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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov Sleepers and Value Bets – Emmett to Win and More

| June 19, 2020 4:14 am PDT
UFC Fight Night Blaydes vs. Volkov

It’s fight week, ladies and gentlemen, and that means it’s time to start thinking about UFC sleepers and value bets ahead of this Saturday’s event at the APEX. UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov is going to be a mega competitive card, with some big 50/50 fights to look forward to.

The odds for the event headlined by Curtis Blaydes vs. Alexander Volkov are available to view on our recommended UFC betting sites. I bet you’ll be surprised at some of the prices you will find — at least, I am. 

Anyway, I thought I’d drop in to share some betting odds from the Betway sportsbook for those looking for a little value. I have put together four UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov sleepers and value bets that are creeping under the radar ahead of Saturday’s event, so take a look and see what you think.

Josh Emmett to Win in Round 3 (+1200)

I think there are a lot of bettors sleeping on Josh Emmett in his co-main event scrap against Shane Burgos.

Now, I have to point out that I have previously tipped Burgos to win the fight. One the balance of things, I think he has a slight edge heading into this contest. But Emmett will be there to fight and could end up handing the Woodbury native the second loss of his career.

Emmett is getting no younger, and at 35, this is his last opportunity to put a title run together. He is 6-2 in the UFC and currently sits in eighth place on the official featherweight rankings of the promotion.

A dangerous and unpredictable fighter, Emmett has won his last three fights by way of KO/TKO. He flattened Mirsad Bektic in his last bout in July 2019 and could very well fancy his chances of finishing Burgos in a similar fashion. 

Burgos has one loss on his record — a knockout at the hands of Calvin Kattar back in January 2018. A volume puncher with exceptional output, Burgos takes confidence from his defensive acumen. But all Emmett needs is one opportunity to end this contest.

I believe this one will be a war that could be ended in the latter stages of the bout. If Emmett wins in the third round, some lucky punters will score odds of +1200. 

Tecia Torres to Win on Points (+240)

Tecia Torres is Brianna Van Buren’s opponent for the second fight of her UFC career. 

Fans will be hoping to see more of the promising, yet tiny, Van Buren when she enters the cage on Saturday night. At just 4’11”, you wouldn’t be scorned for thinking little of the Californian’s abilities. But as the old saying goes, it’s not the size of the dog in the fight, but the size of the fight in the dog.

This fight is huge for Torres — if she loses her fifth fight in a row, she could be cut from the promotion. And that is a bit of shame considering the absolute murderers she has faced in those four previous contests.

I mean, there is no shame in dropping decisions against Marina Rodriguez, Zhang Weili, Joanna Jędrzejczyk, and Jessica Andrade. But this is Torres’ time to shine, and she really has to make an impression.

That will be tough against Van Buren, who comes into this one with a record of 7-2, including a win over Lívia Renata Souza in her UFC debut. The former Invicta FC strawweight champ has power to cause Torres damage and will be keen to put on a show.

That said, Torres has a better resume, as evidenced by wins over big names such as Rose Namajunas, Angela Davis, Michelle Waterson, Felicia Herrig, and Paige VanZant.

A solid wrestler with improved striking skills, Torres can win this fight. She has to win this fight.

Lauren Murphy by KO/TKO/DQ (+550)

The last time Lauren Murphy fought, I backed her at odds of +265 to beat Andrea Lee. She got the win, albeit in slightly controversial circumstances.

Murphy now faces former inaugural women’s flyweight contender Roxanne Modafferi in search of her third win in a row. Can Murphy — who knocked out Mara Romero Borella to make it eight KO/TKOs in 12 wins last summer — do the same to Modafferi?

I think odds of +550 are tempting enough to consider this bet. I mean, she is tough as hell and has only ever been knocked out once before, but Murphy is one of the hardest hitters she has fought in her career thus far. 

Modafferi is coming off a huge win over previously unbeaten prospect Maycee Barber. Although she looked good in that fight, consistency is still a problem for the 37-year-old. 

Murphy will have to work very hard with defending Modafferi’s takedowns, but I’m not sure the power of her strikes will deter her from moving forward and looking for the moneyshot.

Odds of +550 win by KO/TKO/DQ are good value. 

Matt Rohskoph by Decision or Technical Decision (+240)

Matt Rohskoph makes his UFC debut, and grappling enthusiasts will be very keen to see how he performs.

Rohskoph has five submission wins in five pro fights, with four of those wins coming in the first round. A former NCAA Division I All-American wrestler standing at 6’1″, Rohskoph will be desperate to get off on the front foot.

His opponent is Austin Hubbard, who holds a record of 1-2 in the UFC. Hubbard is not going to be an easy matchup for Rohskoph and should offer a stern test for his first appearance under the promotional banner.

Although Rohskoph has five submission wins from five fights, I’m a little reluctant to back him for another against Hubbard. “Thud” has one loss by submission in his career and has improved in this department since then. His takedown defense should also make him no sitting duck, so Rohskoph will need to be careful.

Rohskoph by decision makes sense to me.

Closing Thoughts

Well, I think that covers everything. There’s not a lot more I can say other than I am looking forward to this card with optimism regarding my bets.

I suppose I could recommend checking out my UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov best bets piece for four solid wagers for Saturday night. And maybe now is a good time to remind you to check back in with us on our UFC betting blog, where you can get your hands on more betting material ahead of the fights next weekend.

Good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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