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UFC 270 Betting Guide With Odds, Picks, and Predictions for All Fights

| January 19, 2022 8:16 am PDT

If you’re placing bets on UFC 270 from Anaheim this Saturday, January 22, this preview will come in handy.

Naturally, all minds will be focused on predictions for Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane. It’s a tough one to call, with many pundits unable to separate the hard-hitting “Predator” from the slick and highly technical Gane. 

These two best heavyweights collide in a unification title fight that is about as big as things get in MMA. Ngannou has been knocking out elite fighters for fun on his way to the top, while Gane remains unbeaten — and pretty much untouched — in his flawless career in the sport. 

If you’re wagering on the fights this weekend, you can find my UFC 270 picks for Ngannou vs. Gane, below. I’ll be providing a breakdown of the fight as well as predictions for Brandon Moreno vs. Deivison Figueiredo and the rest of the card. 

UFC 270 betting odds only tell part of the story, especially where this weekend’s main event clash between Ngannou and Gane is concerned, but let’s take a look at the prices for all fights — courtesy of the Bovada sportsbook —  before we go any further.

UFC 270 Odds – Moneyline Prices for the Top Fights

When it comes to the main car, there are five fights to bet on at UFC 270 this Saturday.

Here are the odds for Ngannou vs. Gane and as well as the best supporting fights on the night.

Ngannou vs. Gane Odds
Francis Ngannou +125 Ciryl Cane -150
Moreno vs. Figueiredo Odds
Brandon Moreno -175 Deiveson Figueiredo +147
Stamann vs. Nurmagomedov Odds
Cody Stamann +167 Said Nurmagomedov -210
Pereira vs. Fialho Odds
Michel Pereira -285 Andre Fialho +225
Topuria vs. Jourdain Odds
Ilia Topuria -750 Charles Jourdain +475

Despite being just ten fights into his career, Gane’s odds to beat Ngannou — a man that has beaten close to every top heavyweight in his era — are as short as -150. That shows you the faith that bettors have in “Bon Gamin” becoming the first French champion in the promotion’s history. 

The other major eyecatcher here is Topuria at a hefty -750 to beat Charles Jourdain. The moneyline odds for UFC 270 aren’t where things end. You can potentially get a better price for the exceptional Topuria — who I named among the top UFC breakout stars of 2022 — by exploring the props markets.

More on that later. Now, it’s time for my UFC 270 predictions for Ngannou vs. Gane.

Francis Ngannou vs. Cyril Gane

  • Division: Heavyweight
  • For: UFC Heavyweight Title
  • Favorite: Gane -170

Just one week out from this title fight, and odds for Francis Ngannou vs. Tyson Fury were doing the rounds. 

For the champion, currently locked in a contract standoff with the UFC, this could have been interpreted as yet another distraction.

Francis Ngannou and Cyril Gane

On the flip side, could the Cameroonian — well versed both in the art of war and the pre-fight pressures that come with it — be using deflective psychological tactics to cool the heat on his shoulders?

Although most betting on Ngannou vs. Gane will be focused entirely on what happens inside the cage, half the battle is won before a single punch is thrown. And while the outside factors could throw Ngannou off his game, I think he’s experienced enough at this point not to allow that to happen.

When the fight was announced, the pressure was all on Ngannou. But with Gane now installed as the favorite, that’s not exactly the case.

Ngannou vs. Gane predictions, regardless of what side the pundit is on, will likely come down to one of two things. Ngannou by KO/TKO or Gane by decision.

The strategy of the champ will almost certainly be to play to his strengths and hunt the stoppage. Gane’s best chance of beating Ngannou is to circle out of the range of his right hand and outpoint him.

At the price above, all the value is with Ngannou. But if he is to win this fight, as I think he will, it will more than likely be by stoppage. So, keep that in mind. I’m going with Ngannou here on account of his proven credentials against the best in the business.

Remember, all he needs is to be lucky once; Gane needs to be lucky all the time. If the champ lands flush, it’s going to be game over. Gane has a scheduled 25 minutes to avoid being caught, and although he has the talent to school him, I don’t see it happening on Saturday. 

With all that in mind, my betting pick for Ngannou vs. Gane is The Predator by KO/TKO in Round 3. Read this comprehensive betting preview of the fight if you need more information before placing your UFC 270 bets on the main event. 

  • Prediction: Ngannou by KO/TKO
  • Pick: Ngannou by KO/TKO

Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo 3

  • Division: Flyweight
  • For: UFC Flyweight Title
  • Favorite: Moreno -170

Deiveson Figueiredo was on an absolute tear in 2020 before a draw with Brandon Moreno in December of that year ended a five-fight win streak. 

The two went at it again at UFC 263 in June, with Moreno blitzing the champ to take the featherweight title. This eagerly anticipated trilogy fight should be insane, but predicting the winner of Moreno vs. Figueiredo is not for the faint-hearted.

The UFC 270 odds for this flyweight title fight favor “The Assassin Baby,” who comes in at -170. The oddsmakers believe Moreno has the edge here, with Figueiredo looking tempting at +147.

Moreno subjected “The God of War” to his first stoppage loss, and is deemed to be on the rise with the 34-year-old potentially on the slip. The Mexican scored one of the top UFC submissions of 2021 that night and could be looking to get his name on this year’s list.

At 28, Moreno is growing nicely into a well-rounded fighter. He has never been stopped, has solid power, and is a real threat on the ground. He proved that he could take everything Figueiredo threw at him in their previous fights, so should be feeling confident by the time the cage door closes.

Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo 3

The Mexican has not lost a fight since being outpointed by Alexandre Pantoja in 2017. Could Saturday night’s bout change that? I’m going to say yes.

Figueiredo didn’t look his best in the rematch but there is still fight in the old dog yet. He knows what he has to do in terms of conditioning, given Moreno’s toughness. Providing he has put the work in, we should see a much more balanced fight, and an outcome that I believe will favor the Brazilian.

My predictions for Moreno vs. Figueiredo are as follows. I’m going to go for an early stoppage for Figueiredo, with Round 2 the one to target. From a betting perspective, he’s good value for the win.

  • Prediction: Figueiredo by KO/TKO
  • Pick: Figueiredo to Win +147

Michel Pereira vs. Andre Fialho

  • Division: Middleweight
  • Favorite: Pereira -285
Michel Pereira and Andre Fialho

Fans looking to bet on UFC 270 have a potential dogfight to look forward to in this one.

Pereira was set to face Muslim Salikhov at last weekend’s UFC Vegas 46, only for the Russian to withdraw for undisclosed reasons. As much as that was a letdown, we do get to see the Brazilian wildman this Saturday night against Portugal’s Andre Fialho. 

The UFC 270 odds for Pereira vs. Fialho favor the acrobatic “Demolidor,” who comes into this fight on a three-fight win streak.

Although he has the potential to go crazy and blow himself out, he has looked more measured in recent fights. If he can maintain his composure and his output, he should win this fight. 

Fialho has won his last four, with stoppages over former UFC competitors James Vick and Stefan Sekulic. He went 4-1 in Bellator and also appeared in the PFL regular season in 2019. Although capable of giving Pereira a tough fight, he will likely end up being overwhelmed by the Brazilian.

Although tempted to go for another knockout in this fight, I believe it will go the distance. With a little uncertainty as to how he gets it done, it might be best to take the moneyline odds.

You could add this to a UFC 270 parlay or just avoid the bet altogether. 

  • Prediction: Pereira by KO/TKO
  • Pick: Pereira by KO/TKO 

Cody Stamann vs. Said Nurmagomedov

  • Division: Bantamweight
  • Favorite: Nurmagomedov -210
Cody Stamann and Said Nurmagomedov

UFC 270 odds see Said Nurmagomedov a favorite in his battle with Cody Stamann this weekend. 

The Dagestan fighter is aiming to break into the rankings at 135-pounds and could make a significant move towards that goal with a win over the American. There’s no doubt that “Mr. Wonderful” has the same aims as his opponent, and would arguably gain more from a win here. 

Stamann’s odds to beat Nurmagomedov are +167. That’s not a bad price at all for a guy that has proven himself to be a dangerous matchup for anyone in the division. His only losses since 2014 have come against the champ, Aljamain Sterling, Jimmie Rivera, and Merab Dvalishvili. 

Nurmagomedov, on the other hand, is 8-1 since 2014. Although more of a striker than his surname might suggest, inactivity has hampered his chances of being recognized among the top prospects from the region.

But how much of this betting line for UFC 270 comes down to that surname?

I’m going for the upset victory here. I think Stamann can take the Russian’s power and push him to the distance. If he can close his man down and keep Nurmagomedov’s output to a minimum, he can very well scrape a decision win on the cards.

  • Prediction: Stamann by Decision
  • Pick: Stamann to Win +167

UFC 270 Picks for the Prelims Fights

If you’re looking for top markets for betting on UFC 270 prelims fights, make sure to check out the latest odds over at the top MMA betting sites. 

You can cross-reference my top UFC 270 picks with the latest prices to see if there is anything of interest.

  • Vieira to Beat Turman by Submission
  • Topuria to Beat Jourdain by Submission
  • Barcelos to Beat Henry by Decision
  • Maddalena to Beat Rodriguez by KO/TKO
  • Oliveira to Beat Gravely by Submission
  • Morales to Beat Giles by KO/TKO
  • Juarez to Beat Demopoulos by Decision
  • Valdez to Beat Frevola by KO/TKO
  • Hansen to Beat Jasudavicius by Submission

If things mostly go according to the script, we could see the first numbered card of the year ending with a significant number of stoppages.

Of course, the fight game rarely sees every piece slotting nicely into its hole. Upsets happen, and if you’re on the right side of them when it comes to placing your bets, you could make a nice profit gambling on UFC 270.

Before I share my sleepers for this weekend’s UFC card, let’s first cover my best bets for the event in Anaheim.

Top Bets for UFC 270 – Ngannou and More

These are essentially the best bets to target on the night. By that, I mean the ones that I expect to see come through.

There also has to be a potential financial return on the risk for me to include them here. Although the odds won’t be as juicy as some of the sleepers, on the balance of things, they make sense. 

  • Hansen to Beat Jasudavicius – Hansen’s UFC 270 odds come in at -240. I’d take her to win this matchup against the Contender Series graduate, who does not have the same level of experience under her belt as the American.
  • Topuria to Beat Jourdain Inside the Distance – Looking for the best UFC 270 odds? How about Topuria to stop Jourdain at -164? The Georgian-Spanish fighter is 11-0. All those wins have come inside the distance, with nine ending in the first round. 
  • Pereira vs. Fialho to End Under 2.5 Rounds – At odds of -138, this bet is worth a shot. Pereira is -285 for the win. As mentioned earlier, this one could go the distance. But with Fialho ending all his last four with KO wins, this is likely to be an aggressive fight that brings out the Brazilian’s wild streak. 

There you have three solid bets for UFC 270. With those covered, let’s move on to the sleeper picks for the fights.

Best UFC 270 Sleepers and Value Picks 

Again, if you can land top sleepers for UFC 270, you could see a nice return on your investment when the night is over.

They do carry risks, of course. The top sites for UFC wagering aren’t in the business of handing money away. Instead, by using a calculated UFC betting strategy, you might be able to take advantage of any holes in the odds posted for the fights. 

  • Stamann to Win – At +167, the American is a good shout to be included among the top sleeper picks for UFC 270. Nurmagomedov is good, but I don’t see a major gulf in class here. This is a 50-50 fight, with Stamann’s price the more attractive.
  • Ngannou to Beat Gane by KO/TKO – The champion has made light work of most fighters he has faced in combat. One of the most vicious finishers you will ever see, the UFC heavyweight champion needs just one solid connection to undo Gane’s work. At odds of +240 for the KO, there is massive betting value to be had here.
  • Figueiredo to Beat Moreno by KO/TKO – Another man that was seen as the top dog in his division until recently, Figueiredo is phenomenal value to win by KO/TKO at +375. The UFC 270 odds for The God of War to win (+147) are decent, but this bet is surely worth some pocket change. 

If you’re betting UFC sleepers for this weekend, the three above are worth a look. Whatever you do, make sure not to go overboard but play within your means.

UFC 270 Predictions – Will Saturday Night Deliver?

UFC 270 logo

I’m anticipating a great night of fights this weekend in Anaheim. The first numbered card of the year sure has a lot of promise.

Beyond my wishes for an action-packed event, I’m hoping my predictions and picks for UFC 270 come through.

There are a few fights that could go either way, with the Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane headliner setting the tone for a great bunch of matchups. 

Will Saturday night deliver as a spectacle? We’re going to have to wait and see. But if I’m right about one thing, the list of top Francis Ngannou KOs in the UFC might need to be updated!

Good luck with your bets!

Best Francis Ngannou Knockouts in the UFC - Ranking the Top 8

When Francis Ngannou hits you, you stay hit. The UFC heavyweight champion is regarded as the hardest-hitting fighter in the history of the promotion. That’s a special accolade to hold, but it’s nothing without evidence of that brutal force in all...

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Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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