The 2020 MLB season is slowly approaching, which has many wondering which teams are legit threats to win this year’s World Series.
Your usual suspects are in line to give it a go, as the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, and Houston Astros have some of the best World Series odds online.
One team that not everyone is looking at that also has interesting World Series odds? The Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota took the league by storm in 2019, as their murderer’s row of mashers led the majors in home runs (307), had the most total bases (2,832), and ranked second in runs scored.
Suffice it to say, the Twins were a problem for opposing defenses.
Will they take the next step and win their first title since 1991? Or will they regress?
Either route seems plausible. The NL Central could be better than expected, while the top MLB sportsbooks do give them +2000 odds (fifth-best in MLB) to win it all this year.
I don’t see the latter happening, though. Here are my 4 reasons why the Minnesota Twins won’t win the 2020 World Series.
They May Not Win the AL Central
The first reason to bet against the Twins winning the World Series is the fact that the AL Central may not be the cakewalk it was in 2019.
Cleveland is obviously still there, but in my 2020 AL Central predictions, I vouched for a sleeper team to rise up and claim the division.
Should that happen, Minnesota would be forced to make the MLB playoffs as a wild card team. Given viable options in the AL East and AL West, that wouldn’t exactly be an easy plight.
The Offense Has to Regress
The Twins were amazing on offense last year, but a big concern has to be those bats cooling down a bit.
Nelson Cruz smacked 41 homers last year, but he turns 40 this summer. He could easily hit a serious wall this year, while other players could experience drop-offs from career years.
Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Mitch Garver, Jorge Polanco, and Miguel Sano all hit the most homers they’ve ever had in a single season. Some or all of them should see their numbers dip at least slightly, while it’s worth wondering how much they benefited from a juiced ball a year ago.
If even some of Minnesota’s top hitters regress or the league de-juices the ball, the Twins may not be quite as formidable on offense as they were in 2019.
The Pitching Isn’t Good Enough
I’m sure the Twins will still hit plenty of dongs, but the reality is they absolutely have to if they want to do anything of merit in 2020.
Minnesota doesn’t have a bad pitching staff by any means. The franchise actually was proactive in getting better in this department, prying Kenta Maeda away from the Dodgers and also bringing in viable veterans like Homer Bailey and Rich Hill.
The Twins also have a legit ace in Jose Berrios, while Jake Odorizzi is more than serviceable.
This all sounds good enough, but the Twins still don’t have an elite rotation, and their best arms will have to find a way to quiet the likes of the Yankees, Astros, and perhaps the Dodgers to win a championship.
The Best AL Teams Are Simply Better
Ultimately, the Twins are still one or two big moves away from seriously pushing for a title. They have the offense, to be sure, but so do the other elite teams in the AL.
New York and Houston can match the Twins offensively, but both teams have vastly superior pitching on paper.
Unless the Twins can swing a big move to upgrade their pitching staff even more, they’ll remain third in the pecking order at best in the American League.
I still like the Twins as a flier bet to win the 2020 World Series, based solely on their offensive upside. If you liked the Yankees going into last year, you should probably pay attention to Minnesota, as well.
The Twins also did make an effort to improve their defense, so it’s possible I’m wrong here and they do get better in that department.
What’s more likely, however, is the Twins take at least a small step back offensively and the moves they made to boost their pitching don’t make a big enough difference.
You can still bet on the Twins in 2020, but there is enough logic to suggest they probably won’t win the World Series.
Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.
When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.