UFC Fight Night 175 – Daily Fantasy MMA Picks and Lineup Advice

| August 27, 2020 1:10 am PDT

UFC Fight Night is back on August 29th, with a fun battle between Anthony Smith and Aleksandar Rakic headlining an underrated fight card.

Big names like Robbie Lawler, Neil Magny, and Ricardo Lamas are also featured, which collectively provide MMA fans with quite a solid UFC event.

You can bet on UFC Fight Night 175 with the help of our expert picks and predictions, or you can join me as I hand out my favorite MMA DFS picks and sleepers.

Either way, there are ways to make money betting on the UFC this weekend. For the DFS side of things, read on.

Best MMA DFS Picks for August 29

  • Aleksandar Rakic ($8.7k)
  • Sean Brady ($9.3k)
  • Neil Magny ($8.6k)
  • Magomed Ankalaev ($9k)

Rakic is a monster -270 favorite at the best MMA betting websites, so it isn’t wild to back him in the least. He’s a powerful striker with nine knockouts, while his two losses have come via decision and submission.

Our in-house expert Adam Haynes broke things down in his Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandr Rakic betting preview, and the logic leads to Rakic being one of the best MMA DFS picks of the night.

Rakic lost his most recent fight to a guy Smith submitted, but he was otherwise 12-0 in his previous 12 fights. He’s also never been knocked out and Smith has taken a beating (9 KOs) in his career, so if he can dictate this bout and stay out of Smith’s grasp, he looks like a great play.

He only accrued 43 fantasy points in a tough decision loss in December, but his previous three fights brought in powerful scores of 101, 116, and 119 at DraftKings.

Rakic is arguably the best play on the board, but it’s hard not to like Neil Magny. He’s a heck of a pivot if you plan on fading Rakic, and a pretty nice bargain, regardless.

Magny has good form with four wins over his last five fights, and he boasts a solid 23-7 record for his career. The 33-year old has knockout power, but he’s typically been a grind-it-out fighter who racks up wins via the judges (13).

That could serve him well against an aging Robbie Lawler, who hasn’t scored a win since 2017.

There’s also Brady, who literally hasn’t lost a professional fight (12-0). He is 2-0 in the UFC and has done a great job managing fights and absorbing damage. A versatile, balanced fighter, Brady feels capable of taking on just about anyone.

That figures to give him the leg up here to get to 13-0, but undefeated fighters are always a little scary. Aguilera has the tenacity and power to be a problem here, but Brady’s seasoned fighting skills make him an elite fighter to pay up for.

One more fighter worth spending on for UFC Fight Night 175 is Magomed Ankalaev. Ankalaev is a huge -320 betting favorite, as he’s 13-1 and coming in hot with four straight wins.

Ankalaev has one career defeat, and it came via submission. He’s a pretty balanced fighter but has zero submission wins of his own, which tells you he probably isn’t going to win this fight on the floor.

This bout is a rematch between him and Ion Cutelaba, who is a lethal striker and saw the previous fight end after just 38 seconds. The first meeting was, as Joe Rogan says, the worst fight stoppage in MMA history.

Cutelaba is not an easy opponent, and it’ll be difficult to beat the same guy twice, but Ankalaev is a big favorite, and for good reason.

UFC DFS Sleepers for Saturday

  • Bill Algeo ($7k)
  • Anthony Smith ($7.5k)
  • Robbie Lawler ($7.6k)
  • Ion Cutelaba ($7.2k)
  • Christian Aguilera ($6.9k)

You will want some MMA value picks to complete your daily fantasy MMA lineups, so let’s start things off with Algeo, who is $7k flat. The 31-year old is 13-4 and is a pretty versatile fighter.

He’s never been knocked out and will be making his UFC debut, so it’s tough to say how he’ll fare against a seasoned pro like Ricardo Lamas. He has won in a variety of ways, however, and it’s worth noting that an aging Lamas has lost three out of his last four fights (two by KO).

I didn’t really talk up Anthony Smith earlier, but he is a fun underdog if you want to bet on UFC Fight Night 175, and he may be worth rostering this weekend, too.

Smith is very experienced (33 wins), and he can dominate opponents with his hands or via submission (18 KOs and 12 submissions). His experience and versatility as a fighter gives him a real shot against Rakic, who does not want this fight to go to the ground.

I’ll mention Lawler here mostly for savings, and partially because he has historically been a vicious fighter (20 knockouts) that can take anyone out. The problem is he hasn’t really wrecked anyone in some time, and has just one win in his last five bouts.

Of course, our in-house MMA expert does love him and mentions him as one of his UFC Fight Night 175 sleepers.

I doubt I’d have a ton of exposure to Lawler, but someone like Cutebala would be quite the play against an Ankalaev fade. Cutebala has the skills to win this rematch, and had his first fight not been stopped short, maybe he would have won that one.

Cutebala is a very dangerous fighter that has 12 career KOs, including eight wins within the first minute of action. He’ll be out for blood here, so he’s a fun value pick to consider.

One thing I love to do is throw caution to the wind and bet against undefeated fighters. Anything can happen in the Octagon, as the wrong matchup can drop even the best of fighters.

Most will say Sean Brady is a strong bet to move to 13-0 and for the most part, I’d agree. However, he’s facing a pretty reckless and violent striker in Christian Aguilera.

Look at him go to work early in his most recent win.

Aguilera’s style can leave himself open to a beating, but he also can end fights in a hurry (11 KOs) and will be looking for opportunities to do so in this one.

My Favorite MMA DFS Lineup for August 29

  • Aleksandar Rakic ($8.7k)
  • Christian Aguilera ($6.9k)
  • Neil Magny ($8.6k)
  • Ion Cutelaba ($7.2k)
  • Ricardo Lamas ($9.2k)
  • Alexa Grasso ($9.1k)

Rakic feels like the safest play of the day, so I’ll pay up for him. Lamas has been in bad form, but I have more confidence in him than I do in his opponent.

The same goes for Magny as opposed to Lawler, while Grasso (-300 favorite) feels like a low-upside option that should at least get the win.

Aguilera just has such great striking upside and will be unowned here. Cutelaba should garner some ownership, but will probably be less owned than Ankalaev.

One of the best ways to win big in daily fantasy sports is to be contrarian but to do so with purpose. I think there is an appeal in some of the MMA DFS value picks I touched on, and you probably need to hit the right one (or two) to take down a tournament.

Rule number one in winning daily fantasy MMA tourneys is simply getting wins from all six fighters. The earlier and the nastier they are, the better.

I am not playing it safe here, as a couple of the MMA DFS picks above are rather risky. Ideally, you’re entering numerous MMA DFS lineups, and if you can afford to max enter, by all means, do so.

That said, I like this squad above, and think it’ll give you a solid chance to creep up the standings if things break just right.

If you want to win big during UFC Fight Night, but don’t MMA DFS is the path for you, just check out our UFC Fight Night 175 best bets and get in on the action this weekend.

Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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