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Week 6 NFL Start and Sit Calls for Fantasy Football

| October 12, 2021 12:09 pm PDT

We had a few misses last week but for the most part, I’d say most of my selections worked out.

Remember it’s all about the matchups for your fringe starters. It can make the difference in a bench player going off, or a star player disappointing.

It’s crazy but we are already in Week 6. Where does the time go? Anyway, let’s check out my top starts and sits for the week.

Fantasy Starts for Week 6

Last week, I had Trevor Lawrence and he went on to have the best fantasy game of his career. Can we predict more success like that?

Here are my starts for Week 6.

QB: Taylor Heinicke (Washington Football Team)

At this point, I’m not sure there is any hope for the Washington Football Team defense. They came into the season with high expectations, but they have the second worse scoring defense.

Over the last two weeks, they’ve made Matt Ryan and Jameis Winston look like Hall of Famers. While that’s bad for Washington, it helps Taylor Heinicke in fantasy football.

Heinicke had a bit of a stinker last week but check out his numbers in weeks 2-4.

Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Passing Yards 336 212 290
Passing Touchdowns 2 2 3
Interceptions 1 2 0
Rushing Yards 6 21 43
Rushing Touchdowns 0 1 0

All those performances equated to over 20 fantasy points.

This week, Heinicke takes on a Kansas City Chiefs defense that is somehow worse than Washington’s.

Kansas City’s defense ranks last in points per game and 28th in passing yards per game. Their offense is still one of the best in the league, so Washington will need to score to keep up.

It’s the perfect storm for Heinicke. He plays a terrible defense and will need to keep passing and scoring. It might take garbage time, but I can’t see Heinicke scoring under 20 points this week. He is also a great DFS sleeper pick.

RB: Leonard Fournette (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

It wasn’t long ago that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers backfield was a committee. Over the last two weeks, we’ve seen Leonard Fournette emerge as the lead back.

In turn, he has back-to-back games with over 13 fantasy points. That should continue with an enticing matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles.

Philadelphia’s run defense had a decent start to the 2021 season. Over the last three weeks, we’ve seen running backs run wild on them.

Rushing + Receiving Yards Total Touchdowns
Ezekiel Elliott (Week 3) 116 2
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Week 4) 114 1
Chuba Hubbard (Week 5) 134 0

And those are just the lead backs. Tony Pollard and Darrell Williams had over 40 yards in a backup role.

Tampa Bay opens as (-7.0) point favorite. They like to control the game early with their passing game, but they’ll sprinkle in the run game. Not to mention, Fournette has over 40 receiving yards in each of the last two games.

Just to top things off, Philadelphia’s run defense ranks 30th.

It just makes too much sense to start Fournette. He is the lead back on one of the best offenses in the league. Add in a great matchup, and you have a running back that might produce RB1 numbers.

WR: DeVonta Smith (Philadelphia Eagles)

The Philadelphia Eagles came into the 2021 season with a pretty weak receiving core. Five weeks into the season and rookie DeVonta Smith has established himself as Jalen Hurts’ favorite target.

Smith leads the team in receptions, targets, and receiving yards.

Following a rough two weeks, Smith has had back-to-back good performances.

Week 4 Week 5
Receptions 7 7
Yards 122 77

He is still looking for his first touchdown since Week 1, but the receptions and yards are encouraging. He may very well find the end zone this week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay’s run defense is so good that teams have chosen to not even try and establish the ground game. Philadelphia doesn’t run much themselves, so that works out pretty well.

While the Buccaneers have the best run defense, they have the worst pass defense. It’s a combination of injuries as well as teams having to pass to keep up with them.

We mentioned how the Eagles are (+7.0) point underdogs. That should lead to a lot of passing as they try to keep up with Tampa Bay.

Hurts will look for his favorite target all night. Smith is one of those fringe guys that should be a starter because of the great matchup.

TE: Noah Fant (Denver Broncos)

Noah Fant has had a bit of an inconsistent start to the 2021 season. Through five weeks, he has a pair of top 10 weeks, but also a pair of finishes outside the top 30 among tight ends.

Last week, he had one of his dud weeks with three receptions and 20 yards. To be fair, it came against a Pittsburgh Steelers team that has shut down every tight end outside of Darren Waller.

Fant will have a much easier matchup this week against the Las Vegas Raiders.

Las Vegas started the season great against tight ends. Over the last three weeks, we’ve seen things go in a different direction.

Receptions Yards Touchdowns
Week 3 (Mike Gesicki) 10 86 0
Week 4 (Jared Cook) 6 70 1
Week 5 (Cole Kmet) 2 22 0

The Raiders also allowed touchdowns to the Chargers and Bears backup tight ends.

On the other side, the Raiders have only allowed more than 175 yards to wide receivers once. It’s safe to say the way to attack them in the passing game is via tight end.

Teddy Bridgewater should lean on Fant throughout the game. Lookout for Fant to pick up his third touchdown of the season.

Fantasy Sits for Week 6

Just about all my sits worked out last week, with Miles Sanders and Odell Beckham Jr. being my biggest hits.

Let’s see if I can replicate that success in Week 6.

QB: Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee Titans)

Between Arthur Smith leaving this offseason and the acquisition of Julio Jones, I thought we’d see the Tennessee Titans pass more this season. Well, that’s not the case.

Derrick Henry is on pace to obliterate the record for most carries in a season. In turn, we haven’t seen a big week from Ryan Tannehill in fantasy. I don’t expect that to change this week.

Tennessee will host the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Buffalo is riding a wave of momentum after going into Kansas City and beating the Chiefs. Through five weeks, they look like the best team in the NFL.

Buffalo still has an amazing offense but check out what their defense has done.

  • Passing Yards Per Game: 173.4 (2nd)
  • Points Per Game: 12.8 (1st)

Patrick Mahomes is the only quarterback to pass for over 215 yards against them this season. Tannehill may have a tough time hitting that mark.

A.J. Brown returned last week, but he isn’t 100 percent recovered from a hamstring injury. Jones has missed the last two games and his status for Week 6 is up in the air.

Tannehill has three games with less than 15 fantasy points this season. He is probably looking at another bad week.

RB: James Conner (Arizona Cardinals)

James Conner may not be the lead back for the Arizona Cardinals, but he is producing better numbers than Chase Edmonds. The biggest reason for that is Conner’s five touchdowns in the last three games.

The touchdowns are great, but are they sustainable? All five of them have come inside the five-yard line.

Aside from the touchdowns, Conner only has one game with over 55 total yards this season. He also hasn’t averaged over 4.0 yards per carry in any game.

Arizona will have a tough matchup this week against the Cleveland Browns.

Last week, Cleveland had a tough time containing Austin Ekeler. However, they’ve shut down just about every other back and rank second in rushing yards allowed.

In what could turn into a high-scoring game, I think we’ll see the Cardinals rely on Edmonds. He is their lead back and a much better receiver than Conner. He was dealing with an injury last week, but he should see an increased workload this week.

It’s hard to trust someone whose value consists of short touchdowns. Unless Conner manages to score another goal-line touchdown, it’ll likely be a dud week.

Stay ahead of the curve and leave Conner on your bench.

WR: Adam Thielen (Minnesota Vikings)

While not as extreme as James Conner, Adam Thielen is another player who heavily relies on touchdowns.

Thielen began the season with four touchdowns in three games. Over the last two weeks, we’ve seen his role shrink.

Receptions Yards Touchdowns
Week 4 3 46 0
Week 5 2 40 0

Since Week 1, Thielen has not had a game over 50 yards. Will his fortunes change in Week 6? I wouldn’t count on it.

The Minnesota Vikings will battle the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has cooled off after starting 3-0 but their defense remains one of the best in the league. In fact, their defense has allowed a league-low 161.6 passing yards per game.

Carolina’s run defense has been among the league’s best as well, but we saw the Dallas Cowboys rush for over 200 yards on them. Whether it’s Dalvin Cook or Alexander Mattison, I think the Vikings will try to establish the run game.

In the passing game, Justin Jefferson is the top option.

Unless Thielen finds the end zone, I can’t see him producing big numbers. He hasn’t been able to record a ton of yards over the last four weeks and has a tough matchup in Week 6.

TE: David Njoku (Cleveland Browns)

Early in the season, David Njoku had split time with Austin Hooper. Last week, Njoku put himself back on people’s fantasy radar with this big performance.

  • 7 receptions
  • 149 yards
  • 1 touchdown

Most of his production came on a 71-yard touchdown. Even if you take that away, he still has six receptions for 78 yards.

While the performance was impressive, this is the first time all season he had a game with over three receptions. He still isn’t a top option on the run heaviest team in the league.

Last week, Njoku played a Los Angeles Chargers defense that has been terrible against tight ends this week. This week, he’ll face an Arizona Cardinals defense that ranks number one against fantasy tight ends.

Arizona has yet to allow any tight end over 45 yards. They also haven’t allowed a touchdown. Njoku would likely need both of those to happen if he wanted to post starter-worthy numbers.

Cleveland knows the strength of their offense is the ground game. They’ll lean on Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt against the Cardinals.

I don’t think we’ll see Njoku come close to matching his Week 5 performance.

More Fantasy Football Advice

It’s always smart to research the point spread and point totals before making your fantasy decision. The point spread had an effect on me putting Leonard Fournette and DeVonta Smith in my starts.

Kansas City vs. Washington has the highest point total of the week. With Washington being (+7.0) point underdogs, it makes sense to roll with Taylor Heinicke.

If you’re having trouble finding the spread and point total, check out the top NFL betting sites.

Daily fantasy is another way to play fantasy without having to worry about a season-long team. If that sounds like something you’d like to try, check out our daily fantasy football guide.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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