Before I get into my Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction, let’s take a look at the latest odds for this contest and see who will come away with the win.
Jazz vs. Pelicans Odds
Jazz to Win+120
Pelicans to Win-140
There is no actual home court advantage for the NBA restart, but if you want to play that card, look to the Orlando Magic, or maybe the Miami Heat.
Everyone else is technically on the road, which may mean the favored Pels are being a tad overpriced here. New Orleans does have a loaded roster, however, and they’ll come in at full strength unless we get some wacky news.
All things considered, the Pels make enough sense as the favorites here, but the pricing isn’t too wild, regardless.
BetOnline is offering the best lines and totals for this game, with just about every sportsbook offering something similar.
If you’re looking for a straight-up winner, Bovada is the main site for that at the moment.
Game Preview and Analysis
Mike Conley will likely be on hand for the first game back, but bettors do need to consider his potential absence in the event his child comes early.
Also, keep in mind the guaranteed absence of top Jazz scorer Bojan Bogandovic (20.2 points per game), as well as any impact of any other possible absences.
Outside of that, Utah is a little sneaky here.
They were the better team during the regular season, going 41-23 before the league’s hiatus. That keeps them in position to possibly win the Northwest Division and nab a top seed, which provides them with plenty of incentive to do well in the NBA reboot.
Utah also wields a strong defense, with Rudy Gobert anchoring the league’s 11th most efficient group at that end of the floor. The Jazz also play fairly slow on offense, and the absence of Bogdanovic won’t really do their offense any favors.
The Jazz have so far owned this series, too. The only game the Pels won was a wild 138-132 overtime shootout. Utah owns a 2-1 series edge on the year, and the Jazz are 8-3 over the last 11 meetings.
New Orleans is younger and faster, to be sure. The Pels rank second in pace, and the rise of Zion Williamson after a long layoff is something everyone needs to brace for.
The Pels also have a lot to fight for here, as they’re four games outside of the final playoff seed in the Western Conference. They may have the talent, drive, and ammunition to close the gap and force a play-in series.
New Orleans did require a really efficient game (and OT) to get their lone win in this series, but they’ve proven all year that they can make Utah run. If they do it again on July 30th, they could easily even the season series at 2-2.
Prediction and Pick
The three meetings this year between these two teams have been surprisingly explosive. That’s at least partially thanks to how the Pels play, but both squads have topped at least 120+ points in every single game this year.
That’s wild, and the Over is very much in play here.
It’s not my preferred bet, of course, seeing as Utah is down a key scorer, rust could be a factor, and neither team has a home court edge.
Ultimately, I just like the Jazz here. Not only are they the more experienced team, but they defend well, and they’ve dominated this series. You’re also getting pretty nice value with them as a straight-up winner.
Feel free to play it safe and bet on the Jazz to keep this one close, but I like them to win, and their moneyline is too good to bypass in the first game back.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.