Week 2 NFL Odds: 5 Underdogs That Could Be Worth Your Cash
Published on September 13, 2017
There is no such thing as a safe bet when it comes to NFL betting. The New England Patriots were locked in as easy money last Thursday, and the defending champs burned us all pretty good.
It didn’t need to be a pure upset to hurt your pockets, either. Teams with huge spreads like the Falcons and Steelers failed to cover, collectively handing us a slew of upsets we probably wish we were on.
Now that we have a full week of pro football behind us, we can digest it a bit and enter the week two NFL betting landscape with a slightly better feel. That doesn’t make prognosticating easy, but it could help us gauge where more of those upsets can be found.
You don’t always want to go hard on upsets, whether it be the number of bets or the amount of cash you pile into them. Your bread and butter should remain safer bets that can help you grind to a weekly profit.
That being said, a few underdogs at Bovada catch our eye this week and whether it’s straight up or against the spread, they may demand your attention:
The first week two NFL upset pick to consider doesn’t offer insane value, but it’s enough to get us interested. Miami travels to L.A. for their first game of the year after having their week one contest PPD and they’ll get a matchup with a Chargers team that lost in week one.
The Bolts could seriously be running on fumes after a late-game rally came up short on MNF, while they’ll also be on a short week. Miami is extremely well rested and in theory, has had two full weeks to prepare for this game. There is also game tape of the 2017 Chargers to watch, while Miami hasn’t played yet.
All of this, and we still get the Fins as pretty big underdogs. This was a team that was strong on the ground and won 11 games in 2016, and with Jay Cutler under center, they actually might be better. The Chargers have a lot of talent, but their week one performance showed us yet again that they’re probably the same tease they’ve always been.
Los Angeles isn’t really one to blow teams away, after all.
We could kick off week two with a bang right away on Thursday when the Texans head to Cincinnati to battle the Bengals. Both of these teams will be searching for their first win of the young season and they’re probably a lot closer in terms of talent than Vegas is letting on here.
Cincinnati gets an edge because they’re at home and appear to have the more stable option under center, but should we really be buying them as massive -280 favorites? I don’t think so, as the Texans still sport a staggering defense on paper and have offensive weapons for the Cincy defense to worry about in Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins.
Houston may have the narrative card in this matchup, too. News just broke that DeShaun Watson will take over under center as the team’s new starting quarterback and with his team behind him, it’s possible he leads Houston out of their 0-1 hole.
It’s worth considering that Houston had arguably the best defense in the league a year ago, and on a short week this matchup could prove lethal for the Bengals, That, and Andy Dalton looked absolutely atrocious in week one and Houston has had his number for much of his career (1-5, including playoffs).
Some will have you pounce on the Bills at +265 or the Saints at +250, but we’re not in the business of just throwing things at the wall and seeing what sticks.
The idea if to see which logical underdog picks actually make sense. That isn’t to say Buffalo and New Orleans can’t win in week two, but they probably won’t.
Minnesota might. They’re on the road against a very explosive Steelers offense, but we need to consider two things; Minnesota’s nasty defense made Drew Brees and the Saints looked pedestrian on Monday and Pittsburgh didn’t look all that imposing in week one.
Not only did Le’Veon Bell look super rusty and the Steelers never took flight in their passing game, but they managed just 21 points in a 3-point game against the lowly Browns. What’s going to happen when the Steelers run into an elite defense like Minnesota has?
Sam Bradford also looked rather polished in week one, while stud rookie running back Dalvin Cook gives the Vikes the balance they lacked in 2016.
Our last two week 2 NFL upset picks to consider are massive reaches. This is why we’re not so much telling you to bet on them, but to just consider the logic behind it.
Oh, and my goodness, the upside. First, we get the Niners, who have to travel to Seattle to battle the Seahawks. On paper, the 49ers look like a terrible play. Vegas isn’t giving them much love with the line or a +14 spread, either.
But should they? After all, Seattle’s offensive line looked awful in week one and after hanging just 9 points on what was a terrible Green Bay defense a year ago, it’s fair to wonder just how good the Seahawks are as an offense.
Seattle’s defense will probably destroy Brian Hoyer and San Francisco’s offense, but if this game follows a similar flow we’ve seen these two teams piece together in the past, it might not take much to get a win.
A Niners team led by Colin Kaepernick lost by two points the last time these two teams met, so if Seattle’s offense struggles even slightly, this rivalry game could surprise. The Money Line is obviously ridiculously appealing if you buy that logic, but the safer bet is taking the points with the Niners.
There’s an even crazier line in week two (and seriously, when is the last time there were lines like this?) as the Jets could return insane profit if they steal a road win over the Raiders.
Nobody is banking on New York even competing in this game – let alone winning – but even a $100 bet on the Jets could return a sick $700. Okay, but where is the logic in a Jets win?
It probably has everything to do with the Raiders defense. Oakland only gave up 16 points on the road in week one, but they really didn’t stop the Titans that well. New York, on the other hand, played a closer game in a 21-12 loss to the Bills than it would appear.
The idea here is the Jets would continue rolling out their balanced offense and it would click a little more against a Raiders defense that isn’t necessarily elite. A shootout would favor Derek Carr and the Raiders, so if the Jets can again play a more ball controlled game and limit their turnovers, they might have a shot at beating a gaudy +14 spread.