Top DFS Picks for the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship
What looked like a tight battle coming down the stretch in Tampa turned into a Sam Burns coronation. The LSU product hit the ball beautifully and gained a whopping 9.10 strokes on the greens on his way to coasting to a three-stroke victory.
Burns opted to sit this one out while he celebrates his triumph, but plenty of big names are in Charlotte set to tee it up. Including four of the top-5 players in the world and Rory McIlroy – the only two-time champion in the history of this event.
After sifting through lots of worthy choices, here are my top Wells Fargo Championship DFS picks.
Viktor Hovland – $9,800
I was on Viktor last week – nothing about his T3 finish makes me want to budge.
One of three players to post four rounds in the 60s at the difficult Copperhead Course, Hovland strolls into Quail Hollow on the heels of shooting the lowest score of anyone in the field on Sunday (65).
The Norwegian sensation led the field with 22 birdies and gained a ton of strokes tee-to-green (8.716), but it was improvements on the greens (21st in SG: Putting) that propelled him up the leaderboard.
Will Zalatoris – $9,400
I’m going to excuse Will Zalatoris from his T42 last time out at the RBC Heritage. The 24-year-old had just finished solo-2nd in his first Masters and was planning his proposal to his longtime girlfriend.
Rested and recharged, look for Zalatoris to stick his foot back on the gas pedal and put himself in contention at Quail Hollow. Schooled just 90 or so miles north at Wake Forest University, this would be a fitting venue for Will to pick up his inevitable first win.
Zalatoris arrives seeking his 14th straight made cut and his 7th top-10 of the season.
Patrick Reed – $9,300
Missing the cut last week at Valspar might steer some away from including Reed as one of their DFS picks for the Wells Fargo Championship.
But Reed’s last victory (2021 Farmers Insurance Open) came directly after missing a cut the week prior. In fact, MC’ing at Innisbrook could be a blessing in disguise.
Patrick has a solid track record at this event (28th-8th-12th-28th over the last four editions), and his style is tailor-made for DraftKings. 2nd on the PGA Tour in birdies per round (4.63).
Matt Jones – $7,400
A winner earlier in March at the Honda Classic demonstrates Jones’ ceiling.
The fact that he is gaining in all four of the major strokes-gained categories highlights his consistency, as do his 13 made cuts in his last 14 starts as an individual.
I was originally on Brendon Todd here, but Todd’s withdrawal on Tuesday left me no choice but to pivot.
Incidentally, I’m starting to think the forced swap is a blessing in disguise.
Jones is back to putting beautifully and his ball-striking is matching up and check out this tidbit I learned from Rick Gehman. Over his last 37 rounds, Matt is gaining 1.2 strokes per round on the field.
To put that number into perspective, that’s more than Tony Finau, Sungjae Im, Max Homa, or Abraham Ancer.
Charl Schwartzel – $7,200
The confidence is slowly mounting for Charl Schwartzel. After tinkering with some funky putting methods and lacking enthusiasm on the course, the 36-year-old South African is back looking like his old self.
Thanks to a little pep talk from Nick Price, Charl has resumed controlling baby fades of the tee.
He’s flushing his irons and is putting with authority, and the results are starting to pop.
|Charl Schwartzel’s Last Three Starts|
Having landed inside the top-10 at Quail Hollow Club the last time he was here (2018), Schwartzel is on the sneaky Wells Fargo Championship DFS picks.
Phil Mickelson – $6,900
Another WD = another pivot. Camilo Villegas “opting out” gives me an opportunity to tout Phil Mickelson, and before you shrug, hear me out.
Lefty has quietly gained strokes on the field on his approaches in five straight tournaments. Mickelson has gained strokes on the field off the tee over his last five events as well.
If Phil can clean up his putting and stay focused for 72 holes, getting into contention isn’t out of the realm. Especially not at Quail Hollow Club.
Mickelson’s 10 top-10s (16 starts) in this event are the most of any player.
My 2021 Wells Fargo Championship DFS Lineup for GPPs
- Viktor Hovland – $9,800
- Will Zalatoris – $9,400
- Patrick Reed – $9,300
- Matt Jones – $7,400
- Charl Schwartzel – $7,200
- Phil Mickelson – $6,900
My DFS picks for the Wells Fargo Championship follow a different strategy than typical weeks. While I’m usually targeting a couple of guys in the $8-9k range, I went with much more of a “stars and scrubs” lineup at Quail Hollow.
Then again, when you look back at peek at some of the long shots who have won here in recent years, sliding in some of the unheralded names isn’t such a bad idea.
When you’re ready to switch gears and attack some of the other betting arenas, check out the preview below.