, who is 35 and who’s had a rough season with Cagliari, a team that secured staying in the Serie A in a final couple of rounds of the season.

Uruguay’s best player, Luis Suarez, is only a year younger than the skipper. However, this guy had an even more exciting season, which saw him scoring the title-winning goal for Atletico Madrid in the final round of La Liga.

Sure, he must be feeling good about himself after pulling off such a feat, but his body probably doesn’t feel too great, after playing 32 league games this season.

Pretty much the same goes for another 34-year-old, Man United’s Edinson Cavani, the man who scored the only goal for the Red Devils in the Europa League final in May.  

2021 Copa America Betting Prediction

Brazil and Argentina are the two main favorites for the 2021 Copa America, in that order. The reason for this is obvious – those teams have the best players on the roster.  

Of course, even the best teams fail sometimes. The two potential giant slayers seem to be Colombia and Uruguay.

When it comes to the chances of the remaining six national teams, they look really slim.

  • My Prediction: Brazil to Win the 2021 Copa America

Check out our guide to betting on the Copa America if you’re planning to wager on the tournament.

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