Week 7 College Football Betting Lines and Analysis

By Dan Vasta in College Football
| October 11, 2021 11:56 am PDT

The weeks are going by quickly, and we are witnessing consistent underdogs pulling off upsets. Top 25 matchups have been heating up, and we have five matchups in the SEC that revolve around them.

Kentucky is a trendy team, and they could be the top remaining threat to Georgia. The SEC has weekly matchups that are impacting the West Division.

Alabama is looking for competition, and perhaps a trip to Stark Vegas will be tighter than most expect. Nobody saw a loss at College Station coming.

The Big Ten is taking the week off from being in the national spotlight, so perhaps another conference will take the world by surprise.

Here are the latest odds for Week 7, involving all the Top 25 squads via Sportsbetting.ag. Be sure to check the site out for all of your latest futures and daily wagers.

Week 7 Odds for AP Top 25 Games (FBS Matchups Only)

  • Cal (+13.5) -105 at No. 9 Oregon (-13.5) -115
  • No. 24 San Diego State (-8) -110 at San Jose State (+8) -110
  • TCU (+13) -115 at No. 4 Oklahoma (-13) -105
  • No. 12 Oklahoma State (+5.5) -115 at No. 25 Texas (-5.5) -105
  • UCF (+19.5) -115 at No. 3 Cincinnati (-19.5) -105
  • No. 10 Michigan State (-3.5) -115 at Indiana (+3.5) -105
  • Auburn (+3) -110 at No. 17 Arkansas (-3) -110
  • No. 20 Florida (-10) -113 at LSU (+10) -107
  • No. 11 Kentucky (+22.5) -110 at No. 1 Georgia (-22.5) -110
  • Purdue (+12.5) -113 at No. 2 Iowa (-12.5) -107
  • No. 19 BYU (+5) -105 at Baylor (-5) -115
  • No. 5 Alabama (-17) -115 at Mississippi State (+17) -105
  • No. 13 Ole Miss (-3) -110 at Tennessee (+3) -110
  • No. 22 NC State (-2.5) -112 at Boston College (+2.5) -108
  • No. 18 Arizona State (pk) -118 at Utah (pk) -102
  • No. 21 Texas A&M (-8) -110 at Missouri (+8) -110

Which upset is going to occur next in college football?

We’ve had a wacky season thus far, and the best is yet to come. We could see another juggernaut towards the top of the polls lose a game as soon as this weekend.

The Big Ten has joined the party with weekly fireworks. Georgia and Alabama are the top two teams, but the B1G has continued to dominate the polls alongside the SEC.

The rankings for the CFP are inching closer to its opening reveal and these games continue to heat up by the week. So, understanding the latest trends and which teams have the momentum in their favor can often give you the winning edge.

We are ready for the slate of games in Week 7. It is now time to dissect these Top 25 matchups with the trends to note and updated odds.

Cal at No. 9 Oregon

  • Cal (+13.5) -105
  • Oregon (-13.5) -115
  • Over 54 (-110)
  • Under 54 (-110)

Oregon has won 10 of the last 12 games against Cal. The Ducks have dominated against the spread as well, going 7-3.

The only good news these days for the Bears is they are coming off a bye week. Cal is 1-4 and has been abysmal for the second year in a row.

Justin Wilcox seemed to have them back on track with an eight-win season in 2019, but it has been a struggle since. Oregon will be looking for style points to redeem themselves coming off a bye week of their own.

No. 24 San Diego State at San Jose State

  • San Diego State (-8) -110
  • San Jose State (+8) -110
  • Over 43 (-105)
  • Under 43 (-115)

The Aztecs have been a remarkable program over the years. They lack superstars on either side of the ball, but they keep finding ways to win ugly. The Spartans were the team last season that stunned the nation.

Brady Hoke is in his second tenure with San Diego State and has plenty of momentum in his favor.

Against the spread, they have covered four of the past six meetings with an average margin of victory by 25.6 points per victory.

TCU at No. 4 Oklahoma

  • TCU (+13.5) -115
  • Oklahoma (-13.5) -105
  • Over 65.5 (-113)
  • Under 65.5 (-107)

TCU will have their hands full against Oklahoma. The Sooners and Spencer Rattler had no issues with them last season. OU covered as 7-point road favorites, and they are now laying double-digits for only the second time since 2016.

TCU has failed to cover in five of the past six meetings against Oklahoma. As an underdog, TCU has not covered in six of their past ten meetings against the spread.

Gary Patterson is 28-24 against Top 25 foes, but this will be one of their more challenging road tests since joining the Big 12.

No. 12 Oklahoma State at No. 25 Texas

  • Oklahoma State (+5.5) -115
  • Texas (-5.5) -115
  • Over 60.5 (-110)
  • Under 60.5 (-110)

The Longhorns are 9-7 against Mike Gundy, but the Cowboys are 4-2 against the spread in its past six against them.

Oklahoma State as a road underdog, has covered four of the past five games. As a home favorite, Texas has gone 5-2-1 in its past seven.

The main challenge will be whether the Burnt Orange can bounce back from suffering a last-second loss to Oklahoma.

UCF at No. 3 Cincinnati

  • UCF (+19.5) -115
  • Cincinnati (-19.5) -105
  • Over 57 (-105)
  • Under 57 (-115)

Desmond Ridder is coming off another blowout victory in conference play. Who is going to knock off the Bearcats?

This matchup was supposed to be the top tilt of the entire season and the game of the year in the conference entering the season in the AAC.

Ridder torched UCF for 338 yards passing last season and is coming off a 3-touchdown performance over Temple.

The Bearcats have covered five of seven home games as favorites and will continue to attempt to run the score up as they have their eyes set on the College Football Playoff.

No. 10 Michigan State at Indiana

  • Michigan State (-3.5) -115
  • Indiana (+3.5) -105
  • Over 51.5 (-110)
  • Under 51.5 (-110)

Sparty has their work cut out for them with an impressive record thus far, but the road trips in the Big Ten are far from a walk in the park.

Michigan State has been fortunate on the road in recent memory. They have covered in four straight games.

They will need to keep that trend going, if they want to stay afloat in the Big Ten East.

Indiana has had concerns as a home underdog, losing 17 of their past 20 games. Their 7-12-1 record against the spread isn’t much better, and they are looking to get some of their confidence back from last season.

Tom Allen is 4-8 against the spread at home.

Auburn at No. 17 Arkansas

  • Auburn (+3.5) -110
  • Arkansas (-3.5) -110
  • Over 53.5 (-105)
  • Under 53.5 (-115)

Life in the SEC West is never enjoyable due to the depth. Auburn was fortunate to sneak out a victory over Arkansas last year despite a questionable call in the final moments.

Arkansas still lost the game by four, but that was an upgrade compared to their previous four games, in which they lost by an average margin of 39 points per game.

The Razorbacks have failed to cover in six of their past eight meetings against the Tigers.

Still, Sam Pittman has turned the tide. Pittman was an underdog in 35 straight SEC games before this matchup. It goes to show much he has changed the culture in Fayetteville.

No. 20 Florida at LSU

  • Florida (-10) -113
  • Arkansas (+10) -107
  • Over 58 (-115)
  • Under 58 (-105)

LSU has only been a home underdog by double-digits in four games since 2000. They are 0-4 straight up and have gone 0-3-1 against the spread.

Times are challenging in Baton Rouge, and they will hear the boo-birds against the Gators if things start rough.

LSU has won three of their past four over Florida. The point spread has slightly favored the Tigers, having gone 5-4-1 in the past ten meetings.

The Bayou Bengals have won six of the past eight meetings, but none bigger than last year when they were a 23-point underdog at the Swamp.

Ed Orgeron has also recently owned the SEC East over the years, going 11-3 against the spread and outright going into this matchup.

No. 11 Kentucky at No. 1 Georgia

  • Kentucky (+22.5) -110
  • Georgia (-22.5) -110
  • Over 45 (-110)
  • Under 45 (-110)

Mark Stoops has gone 7-20 against AP Top 25 teams, which could be costly against a stellar squad like Georgia. The Bulldogs have won 11 straight, and nine of the 11 victories were by at least two scores.

Kentucky is not the most explosive offense, and we have the under-hitting in four of their past six meetings with Georgia.

Points will be at a premium in Athens, where they had only allowed two offensive touchdowns, with the Tigers adding one this past week.

Purdue at No. 2 Iowa

  • Purdue (+12.5) -113
  • Iowa (-12.5) -107
  • Over 43 (-110)
  • Under 43 (-110)

The Hawkeyes don’t struggle against many Big Ten squads, but the Boilermakers have knocked them off in three of the past four meetings.

Purdue has covered in five of their past six meetings against Iowa, which dates back to 2015. The Hawkeyes have plenty at stake as they are now the new number two team in the polls.

They can remain in the CFP hunt by winning the Big Ten West. Purdue has their issues with Jeff Brohm attempting to keep his job as the season picks up in competition.

No. 19 BYU at Baylor

  • BYU (+5) -105
  • Baylor (-5) -115
  • Over 48.5 (-115)
  • Under 48.5 (-105)

The Bears have been a pleasant surprise this season. They have done well at home against FBS non-conference opponents.

Baylor has won seven of their past nine games and has gone 6-3 against the spread.

BYU is 5-2 against the Big 12 in its history as a program (only when teams were in Big 12). The Cougars lost their most recent matchup against the conference in 2016 after a loss to West Virginia.

No. 5 Alabama at Mississippi State

  • Alabama (-17) -115
  • Mississippi State (+17) -105
  • Over 59 (-105)
  • Under 59 (-115)

Alabama has been the favorite in 159 of their past 160 games. This clash will be the 87th straight game as the favorite. Nick Saban has done it all, but they need to get back on the winning side.

The Crimson Tide have won eight of their past ten trips to Stark Vegas. They have failed to cover in three of their past five visits.

In the past 20 meetings, Alabama has had a slight edge with an 11-9 record against the spread. The Crimson Tide have seen themselves as a two-plus touchdown favorite in their past five meetings with the Bulldogs, and Nick Saban will look to stay in the CFP hunt.

No. 13 Ole Miss at Tennessee

  • Ole Miss (-3) -110
  • Tennessee (+3) -110
  • Over 79 (-110)
  • Under 79 (-110)

The Rebels went 3-1 last season against the SEC East, and Lane Kiffin is off to a solid start thus far. Lane Kiffin did not have the Vols on their schedule last year.

However, Ole Miss has won two of their past three matchups against Tennessee.

If you like points, take the over for the fun of it. Until the postseason arrives, you may never see this high of a number. The Rebels have an elite offense but lack the defensive juggernaut needed to contend for a spot in the CFP.

The Vols have lost four games as a home underdog, but they have covered three of their past six matchups.

Tennessee and Ole Miss have seen the home team win the past four by 27.75 points per game.

No. 22 NC State at Boston College

  • NC State (-2.5) -112
  • Boston College (+2.5) -108
  • Over 51 (-110)
  • Under 51 (-110)

Both teams are coming off a bye week, but they didn’t even play last season for the first time since 2004.

This game proves pivotal, with Clemson having a loss in the Atlantic Division before Halloween.

Boston College is 10-7 against NC State. The Eagles have lost two of the past three meetings. Very rarely do we see both teams enter this matchup with only one completed ACC matchup.

No. 18 Arizona State at Utah

  • Arizona State (pk) -118
  • Utah (pk) -102
  • Over 51 (-105)
  • Under 51 (-115)

When there is no favorite, toss-up games often lack. Later in the week is when we will have money dictating where this line moves. The ranked squad in ASU should attract picks, but they have struggled on the road under Herm Edwards.

Utah has lost and failed to cover in their past three underdog home games, in which the spread was under a field goal. In those same games as a slight favorite, the Utes have fared much better.

Utah has gone 4-2 straight up with a 4-2 record against the spread. Arizona State has gone 2-3 against the spread as slight road favorites (0-2.5 points), but they have gone 3-2 straight up.

No. 21 Texas A&M at Missouri

  • Texas A&M (-8) -110
  • Missouri (+8) -110
  • Over 60 (-110)
  • Under 60 (-110)

The bad news for Missouri is they may not be receiving enough points against a hot A&M squad. Yes, the Aggies could be overly confident, but the Tigers have struggled at home over the years as a solid underdog.

As eight-plus point underdogs at home, Mizzou has eight of their past ten while covering only four of them. The defensive side of the ball has been a complete disaster up to this point, and the Aggies showed signs of life last week on offense.

Jimbo Fisher became the first coach to knock off Saban among his former assistants (24-1).

The Aggies have only 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread under Fisher when they are favorites at this current number.

Final Thoughts

October is chaotic, but how can we have Week 7 match Week 6?

More upsets will do the trick, and there are possible landmines involving Top 25 teams again. Arizona State is the final hope for the Pac-12 to have a prayer of landing in the College Football Playoff.

Georgia has their most challenging game at home against Kentucky. The Wildcats have knocked off both Florida and LSU in the past two weeks. Will they complete the trifecta?

Alabama will likely take out their frustrations on Mike Leach in Stark Vegas, but who is in the most jeopardy?

The Big 12 will have Texas and Oklahoma at home against some solid competition. The Longhorns need to put last week behind them. If not, they will lose against a legit Big 12 contender in Oklahoma State.

Sparty heads to Bloomington in what could be the top matchup in terms of difficulty for a Top 10 team.

One thing for sure is that the games will continue to be highly entertaining. This season has been as crazy as the 2007 season.

Be sure to check out more, free college football picks and predictions throughout the week.

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